I run my MLB Moving Averages program every day to isolate the highest probability outcomes for any given MLB slate. However, there’s a lot of other information it produces that I would like to share which may help you as you scan the board on your own. The algorithm uses a combination of weighted rolling averages for offense, starting pitching and bullpens that update daily to create my daily MLBMA implied totals. Let’s take a look at today’s late game results (I generally avoid getaway day games due to added variance).
There are several different ways to interpret this information, and I hope it serves as a useful guide in your plays. The algorithm implies totals for each team as well as the game; So this can be used for individual Team Totals, or for an interesting perspective on Money Line plays. It’s also often times a good way to begin identifying potential Over/under plays (Especially when there is a difference of a full run).
Cubs at Mariners OU9
- Cubs 4.57
- Mariners 3.92
- Total 8.49
Tigers at Phillies OU8
- Tigers 4.01
- Phillies 4.67
- Total 8.68
Cardinals at Nationals OU8
- Cardinals 3.38
- Nationals 3.96
- Total 7.34
Reds at Mets OU6.5
- Reds 4.07
- Mets 3.57
- Total 7.64
Indians at Marlins OU6.5
- Indians 3.74
- Marlins 3.20
- Total 6.94
Padres at Braves OU9
As a rule, I fade unknown pitching commodities until further data is presented. Quantrill got the call today and it’s too murky to get a hold on
Rockies at Brewers OU9
- Rockies 3.36
- Brewers 3.74
- Total 7.10
Astros at Twins OU9
- Astros 4.16
- Twins 3.76
- Total 7.93
Blue Jays at Angels OU8.5
- Bluejays 3.76
- Angels 4.02
- Total 7.78
Dodgers at Giants OU7
- Dodgers 4.15
- Giants 3.64
- Total 7.79
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