Jared Levitt 
Happy Saturday y’all! With it being Saturday, that means we have a massive afternoon slate. Today, we’ll have a 10-game slate of MLB DFS starting at 4 pm EST. I’ll be solely focused on that slate. Here’s another slate where we really won’t be spending too much on pitching. We have just one pitcher at $10k or above today. It’s a slate where we should really see some spread-out ownership with pitching. It’s also a slate that has some really solid spots for bats.
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Freddy Peralta ($10k on DK) vs. Detroit Tigers
Really like this spot for Freddy Peralta this afternoon. The one major concern I have starting Peralta as my SP1 is we typically don’t see much length from him. He’s gone past 6 innings just once this season and more often than not, he’s going 5-6 innings. That mostly limits his ceiling, but at $10k we’re not going to stress if he doesn’t get all the way up to 30 DK points.
While he doesn’t go too long into games, he does make the most of his time on the mound. Over the last month, Peralta has a 33% K rate. That ranks second of all pitchers throwing this afternoon. He’ll have the luxury of facing a Tigers offense that is bad. Over the last week, the Tigers have scored just 17 runs while striking out 27% of the time. This is a David vs. Goliath type matchup and Goliath should prevail. I’m locking Peralta into my SP1 spot tonight.
Kyle Bradish ($8.7k on DK) vs. Tampa Bay Rays
I know that Kyle Bradish burned us in this same matchup a week ago, but I’m going right back to the well because it’s tough to ignore the K upside for him. He has the second-highest K rate over the last 30 days of anyone on the hill this afternoon at nearly 34%. Prior to his matchup vs. the Rays last weekend, Bradish had put up 5 very strong outings in a row.
He was the epitome of bad luck last week as the Rays had a BABIP of .700. That’s not sustainable and it should come back down today. This is an average at best lineup for the Rays these days and one that Bradish should be able to dominate today. I’m looking for Bradish to get back on track and rack up even more K’s today at a sub $9k salary.
Other pitchers I like this afternoon will be Kyle Gibson vs. Colorado, Luis Median vs. Toronto, and Alec Marsh vs. Seattle.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Baltimore Orioles vs. Taj Bradley
In 2 of his last 3 starts, Taj Bradley has been absolutely awful. In those 2 starts, he’s managed to surrender 14 runs thanks to 6 homers. One of those games was against this same Baltimore offense last Saturday. We saw him go just 3 innings in that one thanks to giving up 4 homers. He gave up more homers than strikeouts in that one. Not a stat you see every day. Over the last month, Bradley has been giving up a ton of hard contact.
His hard-hit rate against is a massive 46%. Across the 26 innings of work, he’s allowed a mind-boggling 14 barrels. He should continue to struggle today against one of the best offenses in the game in the Orioles. They have a .195 ISO against righties this season as well as a .733 OPS. Anything can happen in baseball, but this matchup really speaks for itself.
Core Bats: Adley Rutschman, Anthony Santander, Gunnar Henderson
Secondary Bats: Ryan Mountcastle, Jordan Westburg
Value Bats: Austin Hays, Connor Norby, Kyle Stowers
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Ryan Feltner
Since I’m going with an expensive stack with my main stack, I need a cheap one to complement them. In comes the Cardinals who will fit very well with the Orioles this afternoon. They also happen to get a great matchup vs. a bad pitcher. Feltner has really struggled of late. Over the last month, Feltner has pitched to an ERA of 7.3. That’s not just a Coors thing for Feltner as he’s thrown some duds away from Colorado as well.
Hitters are teeing off on him as he has a nearly 45% hard-hit rate against him over that same 30-day period. He’s allowed 7 barrels and 4 homers as well. With Feltner, we want to target lefty hitters. Over the last 30 days, lefties have a .300 ISO and a .442 wOBA vs. him. The Cardinals have a ton of cheap lefties for us.
Core Bats: Nolan Gorman, Alex Burleson, Brendon Donovan
Secondary Bats: Nolan Arenado, Paul Goldschmidt, Mason Wynn
Value Bats: Matt Carpenter, Michael Siani
Other stacks I like tonight will be the Red Sox vs. Nick Nastrini, Twins vs. Carmen Mlodzinski, and Brewers vs. Casey Mize. If we get clarity on the weather, the Red Sox vs. Nastrini would be my favorite spot for offense. The weather in Chicago is very suspect today though.
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