David Stowe 
It’s go time ladies and gentlemen!!! After months of wondering if we would even have a season we’ve made it and here at Win Daily we are producing even more content for you so that you can build your bankroll in even more ways. This will be the first of many weekly articles that will be dedicated specifically to taking advantage of Monkey Knife Fight’s prop based contests. WinDaily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight for the 2020-21 NFL season! MKF is offering you a FREE WinDaily Gold membership for three months ($90 value) simply for making your first deposit on monkeyknifefight.com. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $50 when you use promo code WINDAILY. I know you guys didn’t click the article to here me blabber about so let’s take a look at who I think you should target in Monkey Knife fight week one edition.
Quick Note: One thing you will notice with all of my future prop articles is that I won’t do many or possibly any touchdown contests and that is intentional. Touchdowns are unpredictable and usually horrible things to bet on. It’s statistically proven and a bad way to bet outside of just having a little fun.
Monkey Knife Fight NFL Week 1 Edition: Star Shootout (early games)
We’ll start this off with the very first contest they have in the Early Start Shootout, the More or Less. Two selections, triple your money and you just pick more or less, easy.
Many Folks may have forgotten but before Matt Ryan suffered an ankle injury last season he was on a streak to start the season with six straight 300+ games and finished with 11-16 even when he was physically limited. Falcons have given me no reason to think they won’t continue to be a pass first team, Gurley’s knee can’t handle 20+ carries a game, and Calvin Ridley should seemingly take a step forward opposite Julio Jones. Taking the over 299.5 against the Seattle secondary.
On the other side of things the under 275.5 passing yards makes perfect sense for Matt Stafford. Matt Patricia is slowly attempting to turn the Lions into a running team at what seams to be any cost, Golladay is confirmed out, and the Bears gave up more than 275 yards only three times all season and week 11 of 2018 was the last time the Lions did it.
Reception Collection is the next spot that I want to attack as I feel that we have a clear path to the 20.5 receptions to double your money and I honestly feel good about the 22.5 prop for 3x return. Christian McCaffrey, Julio Jones, and Davante Adams are my three choices. We’re talking an average of 7 catches per or 8, 8, and 7 for your over 22.5. In 9 of 16 starts Christian caught at least seven balls and I expect them to be further behind than what Vegas thinks, in 8 of 12 Davante also had seven or more and Rodgers still has no other real weapons to throw to, and Julio is Julio, he only caught seven or more in six of his games but against Seattle last year he went 10-12 for 152 yards and now there is no Austin Hooper to take targets away. If you want to be safe go ahead and stick to the 20.5 but I wouldn’t argue if you were feeling froggy and took the 22.5 prop.
Bonus Early Slate: If you really want to get crazy and go for a huge return check out the 5 man over/under for 20x return. Please keep in mind it is very difficult to hit a five leg parlay so this is just for fun if you want to risk it. It’s pretty simple as it covers all of the guys I mentioned above with McCaffrey’s rushing total the only thing I haven’t touched on, but given he is their entire offense and even if the Raiders win it easily he is going to be fed the rock and exceeded 85 rushing yards in half of his games last year albeit in a Ron Rivera led team.
Monkey Knife Fight NFL Week 1 Edition: Eagles at…..Football Team
I wanted to throw this in here real quick as it has everyone’s DFS darling Boston Scott. Scoring is PPR and I fully expect Scott to get more than enough usage to hit his 13.5 point total. On the other side I think people have gone a bit crazy hyping up Antonio Gibson in this offense. I really expect….Football Team to be playing from behind and Gibson never caught more than six passes in any game at Memphis and I do not expect Washington to use a rookie back that they didn’t even would start a few weeks ago in passing situations this early in a season without a training camp or preseason. I’m going under 11.5 for Antonio
Monkey Knife Fight NFL Week 1 Edition: Star Shootout (late games)
Here we will be covering the late slate in the start shootout and we’ll go right back to more or less for 3x return. I know people are going to want to money on this game so why not start with the quarterbacks for the Saints and Bucs.
I think for a lot of our younger teams the unders will be the end result in most circumstances but with the two most experienced QB’s in Tom Brady and Drew Brees I expect no issues. Tampa had the best run defense in the NFL last season so I expect a heavy dose of Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara catching passes out of the backfield and you know Arians is going to waste no time in letting Brady loose and Tom will want to come out quickly to show everyone that he still has plenty left in his arm and it was the lack of weapons that caused the dip in numbers. I expect both guys to throw for over 300 yards tomorrow.
They gave us an even easier more or less so we will certainly take advantage. In this one we only need to get 3 out of 4 correct to make 2.5x our bet. I love that for an easy bankroll boost.
We already covered where I think Brees will exceed 300 yards tomorrow so if I think that you can safely assume that I have faith that a large amount of those yards come from Michael Thomas, George Kittle caught at least six passes in 12 of his 16 games and Arizona was a tight end cheat code last year and they did nothing to change that, and the Chargers allowed at least 75 rushing yards in 13 of 16 games including seven games of at least 124 yards. Additionally, Cincinnati wants to protect their new investment in Joe Burrow early on by leaning heavily on the running game and Joe Mixon has proven without a doubt that he can handle that workload. It’s so strange to do this because I’m expecting such sloppy play but I’m taking all overs with these four guys Sunday.
Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports Monkey Knife Fight NFL Week 1 Edition. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!
