Jared Levitt 
Hump Day! The ALDS and NLDS are both in full swing and 2 out of the series could be wrapped up as the 2 home teams in the NLDS both have a 2-1 game lead over their opponents. With this being the final 4-game slate of the season, this will also be the final article for MLB DFS this season. It’s been a fun ride.
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Seth Lugo ($8.5k on DK) vs. New York Yankees
The Royals/Yankees series heads to Kansas City tonight as the series is tied at 1-1. The winner tonight will take the all-important 2-1 edge and if it’s anything like the 2 games over in the NL, it will have the Royals ending up on top. Seth Lugo really has 1 main job tonight and that will be to keep both Aaron Judge and Juan Soto in check. If he can navigate those jabronis, the rest of his job will be rather easy.
Outside of Judge/Soto, this is a very beatable lineup. And tbh, playoff Aaron Judge is also very beatable. So far in the playoffs he’s 1-7 and has 3 K’s. This is a really good spot for Lugo tonight and look for him to hold down the fort for a Royals team that has its mojo back. He’s coming off a strong outing vs. the O’s and he’ll throw another today.
Jose Quintana ($7.2k on DK) vs. Philadelphia Phillies
The Mets have the Phillies backs up against the wall and they’ll turn the ball over to a pitcher who has been arguably their best pitcher over the last month or so. While Jose Quintana isn’t typically a high strike-out pitcher, he does K lefties at a high pace and really limits damage vs. them. On the year, he had a nearly 60% GB rate vs. them. That should neutralize the damage that comes from both Schwarber and Harper.
The Phillies will more than likely throw out 7 righties today and that won’t scare me off of Quintana today. Over the course of the season, he was a smidge better vs. righties than lefties as righties had a .309 wOBA vs. him and a lower ISO as well. Look for Quintana to close this one out for the Mets tonight.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
New York Mets vs. Ranger Suarez
The Mets get arguably the best matchup on paper today. Ranger Suarez comes into this matchup today not in peak form. He’s allowed at least 3 ER in 3 of his last 4 outings and of all the pitchers throwing today, he has the highest ERA, xFIP, and SIERRA over the last 30 days. To make matters worse for him, he’s coming into this one not having pitched in 2 weeks and will surely be rusty.
He’ll also be facing a team of destiny as the Mets keep adding to this Cinderella-type story. They are a game away from reaching the NLCS for the first time in nearly a decade. Look for them to close this one out and get the better of Suarez this afternoon.
Core Plays: Mark Vientos, Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor
Secondary Plays: Brandon Nimmo
Value Plays: Starling Marte, Jose Iglesias, Francisco Alvarez, JD Martinez
San Diego Padres vs. Landon Knack
I’m also looking for the Padres to close this one out tonight. They too get a great matchup vs. a pitcher in Landon Knack who is the weak link to this Dodgers rotation. Over his last 21 innings of work, Knack pitched to an ERA of 5.14. He’s also allowed 5 homers over those 21 innings of work and a slate leading 7 barrels. Hitters are teeing off on him and that’s not what the Dodgers need in a win-or-go-home game for them.
He’ll surely have a short leash in this one but I like the Padres enough to get him to early enough where they’ll still put up some crooked numbers. Game. Set. Match. for the team that spent early and often this season on the likes of Shohei Ohtani, Teoscar Hernandez, and Tyler Glasnow.
Core Bats: Fernando Tatis, Manny Machado, Jurickson Profar, Jackson Merrill
Value Bats: David Peralta, Jake Cronenworth
I also like the Royals to put up a big number today vs. Clarke Schmidt.
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