It’s go time ladies and gentlemen!!! Week 3 of NFL action and we have had a fantastic run over the first two weeks in the WinDaily Sports family and this article today will be dedicated specifically to taking advantage of Monkey Knife Fight’s prop based contests. WinDaily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight for the 2020-21 NFL season! MKF is offering you a FREE WinDaily Gold membership for three months ($90 value) simply for making your first deposit on monkeyknifefight.com. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $50 when you use promo code WINDAILY. I know you guys didn’t click the article to here me blabber about so let’s take a look at who I think you should target in Monkey Knife fight Week 3 Edition.
Quick Note: One thing that you will see me avoid more often than not is the touchdown props. I know it is an attractive contest to go after sometimes but touchdowns are high variance and difficult to profit from over the long term so it isn’t the type of thing that you will see coming from my article very often. I want to see you all grow your bankroll over the long term so I avoid high variance plays like that.
Monkey Knife Fight NFL Week 3 Edition: Cowboys/Seahawks
Let’s have a little fun today with Monkey Knife Fight and take a look at the game we’re all going to be targeting in our DFS lineups. The total has moved up to 57 from 55 with most of the money still on the over so lets find some props to kick this game off. No better place to start than our QB’s. I’m pretty confident that Dak will hit the over handily hear, the efficiency of Russell Wilson is the only thing that makes 290.5 worrisome. He’s made a habit over his career of going bonkers but doing so with low yardage totals, much like peak Aaron Rodgers in the early half of his career. I was originally thinking over for both but the more I thought about it the more I feel the under is the smart play for Wilson. Dak Prescott: OVER 312.5/Russell Wilson UNDER 290.5
***One thing you can do here to hedge this if you’re like me is play the over once again with Dak, then play both sides of Russell. I feel pretty strongly about Daks chances and for example if you play $10 with both you will go home with $30 in your pocket on a $20 play. Slow and steady wins the race. We all love the big win but I equally love long, sustained growth.***
Little more Hawks and Cowboys fun. We go to the Rapidfire where it’s a little more risk but we get a 5x ROI if we nail it. As I’ve stated I think the more likely scenario is that Dak Prescott may be much less efficient my will throw for way more in terms of yardage than the ever effective Russell Wilson. Even with +22.5 yards for Wilson I like Dak to surpass him. At the same time Cooper has led the team with 14 and 9 targets in each of his first two weeks for 100 an 89 yards which I expect to continue while Lockett seems to have become the 1b behind Metcalf catching 8 of 8 for 92 in week one and 7 of 8 for 67 yards. Lockett is always ultra efficient but Cooper is still peppered with targets and I expect the Cowboys playing from behind as the more likely scenario. Give me Amari. Finally, I don’t think I need to explain here. Ceedee Lamb seems to have already overtaken Michael Gallup as the teams #2 receiver in just two weeks. Lamb has hauled in 11 of his 15 targets while Gallup has only brought in 5 of 10. Volume and catch rate is clearly in favor of Lamb. Dak Prescott, Amari Cooper, CeeDee Lamb
Our final contest for this weeks article we go back to another More/Less for 3x return and I am going to finish on the one I feel most confident in. Super simple. I like Gallup UNDER 4.5 receptions and DK Metcalf OVER 67.5 yards. That 67.5 number seems crazy low for a Guy like DK and as I said earlier Gallup has been overtaken by Lamb as has only seen 5 targets each game and both of them were shootouts. Michael Gallup UNDER 4.5, DK Metcalf OVER 67.5 Yards.
Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports Monkey Knife Fight NFL Week 3 Edition. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!