Adam Strangis MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Monday 8.24
Welcome back to MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Monday 8.24! I’m Adam Strangis and I’m covering for Brian while he’s on vacation the next couple weeks. Tonight, we have another solid slate on DraftKings with big prizes to take down so let’s get started with our top MLB DFS picks for today’s slate!
For those of you new to Picks and Pivots, the goal of this MLB DFS article each and every day is to provide you a “First Look” overview of the slate where we use DraftKings pricing as a baseline to help us get started. Rather than simply write out the “top plays,” this article will focus on slate strategy and roster construction with a GPP mindset to help you get started on your initial builds. Without further ado, let’s dive into today’s slate!
MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Starting Pitchers:
We have a smaller seven game slate on hand tonight and it’s hard to not want to just lock onto Trevor Bauer as our SP1 in this spot. The pricing just doesn’t make sense to me yet again. Bauer should easily be $11,000 or more. Four starts in and Bauer has racked up an amazing 43.6% K rate and that leads MLB among SP with 20 IP. There’s nothing wrong with the swinging strike rate at 13.2%. Bauer faces the Brewers, whom he has a 36.5 DK performance. That’s been the floor for Bauer and Milwaukee is top three in K%. This is an easy SP1 choice.
I’m interested in some other pitchers that we’ll cover in the Starting Rotation, but I want Lance Lynn to pair up with Bauer tonight. Lynn has been somewhat underrated for over a year now and I love that he exceeds 100 pitches every fifth day. That’s an unbelievable luxury. Oakland can get to pitchers but they also whiff at a top 10 rate in baseball to RHP. Lynn is only 1.1 IP behind Shane Bieber for the league lead and he has a 28% K rate himself. That bumps up to 30.2% to RHH, which benefits Lynn vs Oakland’s RHH-heavy lineup. He should not be under $9,000.
MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Stacks and Bats:
On paper, this is a very strong pitching slate. There’s not a ton of obvious attack spots so we’ll fall to a trustworthy option – Houston. They are missing pieces to be sure but Angels starter Patrick Sandoval is giving up a .367 wOBA and .860 OPS to RHH this year. He does generate ground balls at a high rate but the 53.1% hard hit rate will come back to bite him at some point. The main targets for Houston are Yuli Gurriel (team leader in wOBA and ISO vs LHP), Carlos Correa, Abraham Toro and maybe Martin Maldonado, pending how you spend on catcher. All these players have a wOBA over .320 and an ISO of at least .172 (Correa) on the year.
I’m then turning to cheap Arizona bats to finish off my stacks. Rockies starter Ryan Castellani has been fine through his first three starts. However, the D-Backs are very cheap and there’s no track record for Castellani. Kole Calhoun, David Peralta and Ketel Marte are all over a .320 wOBA and Calhoun has a huge .333 ISO and a .936 OPS.
MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Wrap up
As I mentioned, the offensive side of the ball is tough today. I’ll be listening to our team for ideas and routes to attack through the day. We can always update things in Discord for that side of things. On the pitching side, there’s a ton of options. Bauer and Lynn are definitely my favorite but there’s many ways to go on this one.
Stick around in Discord today and let’s talk some baseball!
Let’s get it tonight my friends!
Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @bucn4life and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as sports FINALLY return.
