Jared Levitt 
Hump Day! It’s Wednesday and that normally means multiple slates. Tonight is different though as we have a massive 12-game slate of MLB DFS. The sites have adjusted and this slate starts 30 minutes earlier than normal thanks to the 6:35 games being included. With just 12 days left in the season, we have more than a handful of teams still battling for just a few playoff spots.
With their win last night and the Dbacks and Braves losses, the Mets are now tied for the 2nd WC spot and have a 2-game edge over the Braves. The Tigers are trying to do the impossible and come back from 9.5 games just a few weeks to make the playoffs. They are smoking hot and sit just 1.5 games outside of Minnesota. This 12 day sprint to the finish line is going to be a fun one!
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Tarik Skubal ($10.6k on DK/$11k on FD) vs. Kansas City Royals
Tarik Skubal is the odds-on favorite to win the AL Cy Young award this year. After setting a career-low ERA last season at 2.80, all he has done this season is far surpass it heading into the final 2 weeks of the season as it sits at just 2.50. With a matchup against the division rival Kansas City Royals, I’m expecting him to continue to dominate hitters. Over the last month, Skubal has been brilliant.
He has an ERA of 2.55 and his K rate is sitting nearly 31%. He also owns a WHIP of just 1.01 over the last month. The matchup against the Royals is actually better than expected. Over the last 30 days, the Royals have struggled vs. lefties as they have a 26% K rate and just a .286 wOBA. Of course, guys like Witt and Perez can get drive in a run or 2 vs. Skubal, but I like this spot a lot for Skubal. He’s my SP1 tonight and I’m not going to overthink it.
Sonny Gray ($9.4k on DK/$10.9k on FD) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
For me, Gray is a DK play only tonight as that FD price is outrageous. Just find the extra $100 and go to Skubal. Sonny Gray gets one of the better matchups tonight as the Pirates’ offense has really fallen asleep over the last few weeks. This week they’ve been especially terrible as they’ve struck out 32% of the time and have scored just 11 runs. We saw Lance Lynn dominate this very team last night, going 6 innings and only allowing 1 run to score while striking out 5. That’s about as good as it’s going to get for the big fella.
Gray should be able to replicate that and more tonight as he a ton more upside than Lynn. Gray has been dominant of late, allowing only 3 ER over his last 3 games, while striking out 20 hitters. He should be able to continue his dominance in a plus matchup tonight.
Other pitchers that I like tonight if I decided to elsewhere would be Framber Valdez vs. San Diego, Bowden Francis vs. Texas and Dylan Cease vs. Houston.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Detroit Tigers vs. Alec Marsh
I love this spot for the Tigers today to continue their winning ways. Alec Marsh has a very clear weakness and that’s lefties. Over the last month, lefties have a .444 wOBA vs. him and a .366 ISO. They also aren’t striking out much vs. him as they have just a 17% K rate vs. him over the last 30 days.
With how the Tigers lineup shakes out, this is a worst-case scenario for Marsh as the bread and butter of this crew is all left-handed. They should be able to trot out up to 6 lefties tonight. Look for them to put up a bunch of runs tonight.
Core Plays: Parker Meadows, Kerry Carpenter, Riley Greene
Secondary Plays: Spencer Torkelson,
Value Plays: Everyone else in this lineup is under $4k.
Baltimore Oriole vs. Hayden Birdsong
The Baltimore Orioles are due for a big game and I think that big game comes tonight against Hayden Birdsong. While Birdsong isn’t a bad pitcher, he does struggle with his command at times and this is an Orioles team you don’t want to be off against. The Orioles mostly play into Birdsong’s weakness. Although he has a 27.5% K rate against lefties over the last month, he also has a laughable 22.5% BB rate. That’s a whole lot of walks against lefties. He’s also allowing a nearly 74% hard-hit rate against them.
So when he’s not walking them, he’s letting up a ton of balls into play that are hit rather hard. Birdsong has also really struggled away from San Fran. His ERA jumps from 3.67 at home to a massive 5.70 on the road. This is a get-right spot for the O’s after really struggling last night vs. Snellzilla.
Core Bats: Gunnar Henderson, Anthony Santander, Adley Rutschman, Colton Cowser
Secondary Bats: Ryan O’hearn, Cedric Mullins
Value Bats: Heston Kjerstad, Jackson Holliday
Other bats I like tonight will be the Cards vs. Jake Woodford, Twins vs. Bibee, Mets vs. DJ Hertz, and Blue Jays vs. Cody Bradford
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