...
DFS & Sports Betting Tools, Exclusive Content, and Expert Chat
 
DFS & Sports Betting Tools, Exclusive Content, and Expert Chat
 

MLB DFS Hitter Stacks (July 1)

Welcome to the Friday edition of the Stack City, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel

Thanks to some day baseball, we have a smaller than usual 10-game slate of MLB DFS on this fine first day of July.

Always make sure to read Adam’s Starting Rotation when setting your lineup.  It’s hands down the best pitching article in the MLB DFS business.

Let’s dig in and see if we can find some stacks to use today!

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

New York Mets vs. Glenn Otto

The New York Mets are coming off their first 3-game losing streak of the season, a streak that has left Mets fans pretty worried.  Mets fans have no fear, we get to take on Glenn Otto tonight who has struggled in the Majors.  Through 9 starts this season, Otto has pitched to an ERA and xFIP over 5.  His last start was arguably his worst in the bigs as he gave up 6 ER in just 2 innings of work. 

While he didn’t give up a single homer in that one, he managed to give up 13 base hits in the 2 innings.  That takes quite a bit of talent.  Otto has been a reverse splits pitcher this season, playing right into the Mets’ hands as many of the big bats on the team are right-handed.  Righties have almost a .500 slugging % vs. him this year, compared to just a .307 for lefties. 

Knowing that Otto struggles against righties gives me more confidence to start this stack with the MLB RBI leader in Pete Alonso.  Alonso has had a monster 2022 so far.  The Polar Bear is up to 22 homers and 69 RBI on the year.  Over the last 30 days, Alonso has just smashed righties.  His ISO is .433 and wOBA is .446 against them in June.  Of his 22 homers this season, 17 have come against righties.  He should be in a solid spot to add to his season-long power numbers tonight.

Next up will be Starling Marte.  Marte’s first season with the Mets has been a successful one so far.  Hitting in front of Alonso, he’s already been able to score 48 runs while driving in 36.  With his combination of speed and power, Marte always possesses a chance to stuff the box score.  He’s up to 8 steals on the season and can cause havoc for pitchers when he’s on base, making Alonso’s at-bats more fun to watch. 

Other Mets I’ll like in this stack will be Brandon NimmoFrancisco Lindor, and Jeff McNeil.  Nimmo is coming into this game as the Mets’ hottest hitter over the last week.  He has 8 hits in his last 20 AB.  He sets the tone at the top of this order.

Minnesota Twins vs. Spenser Watkins

The right-handed heavy Minnesota Twins get to take on Spenser Watkins today.  A pitcher that has really struggled to get out right-handed hitters in his brief career.  Making just his second start since coming back from the Minor Leagues, Watkins will try to silence a Twins lineup that has been very solid against right-handed pitching.  The Twins in 2022 have a 115 wRC and a .749 OPS against right-handed pitching. 

Making matters worse for Watkins is that he’s going to face a lineup tonight that will be right-handed heavy.  He’ll be facing a lineup that could have 5-6 righties in it.  Against righties this season, Watkins has given up a .581 slugging % compared to just .357 vs. lefties.  All 5 homers he’s allowed this season have been to righties.  If Rocco Baldelli were smart, and I think he is, he’d just load up on righties tonight.

One guy that we know will definitely be in there tonight and that will be the focus of my Twins stack will be Carlos Correa.  Correa has been lights out of late.  Over his last 24 AB, he has 7 hits and has scored 7 runs.  He’s also driven in 5 thanks to 2 bombs.  Against righties over the last month, Correa has a .305 ISO and a .455 wOBA.  8 of Correa’s 9 homers this season have come against righties.  There’s a solid chance he can add to that number tonight.

Next up is the most frustrating player in all of MLB DFS, Byron Buxton.  When playing Buxton, you always need to be prepared for an 0-5 night with 3k’s.  With Watkins, I’m not going to be overly concerned with the K risk tonight.  Against righties, his K rate over the course of his career has been just 12%.  Buxton over the last 30 days has been extremely solid vs. righties, with an ISO and wOBA over .450.  Can he mess this up and get us a goose egg tonight?  Yes, but he’s in a great spot and provided a ton of reward potential here.

Other guys I also like here are Gary SanchezJorge Polanco, and Gio Urshela (hopefully he’s in there tonight). 

Seattle Mariners vs. James Kaprielian

The Seattle Mariners get just a great matchup tonight vs. James Kaprielian.  Kaprielian is a pitcher that just doesn’t miss enough bats to be successful, especially with the amount of hard contact that he gives up.  Over his last 24 innings of work, Kap has just a 13.6% K rate, while giving up 5 homers and 7 barrels.  His ERA and xFIP are just about even and they are both over 5.60.  He’s someone that is struggling and with his struggles, we want to stack against him. 

While he’s been pretty bad against both sides of the plate, he’s been especially bad against lefties.  Lefties have a slugging % of .539 against him this season.  Away from Oakland, it’s been slightly higher at .548.  With the addition of Carlos Santana, it’s another lefty bat that Kap will have to deal with tonight. 

While he’s not a lefty, my Mariners stack is going to start with leading rookie of the year candidate, Julio Rodriguez.  Rodriguez’s first season in the bigs has been a solid one. In 77 games so far this season, he’s already scored 43 runs and driven in 39.  He’s been a huge part of this offense and should do well tonight.  Against righties over the last month, he has a wOBA of .381 and an ISO of .224.

Now we get to the lefties.  First up will be Jessie Winker.  We’ll need to keep an eye on this one as he very well could start his suspension tonight.  If he appeals and plays tonight, I love this spot for him.  After starting out the year slowly, he’s been much better.  Over the last month, his wOBA against righties is up to .392.  In his last 24 AB, he has 10 hits and has a wRC of 7.  We’ll just need to keep an eye on his status tonight.

Other lefties I really like here will be Carlos SantanaCal Raleigh, and Abraham Toro.

MLB DFS Summary

Other stacks I like tonight are going to be the Diamondbacks vs. Antonio Senzatela, Orioles vs. Joe Ryan, and Milwaukee Brewers vs. Roansy Contreras. 

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.   

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

OFFERS

Subscribe to our newsletter

The best bets and resources to make you more profitable

    Our Company

    At WIN DAILY®, our motto is to “change your game and change your life.” We want to help you win that bet, parlay, and big DFS tournament and have some fun while you do. Our goal is to help you turn your love of sports into a profit center while playing responsibly and enjoying your time with a like-minded community.

    ©2024 WIN DAILY®. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

    This site is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not involve real money betting. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800 GAMBLER. This service is intended for adult users only.
    -
    00:00
    00:00
    Update Required Flash plugin
    -
    00:00
    00:00