Welcome to the Monday edition of the Stack City, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.
It’s Monday and that means we have a smaller slate to work with tonight. We have just 6 games on top with the main slate starting 20 minutes earlier than normal.
Always make sure to read Adam’s Starting Rotation when setting your lineup. It’s hands down the best pitching article in the MLB DFS business.
Let’s dig in and see if we can find some stacks to use today!
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Cincinnati Reds vs. Madison Bumgarner
The Cincinnati Reds get one of the best matchups of the day vs. a pitcher that is just a shell of his former self. Over the past 30 days, Madison Bumgarner has really been struggling. After skating by the first few weeks, regression has finally caught up to him. Over the past month, no pitcher on tonight’s slate has given up more hard contact than MadBum. And it’s not even close. MadBum is giving up a nearly 44% hard-hit rate while the next closest person is below 39%. He’s getting shelled and he’s facing a lineup tonight that has really been coming on strong.
MadBum has been giving up way more power to righties over the past 30 days so my core will be built around them. I’ll start with Tommy Pham. Pham, while expensive, is in a nice spot tonight. He’s coming off an extremely solid weekend that saw him get 5 hits, 3 RBI, and 2 runs scored. Against lefties over the last month, he’s also been pretty good with a .348 wOBA and a .250 ISO.
Next up will be Kyle Farmer. Farmer has been light’s out vs. southpaws this year with a wOBA of .474 and has also shown some pop with a .756 slugging %. When in the right matchup, Farmer has been able to fill the stat sheet. Tonight’s one of those nights when he’s in the right matchup.
Other guys I’ll look to here will be Brandon Drury, Nick Senzel, Tyler Stephenson, and of course, Joey Votto.
Boston Red Sox vs. Noah Syndergaard
Since mocking the Mets no-hitter on Twitter, Syndergaard has given up 12 runs in just 11 innings of work. Karma has apparently caught up to him. The once overpowering righty has one of the lowest K-rates of any pitcher on the mound today. His 16% K-rate in 2022 is significantly lower than his career average. In his first season back from TJ surgery, he just no longer has the overpowering stuff he used to. His fastball now sits at a very hittable 95 mph vs. the old 100 mph one pre-TJ surgery. Until he gets right, he’s someone that we should stack against, especially when a solid lineup like the Red Sox is in play.
My Red Sox stack will start with 2 lefties that come in at 2 very different price points, Rafael Devers and Frenchy Cordero. Both guys stand to have big nights. Devers is coming off a big game yesterday where he went 2 for 3 and had a homer. Against righties over the last month, he’s been extremely solid with a .463 wOBA and an ISO of .341.
With Frenchy Cordero, we’re getting someone in peak form right now. Over his last 3 games, Cordero has 3 hits, 2 extra-base hits, and 6 RBI. At just $3.2k on DK tonight, he provides us with some great value and a chance at some great production. Should Jarren Duran remain in the lineup tonight, he’ll also provide us with some great value as he’s only $2.6k. Other guys I’ll like in this stack will be J.D. Martinez and Xander Bogaerts.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Daniel Lynch
Anytime you stack against Daniel Lynch it’s a pretty high-risk stack. He’s got some nasty stuff and anytime out he possesses the ability to overpower his opponent. That said, he’s also still very young and often makes mistakes. Twice this season he’s surrendered at least 6 ER and a matchup with the Blue Jays could definitely lead to a third. With Lynch, we want to focus on righties. While he strikes them out at a higher rate, they also possess more power against him.
I’ll start my Blue Jays stack with Vladimir Guerrero. Guerrero’s struggles seem to be behind him. Over the past week, he’s been back to the old powerful Guerrero. Since May 24, Guerrero has 5 homers and 8 RBI. In this matchup vs. a lefty, he should smash. Over the last month, his ISO is up to .231 vs. lefties. He’s back folks!
Next up would be Teoscar Hernandez. After a slow start, Hernandez has really come on strong of late. Until yesterday’s 0 for, he had hit safely in 9 straight and had at least 14 DK points in 4 of them. Against lefties over the last 2 seasons, Hernandez has a .464 wOBA vs. lefties and a .353 ISO. He should also do well tonight.
Other guys i like here are going to be George Springer, Santiago Espinal, and Alejandro Kirk. They all possess massive upside tonight.
MLB DFS Summary
We’ll need to keep an eye on the weather tonight, especially the game in Cincy. If that game plays without an issue, you could also go for a game stack.
Good luck and hope to see you in the green.
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