Joel Bartilotta 
It’s Monday and we have a solid slate for some MLB props to play on PrizePicks. With it being Monday, that means we’ll have a smaller slate to deal with.
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Let’s dig in and see if we can make some money.
MLB Picks
Giants/Brewers – .5 First Inning Runs Allowed – Under
This game will feature 2 solid pitchers. On the Brewers side, they’ll turn the ball over to staff ace Corbin Burnes. After a rough first outing, Burnes has really settled in nicely over his last couple of starts with 18 K’s between the 2 games. Although the Giants have a solid lineup, Burnes is the type of pitcher that can dominate any lineup.
On the Giants side, they’ll turn the ball over to Sam Long as the opener for today. He’s only thrown 4 innings so far this season, but has yet to give up a run. Look for that to continue today against the Brewers. I like the Under on this PrizePicks number.
Phillies/Rockies – .5 First Inning Runs Allowed – Over
Phillies have the highest run total on the board tonight at 5.1. I expect there to be some runs in this game and I expect them to start right from the start. The Phillies are throwing out 4 right handed hitters in their first 5 tonight and that’s going to cause some headaches for Kyle Freeland tonight.
All 4 of those hitters have ISO’s of at least .180 against lefties to start the year. Look for the Phillies to score early and often tonight, especially after the fireworks from last night’s game against the Brewers. Thanks Angel. I’m siding with Over on this PrizePicks Projection.
Nick Castellanos – 6.5 Hitter Fantasy Score – Over
Is there a chance that Castellanos lets us down today? There’s always a chance, but this matchup is a really solid one for him on paper. We’re now about 3 weeks into the season and so far Castle has been crushing left handed pitching. Through 158 plate appearances he has a . 295 ISO against them with a .414 wOBA. Pitch-wise, Castle also lines up perfectly. He hits low 90’s fastballs and changeups very well. With Freeland, we attack him with righties. They have a .204 ISO against him over the last 2 years. I love the Over on this projection tonight.
Rhys Hoskins – 6.5 Hitter Fantasy Score – Over
Hoskins gets the same matchup tonight as Castle and I may love his spot even more. After a down 2021, Hoskins has been great to start the year. Especially against lefties. Since the start of the year Hoskins has a .302 ISO against lefties. He’s quieted down a bit against them, but he’s still hitting them very hard. Hoskins should see a changeup about 25% of the time tonight vs. Freeland. He has a .762 ISO against this pitch. Look for him to take Freeland deep in front of the home crowd. I’m going with the Over on this PrizePicks number.
MLB Summary
Tonight’s a bit of an odd slate. We have some really good pitchers in bad spots and some good offenses in bad spots. I’m going to take it light tonight on PrizePicks and focus my efforts on that Phillies/Rockies game.
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Good luck and hope to see some green bars tonight!
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