CLE at MIA
CLE on Road vs LHP 2019
- 110 PA
- .223/.321/.309 Triple Slash
- 085 ISO
- .280 Team wOBA
- 64 wRC+
MIA SP – Caleb Smith
Smith at Home 2019
- 3 GS
- 17 IP
- 22 K : 4 BB
- 1.59 ERA / 1.23 FIP / 2.55 XFIP
- 0.82 WHIP
- .167/.219/.233 Triple Slash
- .202 wOBAA
Smith is also sporting elite Statcast metrics across the board, shown below
Technical Analysis MIA Offense
The chart is probably what you would expect from the Marlins, it’s ugly. However they’re a pro team, and they all spike at times. Coming off of bottoming out, the Marlins have experienced regular cyclical spikes. I’m never going to call for an offensive explosion from this squad but from a technical standpoint we could be on deck for a few runs today at home for the Fish.
Opposing SP – Corey Kluber
Kluber has a 5.81 Road ERA & 1.68 WHIP in 6 GS. His struggles are pretty well documented and its being heavily reflected in his Xstats (below).
THE PLAY
Considering the Indians bullpen is tops right now, the MIA bullpen has a 7+ ERA L7, & Smith being a 5-6 inning guy we want to shorten this to an F5 play. Id love to take the +120 F5ML, but the safe play here is to respect Kluber’s potential and bet the MIA RL +0.5
Lets get it