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MLBMA Daily Notes 6.5.19 BOS at KC

OFFENSE

BOS vs RHP, 2019 (Last 7 Days)

  • 123 PA
  • .316/.358/.570 Triple Slash
  • .928 OPS
  • .254 ISO
  • .384 wOBA
  • 139 wRC+
  • 41.4% Fly Ball Rate
  • 44.8% Hard Hit Rate

KC vs LHP, 2019 (Last 14 Days)

  • 121 PA
  • .230/.273/.345 Triple Slash
  • .618 OPS
  • .115 ISO
  • .267 wOBA
  • 64 wRC+
  • 33.1% K Rate
  • 36.5% Hard Hit Rate

STARTING PITCHING

Chris Sale, 2019 (Last 6 Games Started)

  • 38.1 IP
  • 66 K : 9 BB
  • 43.1% K Rate
  • 2.82 ERA / 2.16 FIP / 2.46 xFIP
  • 0.83 WHIP
  • .167/.242/.319 Triple Slash Allowed
  • .561 OPSA
  • .245 wOBAA
  • 37.0% Hard Hit Rate
  • Poor Statcast data (below)

Jakob Junis, 2019 (Last 5 Games Started)

  • 28.2 IP
  • 27 K : 13 BB
  • 10.3% BB Rate
  • 5.65 ERA / 5.91 FIP / 4.74 xFIP
  • 1.43 WHIP
  • .255/.333/.500 Triple Slash Allowed
  • .833 OPSA
  • .348 wOBAA
  • 47.1% Hard Hit Rate
  • 9.7% Barrel Rate (2019)
  • Weak Statcast data all around
Courtesy of Baseball Savant

BULLPENS LAST 10 DAYS

TeamAVGWHIPERAFIPxFIPSIERA
Red Sox0.2321.506.573.925.054.40
Royals0.2701.615.123.534.354.21

THE PLAY: BOS ML

The champs are starting to find their form a bit, and Chris Sale looks like a first round fantasy pick again. The Royals haven;t touched LHP all season, and I think they’re outmatched in all phases tonight. If the chalk bothers you, get a percentage of your wager on the -1.5 Run Line.

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