It’s Hump Day, and for a change, we actually have one large slate today. We’re blessed with a 10-game slate of MLB DFS tonight. The sites smarted up and included the 6:40 games for us. Tonight’s slate is a bit different than last night in that it includes so ace-level pitching. We won’t need to look for scraps. It also has some league-leading offenses that are in prime spots. It’s going to be tough to fade a team like the Dodgers tonight.
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Tyler Glasnow ($10.6k on DK) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
It’s going to be a pretty easy decision tonight to use Tyler Glasnow as my SP1. Although the Diamondbacks aren’t a high strikeout team against righties, Glasnow is a pitcher where I don’t look too much into the other team’s strikeout creds. He is a pitcher that will get his strikeouts, regardless of the opponent. He’s coming into this game with 6 consecutive games having at least 8 K’s. His K/9 on the season is sitting close to 12.
That’s down a bit from years past but what is also down from year’s past is his BB/9. He’s had more control this season which has also meant he’s been able to go a little deeper into games. Up until his last start, he had gone 4 consecutive starts going at least 6. On the year, he’s gone at least 6 in all but 3 starts. I’m locking him in as my SP1 tonight.
Jared Jones ($9.6k on DK) vs. San Francisco Giants
Tonight’s going to be a night where I end up paying up for both pitchers and look for value with my bats. I’m not a fan of the middle and low tiers. That brings me to the Jared Jones. Boy this Pirates franchise is set with the top of their rotation for years to come. Between Jones and Paul Skenes, the Pirates have 2 of the most dynamic young pitchers in the game. This is going to be the second time that Jones will be facing the Giants this season.
In his first outing, he had just 3 K’s. That should change tonight. This is going to be the second time he’s faced a team a second time this season. In his first outing vs. the Cubs, he k’d only 4 but he made adjustments and ended up K’ing 7 Cubs in his next outing. I think he does something similar tonight vs. an average Giants lineup.
Other pitchers that will be in my pool today will be Michael King vs. Cincinnati, Jesus Luzardo vs. Milwaukee, and Freddy Peralta vs. Miami.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Ryne Nelson
With every slate, I try my hardest to find a stack other than the Dodgers. This is nothing against the Dodgers, it’s actually a complement. They are just always in such a good spot that I normally want to get different. It’s going to be hard tonight with how good of a spot they are in. Ryne Nelson is really struggling right now. Over his last 3 starts, he’s given up 15 ER. He’s doing just about everything wrong.
Hitters have a 40% hard-hit rate vs. him, he has a WHIP of 2.27, and he’s also given up 5 barrels in those 3 starts. The only thing that he’s done well is the ability to keep the ball down. Hitters have just a 26% FB rate vs. him. If there’s a lineup that overcome his groundball tendencies, it’s the Dodgers.
Core Bats: Freddie Freeman, Shohei Ohtani, Mookie Betts (listed in order of preference)
Secondary Bats: Will Smith, Teoscar Hernandez
Value Bats: Jason Heyward, Kike Hernandez
Texas Rangers vs. Taijuan Walker
Even though they’re playing the Phillies, we shouldn’t sleep on the Rangers today. Taijuan Walker hasn’t looked overly sharp since making his season debut. In just 4 starts, he’s managed to allow a slate high 12 barrels over the last month. In the 22 innings he’s worked this season, he’s also allowed 5 homers and a 54% flyball rate. Those are just really bad numbers and he really hasn’t faced much in the way offense. He faced some below average offenses.
Todays’ the first time he’s going to really face a solid offense and that may mean the floodgates open against him. Another thing working in our favor here is that it’s going to be warm at game time in Philly and the wind is going to be blowing out to center. Things could get ugly quickly for Walker today.
Core Bats: Corey Seager, Nathaniel Lowe, Jonah Heim, Evan Carter
Secondary Bats: Marcus Semien, Adolis Garcia
Value Bats: Josh Smith, Travis Jankowski
Other stacks I like tonight will be the Phillies vs. Dane Dunning, A’s vs. Austin Gomber, White Sox vs. Chris Bassitt, and Rays vs. Brayan Bello
Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!