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MLBMA Daily Notes 6.4.19 MIA at MIL

OFFENSE

MIA Away vs RHP, 2019 (Last 10 Days)

  • 85 PA
  • .260/.298/.338 Triple Slash
  • .635 OPS
  • .078 ISO
  • .275 wOBA
  • 67 wRC+
  • 4.7% BB Rate

MIL vs RHP, 2019 (Last 7 Days)

  • 176 PA
  • .291/.364/.601 Triple Slash
  • .965 OPS
  • .310 ISO
  • .394 wOBA
  • 146 wRC+
  • 9.3% BB Rate
  • 43.5% Hard Hit Rate

STARTING PITCHING

Jorge Lopez, 2019 (Last 9 Games Started)

  • 39.2 IP
  • 7.94 ERA / 5.79 FIP / 4.20 xFIP
  • 1.69 WHIP
  • .313/.389/.564 Triple Slash Allowed
  • .953 OPSA
  • .400 wOBAA
  • 40.8% Hard Hit Rate
  • 8.6% BB Rate
  • 7.8% Barrel Rate
  • 1st TTO – 5.40 ERA
  • 2nd TTO – 7.41 ERA
  • 3rd TTO – 10.64 ERA

Chase Anderson Home, 2019 (5 Games, 2 Games Started)

  • 15.1 IP
  • 19 K : 4 BB
  • 31.7% K Rate
  • 2.93 ERA / 2.29 FIP / 3.32 xFIP
  • 0.98 WHIP
  • .200/.250/.327 Triple Slash Allowed
  • .577 OPSA
  • .240 wOBAA
  • 5.4% Barrel Rate
  • 1st TTO – 2.53 ERA
  • 2nd TTO – 2.53 ERA
  • 3rd TTO – 6.75 ERA (Only 1.1 IP)

BULLPENS LAST 7 DAYS

TeamK%BB%AVGWHIPERAFIPxFIPSIERA
Marlins25.0 %7.5 %0.2701.446.004.094.043.68
Brewers22.6 %6.5 %0.2761.415.063.843.903.73

THE PLAY: MIL ML

Pretty simple here; A clear three-phase edge combined with plus splits every way. I can easily see the argument to get a percentage of those funds on the -1.5 Run Line. However, as you know, I’d generally rather lay the chalk then bank on a run that the Brewers don’t care about.

Lets get it

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