Joel Bartilotta 
It’s Tuesday and we have a solid slate for some MLB props to play on PrizePicks. My focus today will be on the games starting at 7pm. We have a bunch of gas cans on the hill today so we’ll looking mostly at hitting props.
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Let’s dig in and see if we can make some money.
MLB Picks
Royals/White Sox – .5 First Inning Runs – Over
This game features two pitchers at very different points in their respective careers, but both in equally poor matchups tonight. Daniel Lynch will turn into a stud pitcher one day, he’s just not there yet and he gets an absolutely miserable matchup. In his short time in the big leagues, righties have been the side of the plate that has given him the most issues.
The White Sox lineup tonight will be an all-righty lineup. With that lineup, I expect the White Sox to score early in this one and get on the board in the first. Dallas Keuchel starts for the White Sox and you have to think he’s at the tail end of his career. This year has been especially rough for him through 2 starts. I expect both Merrifield and Perez to get the party started early for the Royals in this one. I’m siding with the Over on this runs prop from PrizePicks.
Blue Jays/Red Sox – .5 First Inning Runs – Over
This one may turn into a laugher early. On the hill for the Red Sox, tonight will be Nick Pivetta. Through his 11 innings of work this season he’s already given up 4 homers. I see very few scenarios where Pivetta can get through his matchup unscathed. Of all the pitchers on the hill tonight, only Jake Odorizzi has a higher xFIP on the year. Hitters have a near 39% hard-hit rate against Pivetta to go along with a 38% flyball rate. There are so many factors leading to the Blue Jays blowing this one wide open quickly tonight. I like the Over on this PrizePicks projection tonight.
Salvador Perez – 7.5 Hitter Fantasy Score – Over
Salvador Perez is heating up folks! We need to take advantage of it while we can. Over his last 20 Abs, Perez has 7 hits with 3 of them leaving the park. His hard-hit rate is also pushing 60% over those ABs. Perez also has a very long history of smashing lefties. Over the last 2 seasons, he has a .333 ISO against them. With Keuchel struggling to start the year, Perez is in a great spot to keep up his productivity. I love the over on this number from PrizePicks.
Byron Buxton – 7.5 Hitter Fantasy Score – Over
I was expecting this number to be at 8.5, so when I saw it was just 7.5 I jumped at the opportunity to take advantage of it. Since coming back from injury, Buxton has been red hot. In his last 9 Abs, Buxton has 3 homers to go with 7 RBI. He also gets a great matchup with a pitcher in Eduardo Rodriguez coming into tonight’s game, not in great form. Rodriguez is giving up a 50% flyball rate and a 39% hard-hit rate this year. There is a very real chance that Buxton takes him deep in his first AB. I Love the over here.
MLB Summary
Tonight’s a great night to pick some offense. There are a bunch of pitchers that are just struggling right now that are in matchups that will only enhance their poor start. I’d also recommend projections for Blue Jays bats and some White Sox bats.
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Good luck and hope to see some green bars tonight!
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