Hump day! With it being Wednesday, that will mean we have multiple slates today. I’ll be focused on the main slate of games starting at 7 pm EST. This slate is loaded with options for pitching. We’ll need to make the decision if we’re going to go with double barreled aces or go with one high priced pitcher and one value pitcher so we can grab some Coors’ bats.
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Luis Gil ($10.3k on DK) vs. Los Angeles Angels
The Yankees have themselves a second ace on this staff to complement Gerrit Cole. While Cole has been out, Luis Gil has been the ace of this staff. He’s putting together a phenomenal season so far. He’s currently sporting an ERA of 2.11 on the year and has a massive 11.39 K/9. Over the last month, he’s been dominant. His K% over the last 30 days is an astounding 31%. That is tops of anyone throwing tonight.
He’s also barely giving up any hard contact as his hard-hit rate over the last month is just 23.5%. A matchup against the Angels is not one that we should be concerned with and he should continue to play to his 22.9 DK average easily tonight. Look for him to be one of the top scoring pitchers on this slate.
Seth Lugo ($9.6k on DK) vs. Minnesota Twins
If the AL Cy Young Award were given today, Seth Lugo would be one of the leading candidates. In his first year with Kansas City, Lugo has been a force to be reckoned with. Through his first 11 starts this season, Lugo is sporting a 1.74 ERA and a WHIP of just .97. Both are career-best numbers and while I’m sure we’ll see some negative regression at some point, I just don’t see it happening against this Twins lineup.
They have some pop, but this lineup is also one that can be had. Over the last 2 season, the projected lineup for the Twins has a K rate of over 25% vs. righties. I really like this spot for Lugo tonight to continue to put up strong numbers.
The other pitchers I like tonight will be Shota Imanaga vs. Milwaukee, MacKenzie Gore vs. Atlanta, Alek Manoah vs. Chicago, and Justin Verlander vs. Seattle.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chris Flexen
After the Blue Jays put up a 7 spot for us last night, I’m going right back to the well with them tonight. This is an even tastier matchup for us tonight as the Blue Jays take on Chris Flexen. If you’ve read my articles in the past, you know I love picking on our boy Flexen. Over the last month, Flexen has been terrible. Actually, we really could say since 2022 that Flexen has been terrible. Over his last 3 starts, Flexen has allowed 14 ER. His WHIP of 1.4 over the last month is one that we should exploit.
He’s putting a ton of runners on each game. He’s also giving up a ton of contact at more than 81% over his last 24 innings of work. With Flexen, we don’t really need to worry about splits. Both sides of the plate have wOBA’s approaching .350 over the last 30 days. Lefties have hit for a bit more power though, but again, he’s been bad against both sides.
Core Bats: Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette, Davis Schneider
Secondary Bats: George Springer
Value Bats: Isiah Kiner-Falefa, Cavan Biggio, Kevin Kiermaier
Cleveland Guardians vs. Ty Blach
I normally try to avoid putting a Coors team in one of my top stacks, but this is just such a solid spot for the Cleveland tonight. Ty Blach has just a 4.15 ERA over the last month, but it’s that low due to some luck. He’s been getting hit as hard as anyone in baseball over the last 30 days. His hard-hit rate against him is a whopping 38%. Blach also has allowed a 91% contact rate. That’s just an insane number of hard-hit balls that are being put into play against him.
No one, and I mean literally no one on this slate is giving up anywhere near as close to the amount of hard contact as Blach. That sets up great for a team that is currently smashing the ball and one that is dominant against lefties. We’ll want to focus on the righties here as Blach has given up a .442 wOBA against them in May.
Core Bats: Tyler Freeman, David Fry, Jose Ramirez
Secondary Bats: Andres Gimenez, Josh Naylor, Austin Hedges
Value Bats: Johnathan Rodriguez, Gabriel Arias
Other stacks I like tonight will be the White Sox vs. Alek Manoha, Astros vs. George Kirby, and Royals vs. Bailey Ober
Favorite Home Run Props
Kyle Tucker +390 on FD
Cal Raleigh +285 on FD
David Fry +560 on FD
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