Richard Masana 
Welcome to the Thursday, June 10th edition of MLB DFS Picks and Pivots where we dive into the top fantasy baseball plays and slate strategy to help you take down tournaments all season long at Win Daily Sports!
If you are new to MLB DFS Picks and Pivots, the goal of this article is not simply to list out the “best plays” but rather to walk through the context of the slate and help you identify the best arms and stacks to build around for MLB DFS tournament play. We will use DraftKings pricing as our anchor and help you get a head start on your winning builds!
Early Slate Breakdown
Welcome in to a split slate Thursday of MLB DFS Picks and Pivots where we have 4 games starting on the Early Slate at 12:35 PM EST and with all games kicking off by 1:10 meaning we should have all the lineup news we need before lock.
These daytime slates are always tricky to write up because these tend to be the days where lineups are littered with bench players getting the start on “getaway day” and so lineup release could have a drastic impact on ownership. We actually saw this yesterday on the three-game slate where the Giants line-up came out really weak and it pushed Kyle Gibson’s ownership up and over 50% as a result.
What we know we have on this slate is strong pitching with multiple options that offer us high K ability and do so at a bargain price relative to their ceilings.
The best pure strikeout arm on this slate may be Freddy Peralta ($9.4K) who has a dominant 37% K rate and 15.7% swinging strike rate this season. Peralta has the highest ceiling on the slate based on his ability to get swing and misses and go deep into games as he has put up 30+ DK points now in 3 of his last 4 starts and has thrown 100 or more pitches in 3 of those 4 outings as well.
Zack Wheeler ($9.7K) has has flashed similar upside with two double-digit K outings in his last three trips to the mound and with a 31% K rate and 13% SS rate. The match-up against the Braves is not the easiest one as the top 5 in the Atlanta offense have serious pop, but with only Albies/Freeman on the left side – I tend to worry less about guys like Swanson/Riley since Wheeler has been able to dominate RHB this season with a .091 ISO and 53% GB rate.
The fact that we can get two elite K arms under $10K on DraftKings to anchor our builds today seems like the ideal path on this slate and even before we get official line-ups, I think there is enough value to make this work with ease.
The Dodgers against Mitch Keller look to be the early slate hammer with a 5+ IRT and with Max Muncy expected back in the line-up, you can focus first on the left-handed batters against Keller as he surrenders a 54% HC rate and .218 ISO to LHB this season.
So go ahead and start with Cody Bellinger, Max Muncy and Gavin Lux as the primary core plays based on the splits but you can expand to the right-handed batters like Mookie/Turner/Pollock to round out arguably the best stack on the board. Betts actually profiles really well against Keller as he sports a .242 ISO and 41% HC rate against the slider which is Keller’s primary weapon to RHB.
The fact is – you can 5 man stack the Dodgers with Wheeler/Peralta and you still have $3K left for your mini stack around them – seems far too straight forward and I have a hard time arguing against this path at first glance.
Main Slate Breakdown
The 6 game Main Slate has similar high K arms that are going to dominate our builds with Max Scherzer and Trevor Rogers standing out as an elite pairing on DraftKings.
If you look at the metrics, Scherzer and Rogers rank 1-2 in K rate and SS rate – as Mad Max leads the slate with a 36% K rate and 16.7% SS rate while Rogers 29% K rate and 15% SS rate is not far behind.
The fact of the matter is – I am not even worried about looking elsewhere because the pricing on the bats/stacks I want are so under-priced that I simply do not need to pivot off the top arms.
The Twins/Yankees game is the ideal stacking spot on this main slate with RHP Michael King and LHP JA Happ taking the hill and you may be thinking – how on Earth can I stack the Yankees and Twins with Max and Rogers?
Well my friends, welcome to some serious mis-pricing. You want bargains? We got ’em!
The Twins have multiple punts projected in their line-up tonight with C Ben Rortvedt ($2K), OF Gilberto Celestino ($2K) and OF Trevor Larnach ($2.2K). The Yankees meanwhile have 1B Chris Gittens ($2K), Clint Frazier ($2.3K) and Miguel Andujar ($2.6K) all sitting in the same range and now all of a sudden – you have all the salary you could need.
You want Judge/Stanton/Donaldson/Cruz etc – go get ’em – because we have the opportunity here to game stack this spot with high dollar plays as a result of multiple punt plays that make this build far too easy!
Go ahead – give it a whirl. You will like what you see.
MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – The Wrap-Up
We have two slates of MLB DFS Picks and Pivots action and both slates have a similar look and feel in that we have stud strikeout arms we can anchor to on both slate and the pricing is soft enough that we are still able to get the elite bats/stacks from the Dodgers, Twins and Yankees.
Sometimes you take the path the slate gives you and today, I am not overthinking it.
Good luck tonight all! Let’s keep that hot streak rolling! Come join the Win Daily Sports Team – grab a Gold Membership and take advantage of all the tools, articles, and expert coaching we can give you to make you a consistent winner in DFS.
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