Jared Levitt 
TGIF! After a couple of days of split slates, we’re back to a full slate of games tonight. The MLB scheduling gods have blessed us with a massive 12-game slate of MLB DFS. This slate offers us a ton. We have some solid pitching. We have some really solid places for stacks. Also, we have a promising pitcher making his season debut in Bryan Woo. We also have a pitcher returning to his former home in Colorado.
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Ranger Suarez ($10.3k on DK) vs. Miami Marlins
My dilemma tonight is going to be do I pay up for Suarez or Glasnow? As it stands right now I only plan on paying up for 1 pitcher and that pitcher will be Suarez. Suarez has been brilliant this season. He’s been averaging nearly 27 DK PPG and I don’t see that slowing down tonight vs. the lowly Miami Marlins. He’s pitched at least 6 innings in 6 consecutive starts and also has struck out at least 5 in 5 straight. He continues to induce groundballs at a high rate of nearly 56%.
The only knock on him tonight is that the Marlins don’t strike out much vs. lefties as their K rate is just 20% vs. them. The flip side to that is with few strikeouts, we may just end up seeing a 5k/8 inning game out of him tonight. That still equates to a high-point game for him. Phillies are huge favorites here and that means that Suarez is almost guaranteed the win. Let’s ride!
Jon Gray ($7.2k on DK) vs. Colorado Rockies
Since I paid up for one, I want to pay down for the other and pay down for a pitcher that has upside. It’s always risky using a pitcher in Coors but with Jon Gray, we have someone that knows how to pitch in Coors thanks to his 7 seasons pitching there. Gray is having arguably the finest season of his career. His K/9 is the strongest they’ve been since back in 2018. His ERA is at the lowest point of his career, as is his FIP. While the stadium isn’t ideal, the matchup is.
The Rockies have been dreadful vs. righties this season as they have a nearly 28% K rate vs. them and also just a .299 wOBA. This is a matchup that Gray should be able to succeed in. Look for him to continue his strong start to the year and have a close to 20 DK point outing against his former team.
Other pitchers I like tonight will be Paul Blackburn vs. Seattle, Tyler Glasnow vs. San Diego, and Joe Ryan vs. Toronto.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Boston Red Sox vs. Patrick Corbin
Over the years, Major League Baseball has seen some awful contracts. Anthony Rendon, Stephen Strasburg, Jed Lowrie (Mets version), and Kris Bryant are a few that come to mind. None may be worse than the contract handed to Patrick Corbin by the Washington Nationals. In his 6 seasons with the Nats, Cobin has had only one season with an ERA under 4 and has had 4 straight seasons (Including this one) with an ERA over 5.
He’s an awful pitcher and one that I thoroughly enjoy stacking against. He continues to give up damage and damage often. One his main issues this season has been his walks. His BB/9 is the highest it’s been since all the way back in 2016. Likewise, his WHIP is actually the highest that it has ever been at over 1.80. He’s putting runners on consistently and that should help us tonight with our Red Sox stack. As long as they are patient tonight, they’ll be just fine!
Core Bats: Tyler O’Neill, Connor Wong
Secondary Bats: Everyone not mentioned
Value Bats: Vaughn Grissom, Garrett Cooper
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Trevor Rogers
Baseball doesn’t appear to be too much fun right now for Trevor Rogers. He’s given up at least 3 ER in each of his last 3 starts and he’s coming off a banger of a game that saw him give up 8 ER to a surprisingly competent Oakland A’s lineup. On the year, Rogers ERA is up over 6.00. Thanks to 2 quality starts early on, his xFIP is reasonable 4.21. Take those 2 starts out, and it would be just as high as his ERA. Hitters have a nearly 47% hard-hit rate vs. him this season and he’s given up 8 barrels over his last 3 games.
With a nearly 80% contact rate, that’s just going to be a ton of hard-hit balls put into play. For the majority of his career, it’s been righties that have given him the most trouble. That’s flipped a little this season as lefties have a .559 slugging percentage vs. him and a wOBA pushing .400.
Core Bats: Alec Bohm, JT Realmuto
Secondary Bats: Bryce Harper, Kyle Schwarber
Value Bats: Whitt Merrifield, Edmundo Sosa
Other stacks I like tonight will be the Braves vs. Jose Quintana (not a top stack for me because major weather concerns), White Sox vs. Carlos Carrasco, Brewers vs. Lance Lynn
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