Welcome to the Thursday edition of the Stack City, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.
Today we have just a 5-game slate. At first glance, we have limited options outside of one glaring spot. That said, we’ll find some spots for us take advantage of.
Always make sure to read Adam’s Starting Rotation when setting your lineup. It’s hands down the best pitching article in the MLB DFS business.
Let’s dig in and see if we can find some stacks to use today!
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Patrick Corbin
Patrick Corbin on the mound? Check! Patrick Corbin on the mound vs. a team that is crushing southpaws? Check! While Corbin hasn’t been awful of late, I also wouldn’t categorize him as good. He’s now gone six consecutive starts with allowing at least 3 ER. With a matchup against a team that has crushed lefties this year, he should make it a seventh consecutive start.
On the year, the Phillies have a 114 wRC against lefties and a .189 ISO. They can show power against them in an instant and they’ll do that tonight. As long as Corbin continues to give up barrels and homers at the pace he gives them up, I’m just going to continue to stack against him. Will it always work out? Nope. But more often than not it will, especially in the right matchup. And tonight we have the right matchup.
This Phillies stack will start with Rhys Hoskins. Hoskins is on absolute fire right now. Since June 7, he’s hit safely in 8 of his 9 games. Over that stretch, he’s had 6 multi-hit games and 2 multi-homer games. Against southpaws over the last month, he’s just been balling. He has a .414 ISO and a .500 wOBA against them. He’s as dialed in as he’s been and until he cools down we’ll want to prioritize getting him in there.
Next up is Nick Castellanos. While he’s not overly hot right now, this is a spot for him to take advantage of. Corbin throws his sinker more than 44% of the time to righties. Against lefty sinkers, Castle has a .435 ISO and a .611 wOBA. He’s historically crushed them and if there were ever a ‘get-right’ spot for him to show some power, this is it.
Other bats I’ll look to prioritize getting in here are going to be Alec Bohm, Bryce Harper, and Matt Vierling.
Texas Rangers vs. Beau Brieske
Through his first 9 starts this season, Beau Brieske has really only had one or two bad starts. He’s given up more than 3 ER just twice and recently gave up 0 ER against the mighty Toronto Blue Jays. He’s been able to do this while just giving up a ton of contact. His 82% contact rate would rank third among all the pitchers on tonight’s slate. Of that 82% contact, almost 36% of it has been hard-hit. He’s also given up 12 barrels over his 26 innings of work and 7 bombs.
So far, Brieske has been extremely lucky to avoid giving up too much damage. With the amount of contact and hard contact that he gives up, at some point, the dominos are going to fall for an epic game against him and I’m going to want to be part of the game. Tonight, there’s a strong chance they fall.
My first piece to this Rangers stack will be Adolis Garcia. Garcia’s been their hottest hitter of late. He’s currently riding a 7-game-hitting streak where he’s had 13 hits. He’s been on fire and it should continue in an exploitable matchup. He also lines up well with Brieske. Brieske will throw a fastball/slider combo to righties. Garcia has strong power numbers against both pitches. While Garcia is always a risk to K, knowing that Brieske is a low K guy, I’m not going to be overly concerned with the K risk.
Next up will be Marcus Semien. Over the last couple of weeks, Semien has finally started to show some of the power and stats that helped him land his massive contract from the Rangers. After starting the year slowly, he finally has his average up to .220 and is up to 6 homers and 25 RBI on the year. Not All-Star numbers just yet, but he’s been increasing his production and that should continue tonight.
I’ll also want some of Ezequiel Duran in this stack. At just $2.5k on DK, he’s one of my favorite value plays of the day. He’s had hits in 5 straight, including 3 multi-hit games. Over that stretch, he’s also had 2 stolen bases. If he gets on, which he has been, he’s going to try to swipe a bag. Other guys I like here are going to be Corey Seager, Kole Calhoun, and Nate Lowe.
Los Angeles Angels vs. George Kirby (High Risk Stack)
The Angels have been one of the worst teams in baseball over the last month or so. They have just too good of a lineup to be this bad for this long. At some point, they’re going to break back out. Could it be tonight against a pitcher that’s given up 7 homers and 11 barrels in his last 27 innings of work? Absolutely. So far in his brief career, righties have been what has given Kirby fits. They have a .305 ISO and a .375 wOBA against him. Most importantly, his K rate drops down to just 19% against righties.
Even though Mike Trout is matchup-proof, knowing that Kirby is worse against righties makes me love him even more in this matchup. There’s not much I need to say to sell you on Trout. He’s the best player in the game, and even though he’s ‘cool’ right now, he’s always a risk for a monster game. Against righties over the last month, Trout has a .355 ISO and a .363 wOBA. He’s always in play, especially in a matchup with a pitcher that has struggled against righties.
Next up will be Taylor Ward. Yes, he’s ice-cold right now and only has 8 AB since coming off the IL. That said, he started off the year extremely solid and that player is still in there. He’s going to see a ton of sliders tonight as he throws it more than 50% of the time to righties. Ward’s historically done well against them as he has a .380 wOBA against them from righties. If Kirby hangs one, Ward should be able to do some damage.
Other guys I like here are going to be Jared Walsh, Brandon Marsh, and Shohei Ohtani.
MLB DFS Summary
Other stacks I’ll like here are going to be the Mets vs. Ashby, Milwaukee vs. Megill, and Tigers vs. Perez. I also like the Yankees tonight. Depending on what the Rays do with pitching, they could slide into my top 3 stacks.
Good luck and hope to see you in the green.
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