Joel Bartilotta 
It’s Sunday Funday and every team is in action today, giving us a solid day of baseball for some MLB props to play on PrizePicks. We have some great places to target on both the pitching and hitting front today.
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Let’s dig in and see if we can make some money.
MLB Picks
Corbin Burnes – 40.5 Hitter Fantasy Score – Over
Corbin Burnes is one of the best spots out of any pitcher today. The Cubs lineup over the last week has really struggled. They have a 31.4% K rate while only scoring 13 runs in their last 6 games. Since struggling with his control in the opener against the Cubs this season, Burnes has been absolutely lights out. Over his last 2 games, Burnes has 21 K’s in 13 innings, while only allowing 2 ER. Yes, he did struggle vs. this same Cubs lineup on opening day but most of that was self induced as he had an uncharacteristic 3 walks. I think he gets to this number today. I’m siding with the Over on this PrizePicks number.
Taylor Ward – .5 Runs + RBI – Over
If we look at Dallas Keuchel’s last game we can see someone that got extremely lucky. He didn’t give up a run, but his xFIP for that game was 6.76. He struck out just 2 through 4, but walked 5 and gave up 2 hits. The Angels are an underrated lineup that can put up runs quickly and very well could give Keuchel fits right from the start. Their top-of-the-lineup with Ward leading off is actually one of the better in baseball.
Ward has been light’s out over the last week. Over his last 26 ABs, Ward has 11 hits. What’s most important for this projection though is that over that span he also 12 RBI and 9 runs scored. If the Angels lineup scores today, it will be thanks in part to Ward. I like the Over on this Runs + RBI prop from PrizePicks today.
MIke Trout – 8.5 Hitter Fantasy Score – Over
Mike Trout was a big disappointment for us yesterday. I just don’t see it happening 2 days in a row from the fella. He gets the same great matchup today that Ward has. Keuchel is just at the tail end of his career. He’s a shell of the pitcher he was when he won the Cy Young in 2015. He no longer misses any bats and his control has gotten worse over time. Although he’s still the same groundball pitcher he always was, 20% of his flyballs end up leaving the park these days. Mike Trout has a long history of hitting Keuchel well and has a pair of homers to his name vs. him. Look for Trout to rebound after his poor day yesterday. I’m siding with the Over on this PrizePicks projection.
Cedric Mullins – .5 Runs + RBI – Over
Although Nick Pivetta pitched a wee bit better in his last outing, he still gave up a pair runs and 7 baserunners in just 4 innings of work. He’s someone that I will always target with hitters due to him just not being a very good pitcher. Of all the pitchers on the mound today, he has the highest xFIP. He’s also given up 4 homers on the year.
The guy from the Orioles I’ll target him today with will be Mullins. Mullins has been swinging a good stick over the last week. He has 6 hits but most importantly has 7 runs scored. I expect the Orioles to put up some runs today vs. Pivetta and Mullins will be part of it. I like the Over on this number from PrizePicks.
Rafael Devers – 8.5 Hitter Fantasy Score – Over
Jordan Lyles is one of my favorite pitchers to pick on in both DFS and on PrizePicks. He’s a flyball pitcher that gives up a ton of a hard contact. The potential for homers is just always out there. On the year Lyles has already given up 4 homers in 20 innings of work. Lefties have really been the one to give him the most fits so far this season. Through 42 plate appearances, lefties have a .457 ISO against him and a .526 wOBA.
I’m targeting him today with one of the Red Sox best hitters who also happens to be a lefty, Rafael Devers. Devers is hot, with 10 hits in 28 ABs. Look for him to take Lyles deep today. I’m siding with the Over on this one from PrizePicks.
MLB Summary
We have a full day of baseball and some of my favorite pitchers that I target with bats are on the hill. Look for teams like the Angels and Red Sox to put up some high run totals today. They’ll be a route to target with bats.
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Good luck and hope to see some green bars tonight!
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