MLBMA Daily Notes 5.31.19 SF at BAL

OFFENSE

SF Away, 2019 (Last 7 Days)

• 109 PA
• .189/.284/.305 Triple Slash
• .590 OPS
• .116 ISO
• .259 wOBA
• 56 wRC+
• 32.5% Hard Hit Rate
• 29th in Team wOBA Last Seven (.272)

BAL vs LHP, 2019 (Since 5.20.19)

• 181 PA
• .286/.350/.503 Triple Slash
• .853 OPS
• .217 ISO
• .360 wOBA
• 126 wRC+

STARTING PITCHING

Drew Pomeranz Away, 2019 (5 Games Started)

• 22 IP
• 11.8% BB Rate
• 6.14 ERA / 6.60 FIP / 4.97 xFIP
• 1.68 WHIP
• .284/.382/.580 Triple Slash Allowed
• .962 OPSA
• .461 wOBAA
• 45.5% Hard Hit Rate
• 1st Time Through Order 3.60 ERA
• 2nd Time Through Order 11.85 ERA

Andrew Cashner Home, 2019 (Last 3 Games Started)

• 19.0 IP
• 2.37 ERA / 3.78 FIP
• 0.95 WHIP
• 5.8% BB Rate
• .200/.243/.329 Triple Slash Allowed
• .572 OPSA
• .246 wOBAA
• 22.8% Hard Hit Rate
• 1st Time Through Order 3.75 ERA
• 2nd Time Through Order 3.65 ERA
• 3rd Time Through Order 8.44 ERA

BULLPENS LAST 7 DAYS

THE PLAY: BAL F5 RL +0.5

I made sure to include Cashner’s ERA the third time through the order, along with BAL bullpen data to drive my point home for the F5 play. As of this second, the Orioles are an underdog so the smartest money is on the Run Line, looking to cash in a tie. There’s reason to take the ML for a percentage as well at better odds; The Orioles have the edge for the first five in this one.