Jared Levitt 
TGIF! It’s the last series of the season for teams and we have a massive 12-game slate of MLB DFS tonight. While not 100% set yet, the playoff picture is becoming clearer and clearer. The Tigers appear to have snuck themselves into the playoffs as they now have a magic number of just 1. That means the Twins have all but been eliminated in an epic collapse. The real race that we have left is over in the NL Wild Card as the Braves/Mets/Dbacks are all separated by just a game. This last weekend of baseball should be a fun one and this slate is looking solid.
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Sean Manaea ($8.7k on DK) vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Sean Manaea will almost certainly be opting out of his contract at the end of the season. His 2024 season has been a rebirth for him and he should earn himself a nice long term contract this winter. The Mets will need him to keep rolling tonight as they currently sit tied with the Dbacks in the wild card hunt and both teams have a 1-game lead over the Braves. While the Brewers have a strong lineup, it’s a lineup that has typically underperformed against lefties.
Their star hitter in Willy Adames is significantly worse against lefties than he is righties and this matchup should neutralize him as a threat. The Brewers have multiple bats in the lineup that have a 30% or greater K rate vs. lefties over the last month. With how well Manaea is pitching and how much worse the Brewers are against lefties, this is a phenomenal spot for Manaea. He’s my SP1 tonight against a team that has nothing to play for.
Jose Berrios ($9k on DK) vs. Miami Marlins
While the Marlins do have some sneaky pop at times, they also have some serious strike out issues. Over the last week, the Marlins have struck out 33% of the time. Of the teams playing tonight, that trails only the Colorado Rockies. Even though the Jays have absolutely nothing to play for this weekend, I still expect them to put their best foot forward, especially Berrios.
After a sub-par first full season with the Jays back in 2022, Berrios has run back another strong season after rebounding last year. His 3.38 ERA is the lowest of his career. Over the last month he’s been even better as he’s pitched to an ERA of 1.08. The Jays are massive favorites here and I like Berrios to have another outing with at least 20 DK points.
Other pitchers I like tonight will be Max Fried vs. the Royals, Joey Cantillo vs. Houston, Carlos Rodon vs. Pittsburgh, and Nick PIvetta vs. Tampa. A cheap arm to consider also tonight will be Cade Povich of the O’s vs. Minnesota. If you haven’t noticed, Minnesota has fallen off the deep end and their offense is beyond suspect at this point.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
I don’t’ feel like I need to tell you how good of a spot the Dodgers are tonight facing Cal Quantrill in Colorado. Shohei Ohtani is priced higher than more than half the pitchers on this slate. The one thing that we may have going for us is that I could see the Dodgers playing some non-regulars more in this series. They lost Freeman last night and with their spot locked up seeding-wise, they have nothing left to play for.
Seattle Mariners vs. JP Sears
The Mariners playoff hopes were shattered the other day so they have little to play for tonight other than pride and some bonuses to hit. Even so, I still like this spot for them tonight against an Oakland team that was riding an emotional high yesterday. That will wear off by today and they’ll send JP Sears to the mound. He’s been struggling over the last month or so as he has an ERA of 4.8 over the last 30 days.
Across his last 30 innings, he’s been susceptible to power as he’s allowed 5 homers and 11 barrels. I’m expecting his struggles to continue as he’s facing a Mariners lineup that has been doing really well against lefties over the last month. The middle of their lineup has 3 guys that have ISO’s over .230 and wOBA’s over .360 against southpaws over the last 30 days.
Core Plays: Julio Rodriguez, Cal Raleigh, Victor Robles, Randy Arozarena
Value Plays: Dylan Moore, Jorge Polanco, Justin Turner
New York Mets vs. Frankie Montas
Frankie Montas has just one start over the last month where he’s given up less than 3 ER. That’s a span of 6 starts and he’s coming off arguably his worst start of the season. A start that saw him give up 7 ER across 2 innings of work vs. Arizona. I’m going to be chasing power here as he’s given up 7 homers over the last month. The way to get to Montas is through lefties.
Lefties have a .503 slugging % vs. him this season and 16 of the 23 homers he’s given up have been to lefties. The Mets should be at full health tonight as Lindor was in the lineup vs. the Braves before Mother Nature caused the last 2 games of the series to be PPD. The Mets have everything to play for while the Brewers have nothing to play for. Look for them to come out firing tonight.
Core Bats: Francisco Lindor (still be a little leary with his back), Brandon Nimmo, Jessie Winker (also a nice value)
Secondary Plays: Pete Alonso (could be his final series as a Met), Mark Vientos, Starling Marte, Francisco Alvarez
Value Plays: Jose Iglesias, Luisangel Acuna
Other bats I like tonight will be the Rockies vs. Brent Honeywell, Red Sox vs. Taj Bradley, Rangers vs. Reid Detmers, and Blue Jays vs. Adam Oller
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