Welcome to another Sunday edition of the Stack City, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.
There are basically two (non-turbo/express) slates each on DraftKings and FanDuel, with the 1:35 PM EST Main slate consisting of 12 games on FD. The main slate on DK cuts out the Coors Field game and first of two CWS-NYY games, which are included in the 3:05 late slate on DK. On FD, the 4:05 PM EST late slate is made up of just two games.
We should (once again) begin our day with Adam’s Starting Rotation article to help decide on arms and then move onto the different possibilities to mix and match them with our stacks for GPPs.
Now it’s time to get to the stacks and build that bankroll!
MLB DFS Hitter Stacks – Main Slate
We saw some success yesterday promoting the Twins and Brewers, but the Rockies exploded for 11 runs in Coors and the Astros didn’t do much for us. Today on DK, we can forget about Coors and its ridiculous dimensions and weather, and get right to the analysis of the best stacks without fear of the high elevation sucking the air out of us. The best hitting weather/environment combo is in Boston and Philly, and the City of Brotherly Love is one place we’re definitely going to look for offense.
Game Stack: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
How we actually balance out this game stack is ultimately a question of working the Vegas odds in our favor, so while I’m perfectly amenable to using four Dodgers and four Phillies on FD is you can afford it, but 4 Dodgers/3 Phillies (or vice versa for a contrarian bent) with a guy like Shane Bieber at SP and a one-off punt at UTIL works from a salary cap perspective. I just built one that includes Freddie Freeman, Max Muncy and Cody Bellinger from Big Blue and has most of the top Phillies bats, including Bryce Harper, Kyle Schwarber and Jean Segura. The wind is blowing out to right field at a decent clip, so lefties seem to be the priority, especially with two RHP on the mound.
Players like Justin Turner, Chris Turner and Gavin Lux from LA as well as J.T. Realmuto, Alec Bohm and Odubel Herrera from Philly are all under $3K on FD, so stacking this thing up is very possible and could yield a big GPP payday. Bohm in particular hits splitters well, and Tony Gonsolin, as Adam points out in his Starting Rotation piece, is carrying an artificially low ERA (1.64) that doesn’t jibe with the 4.03 xFIP. Perhaps Tony G is good enough to warrant only a two-man mini-stack run back (or even just a Bohm one-off) on the four-man Dodgers stack, but I’m willing to take some chances if I’m multi-entering in some low-cost, large-field GPPs.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Graham Ashcraft
The Jays’ bats are notoriously cold these days, but Ashcraft is making his big-league debut and could be in for an early hook, especially since the baseball sharps see him more as back-end bullpen relief in the long run. For now, though, Ashcraft will be working a two-pitch fastball-slider repertoire against some very dangerous hitters, including George Springer, Bo Bichette (two HRs yesterday), Vladimir Guerrero, Jr. and Teoscar Hernandez — to name my favorite four.
We can’t expect these guys to stay quiet much longer, and some have already shown signs of waking up. Nobody’s really at a discount just yet, so that may help in keeping ownership down in what plenty of folks have to be looking at as a prime spot with a high projected team total of over 5 runs. Premier value plays for Toronto include Santiago Espinal (who matches up well against Ashcraft) and Raimel Tapia at just $2,600 on DK in the nine slot.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Aaron Sanchez
The Brewers have a team .330 wOBA vs. RHP, and today they get to face a relatively bad one in Sanchez, who’s sporting a 7.94/5.26 ERA/FIP combo with a 16% HR/FB rate and just 4.76 K/9. If you can’t miss some of these Milwaukee bats, you’re going to be in for a world of hurt.
We can start our Brewers builds with Kolten Wong/Christian Yelich/Rowdy Tellez — who have wRC+ marks vs. RHP of 126/140/131, respectively. From there, it’ll just be picking the best fit among Luis Urias, Andrew McCutchen, Hunter Renfroe and Omar Narvaez. I really like the possibility of a four-man Brewers stack with 3 LAD/1 PHI on FD, but on DK, I’ll be looking seriously at doing the full five-man stack for Milwaukee in this prime matchup.
There’s a lot the Brewers can switch up with their lineups now that Keston Hiura is back, and although Willy Adames is still out with a high ankle sprain, Jace Peterson offers some amazing value and upside at the bottom of the Brewers lineup.
Contrarian Stack: Boston Red Sox vs. Logan Gilbert
Count me as a non-believer with Gilbert, or simply someone who thinks this Red Sox lineup is just too hot to steer clear of because Gilbert can strike a few guys out. Either way, it can’t be a bad idea to work some builds with Rafael Devers, J.D. Martinez, Xander Bogaerts and Trevor Story at the core.
Adam Strangis astutely points out that Gilbert is sporting a 4.23 xFIP is 4.23 and the1.44 HR/9 is far from perfection, so I could see a couple of early Red Sox dongs getting in the way of a quality start for the Seattle righthander. Combine that with really good hitting weather that will see a few high fly balls to left field easily leave Fenway over the Green Monster, and we could have a very productive middle of the order for Boston with very low ownership.
MLB DFS Main Slate Summary
The Astros are in a great bounce-back spot against Taylor Hearn and the Texas Rangers, and the Yankees (Anthony Rizzo, Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, Gleyber Torres) make sense on FD in a Game 1 that should be over before the rain comes in to complicate whether or not a delay stymies the game 2, slated to start at 7:05 PM ET.
We have a few expensive arms on both sites, but there’s definitely enough value to find at SP2 that should give us plenty of room to fit in our favorite stacks.
I also recommend hitting up Discord and checking out some of our writers’ favorite one-off plays to round out your lineups and discover those priceless value gems that make it all work.
MLB DFS Hitter Stacks – Late Slate (DK)
We don’t like to invest too heavily in two- and three-game slates at WinDaily, especially for cash games. But the DK afternoon slate has a host of top-notch offensive spots to look to, including the game in Coors Field (the Mets RHB vs. LHP Austin Gomber is the best approach here), the Yankees stack that we mentioned in our main slate summary, and the often overlooked Giants and Angels, both in solid spots in their respective games.
Wilmer Flores and Darin Ruf are both under $4K and have those splits we look for against RHP, and targeting the 1-4 hitters from the Angels looks like a great place to start in Anaheim.
Good luck again today, and let’s see those green screens in Discord!