Jared Levitt 
TGIF! We’ve almost made it to the weekend and the MLB gods have blessed us with a massive slate this Friday. We have a 12-game slate of MLB DFS to deal with tonight. There’s only a week left in the season the playoff picture is jam-packed. The Phillies/Dodgers/Guardians/Yankees have all clinched a playoff spot so far. With the Wild Card though, there are still plenty of teams that are vying for a spot in the Fall Classic. Both the NL and AL Wild Card races are insanely tight and will make for a fun last 9 days of the season. This slate looks to be a fun one at first glance is wide open.
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Joe Musgrove ($9.1k on DK/$9.9k on FD) vs. Chicago White Sox
Joe Musgrove is coming off arguably his best outing of the season. Against the Giants earlier this week, he went 6 strong innings while not allowing a run and striking out 8. That’s now at least 8 K’s in 4 of his last 5 outings and with a matchup against the lowly White Sox tonight, I don’t see any reason why he can’t continue with the roll that he’s on.
This is a White Sox team that is 81 games under .500 and has scored a league-low 473 runs. No other team in baseball is under 580 runs scored. This is a historically bad team and one that should help the Padres maintain their cushion in the Wild Card lead in the NL. Look for Musgrove to be one of the top-performing pitchers on this slate.
Gerrit Cole ($9k on DK/$10.4k on FD) vs. Oakland Athletics
I’m going to ignore Gerrit Cole’s last outing. For some reason or another, Cole does not do well vs. Rafael Devers and team. So much so that Cole gave Devers a free pass with the bases empty. He should get back on the saddle tonight vs. the Oakland A’s. While the A’s are much improved, they are also still a young and raw team that has lapses where their offense disappears.
Tonight should be one of those spots again where they struggle. Cole is coming into one pitcher pretty well, outside of the Red Sox game we already mentioned. In the 2 games prior, he had punched out 16 hitters and only allowed 1 ER. The Yanks are looking to wrap up the AL East in quick fashion so expect a full load for Cole tonight.
Other pitchers I like tonight will be Michael Wacha vs. San Francisco, Charlie Morton vs. Miami, Corbin Burnes vs. Detroit, and George Kirby vs. Texas.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colin Rea
His numbers are somewhat inflated over the past month due to a disastrous outing vs. San Francisco. In that outing he gave up 10 ER in just 4 innings of work. Even with that, he’s still less than good. Over the last month, his xFIP and SIERA are sitting pretty close to 5. He’s been giving up a ton of flyballs at nearly 45% and he’s been giving up a ton of contact at nearly 83%.
Against one of the best lineups in baseball in the Diamondbacks, that’s not going to cut it. I have a slight lean to the lefties here, though everyone is in play. Lefties have a .456 wOBA vs. him over the last month and a K rate under 10%. With this being a lefty-dominant lineup, it’s going to be tough sledding for Rea.
Core Plays: Corbin Carroll, Christian Walker, Ketel Marte
Secondary Plays: Joc Pederson, Jake McCarthy
Value Plays: Pavin Smith, Gabriel Moreno
Atlanta Braves vs. Valente Bellozo
Another pitcher who is struggling right now is Valente Bellozo. Over the last month, he’s pitched to a 5.33 ERA and an xFIP/SIERA that is more than a run higher. He’s also been extremely susceptible to power. Over his last 25 innings, he’s allowed a crazy amount of homers at 9. Add in the 12 barrels that he’s given up and we can see that we clearly have a pitcher not ready for the big leagues.
The Braves come into this fresh of a monster game yesterday that saw them score 15 runs. They’ll look to put up another bunch of runs as they are sitting out of the playoffs currently. I’m not going to be overly concerned about splits here because Bellozo has been vs. both.
Core Bats: Michael Harris, Matt OlsonMarcell Ozuna
Value Bats: , Jorge Soler, Whitt Merifield, Ramon Laureano
Other bats I like tonight will be the Dodgers vs. Kyle Freeland, Royals vs. Mason Black, and Astros vs. Tyler Anderson.
Other bats I like tonight will be the Cards vs. Jake Woodford, Twins vs. Bibee, Mets vs. DJ Hertz, and Blue Jays vs. Cody Bradford
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