Joel Bartilotta 
It’s Sunday Funday which means we have a full slate of games and with that comes some great props to play on PrizePicks. Some of my favorite pitchers to attack today are on the mound and that means I’ll be attacking them with some hitter props.
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Let’s dig in and see if we can make some money.
MLB Picks
Brandon Lowe – 6.5 Hitter Fantasy Score – Over
Any time that Vincent Velasquez is on the mound, I automatically look to take some bats against him. He’s just not a good pitcher and one that gives up way too much contact. If we look at the advanced metrics of his first start, he got pretty lucky as he escaped with a 2.25 ERA. Whether it’s the 100% LOB, the 82% contact, or the 75% flyball rate, everything says that he should have given up way more runs than he did.
The first guy I’m going to attack him with today is Brandon Lowe, who had a really solid last week. Over the last week, Lowe had 3 homers and 8 runs scored. He’ll bat the top of the lineup today and should be a catalyst for a team that has the potential to put up a big number. I love the Over on this PrizePicks projection.
Wander Franco – 6.5 Hitter Fantasy Score – Over
Franco is another guy that I like in this same matchup. He too had a great week. Over his last 30 Abs, Franco has 11 hits with 6 runs scored. He also has a 44% hard-hit rate. Franco is crushing the ball and with an easy matchup today, he should continue to roll. A 1-2 punch of Lowe and Franco will be successful in your DFS lineups today as well as crushing with PrizePicks projections. I’m going with the Over here.
Ke’Bryan Hayes – 6.5 Hitter Fantasy Score – Over
It’s a Patrick Corbin day! If ever there was a day for him to have a good day, it would be today against a below-average Pirates lineup. They’re in the bottom half of the league in terms of barrel % and hard-hit rate over the last week. That said, he’s still a bad pitcher and righties torch him. This is a very attainable projection for Hayes today.
Over the last week, Hayes has really been seeing the ball well as he has a 50% hard rate on 25 Abs. He also has 10 actual hits over those 25 ABs with 4 runs scored. Really just need a double and a run scored from Hayes today and that seems very attainable. I like the Over on this PrizePicks number.
Rafael Devers – 8.5 Hitter Fantasy Score – Over
I feel like all the pitchers throwing today are ones that are on my list to continuously attack regardless of the team they are playing against. Ober made the list year and today he faces off against a tough Red Sox lineup. Ober has been pretty bad against both sides of the plate since he cracked the Majors last year. I’m going to side with lefties in this matchup though because they tend to hit the ball just a bit farther against him.
I love this matchup for Devers today. Since the start of last year, he’s had a .340 ISO against righties, and today he gets a very average one. He should have absolutely no problem with the low 90’s fastball that Ober will throw to him. Devers is also swinging a hot bat, with 10 hits in his last 26 Abs. Look for Devers to have a great day at the plate and I really like the Over here on this PrizePicks number.
Bailey Ober – 4 Strikeouts – Under
I expect Ober to get rocked pretty hard today and that means a short outing. Vegas agrees as the Red Sox have an implied run total of 5 today. While Ober should get rocked today and that’s one thing against him, the Red Sox are a team that really hasn’t been striking out much to start the season. Over the last week, the Red Sox have just a 23% K rate. Only a handful of teams have been striking out less than them. It’s going to be a tough day for Ober on the hill and I just don’t think he lasts long enough to get his 5 K’s. I’m going with the Under on this one.
MLB Summary
This is a great Sunday slate and whether you celebrate Easter or Passover, I hope y’all get to spend the day with family. I’m going to thoroughly enjoy watching some of my list of pitchers get tagged today and see those green bars on PrizePicks.
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Good luck and hope to see some green bars tonight!
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