Jared Levitt 
Happy Tuesday! We have ourselves one of my favorite-sized slates tonight, a 10-game slate of MLB DFS that is. This slate is loaded with pitching. We have the likes of Shota Imanaga, Jack Flaherty (never would have guessed he’d be in the ace convo), and Luis Gil. We’ll need to make some decisions tonight as to whether or not we go double aces or go single and a value pitcher. That’s because there are some bats in amazing spots, and we’ll want to grab some higher-priced bats.
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Shota Imanaga ($10.6k on DK) vs. Chicago White Sox
We have a battle of the windy city tonight as the Cubs play host to their crosstown rivals the White Sox. A couple of years ago, we never would have thought to use a southpaw vs. the Sox. They were one of the most feared teams vs. lefties. This year, well they have been dreadful. They own a combined .116 ISO and just a .268 wOBA vs. lefties. Just terrible stuff. Their only saving grace is that their K’s aren’t on the high end. They’re striking out just 24% of the time. It’s not a minuscule rate, but not’s nothing that screams ceiling game for an opposing pitcher.
That said, Imanaga has been amazing this year. Imanaga is coming off his worst of the year, but it was against an excellent Brewers team so I’m going to give him a pass. Outside of that one start, he’s been brilliant in his rookie season. In 60% of his starts, he’s allowed 0 ER. He’s also struck out 7 or more hitters in 60% of his starts. Look for him to rebound today in a matchup against a bad team.
Spencer Arrighetti ($6.7k on DK) vs. St. Louis Cardinals
I really want to go double aces tonight, but I also really want to play the Yankee bats. Going both Gil and Imanaga would leave just $3.5k per bat and I just don’t think I can build the lineup that I want to with that little per bat. So I’m going to go with a value pitcher as my SP2. That leads me to the landing on Spencer Arrighetti. Arrighetti is starting to figure things out on the mound. Over his last 6 starts, he’s had at least 14 DK points in 5 of them.
He’s also coming off the best start of his young career, a start against the Mariners that saw him K 8 in 6 innings of work and not allowing a batter to cross home plate. In each of his last 4 starts, he’s had an xFIP and SIERA under 4. He’s starting to figure things out and it won’t be long before we see a rise in his price. I’m locking him into my SP2 in a favorable matchup vs. an average Cardinals lineup.
I said in the opener, it’s a huge slate for pitching. Luis Gil vs. Minny can easily replace Shota Imanaga as my SP1. Jack Flaherty vs. Texas is also an option, but the Rangers are much better vs. righties than lefties. Flaherty is due for a regression game and I fear it’s going to come tonight vs. the Rangers. Max Fried also needs to be in consideration tonight as the Red Sox strike out a ton vs. lefties. At $9k, he could put up a monster number tonight. And at the end of the day, I may very well go with a Fried/Arrighetti pairing to win my $10k in the Battery tonight.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
New York Yankees vs. Bailey Ober
The Yankees lineup continues to steamroll the competition. Over the last week, only the Brewers have scored more runs than the Yankees. At 42-19, the Yankees are tied with the Phillies for the best record in baseball. As a Mets fan, that hurt to write. They should continue to roll tonight as they take on Bailey Ober of the Twins. In 2 of his last 3 starts, Ober has given up at least 5 ER. If we look at his season as a whole, he’s allowed at least a 45% hard-hit rate in 7 of his 11 starts. He’s just allowing a ton of hard contact this year.
Not only is he giving up a ton of hard contact, but he’s also been susceptible to the long ball this year. His HR/9 of 1.58 is the highest it’s been since he broke into the league in 2021. When looking for stacks, trying to target pitchers giving up the long ball is important. That’s what we have in Ober. With Ober, we have a pitcher who is giving up a ton of power to righties this season and it’s something that’s been consistent throughout his career. Righties have .254 ISO vs. him compared to the .230 he gave up last season. That means we’ll want to prioritize getting Judge into our lineups.
Core Bats: Aaron Judge, Anthony Volpe, Juan Soto (Judge is my preference of the high-priced guys)
Secondary Bats: Stanton, Verdugo, Rizzo, Torres
Value Bats: Wells, LeMahieu
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kyle Harrison
The Diamondbacks have been one of the best teams this season vs. lefties. They’ve produced a ton of power and have been stingy in terms of strikeouts. Their OPS on the season vs. lefties is an impressive .775, while their K rate is also an impressive 19%. The Diamondbacks have 3 guys that sit in the top 30 in all of baseball in terms of OPS vs. lefties this season (Marte at #6, Alexander at #17, and Gurriel at #27).
That sets up great for them as they’ll be taking on a pitcher in Kyle Harrison who is getting pummeled right now. In his last 2 starts, he’s allowed a combined 8 barrels, with 4 of them coming off the struggling New York Mets. Look for the Diamondbacks to put some cash in our pockets tonight.
Core Bats: Marte, Alexander, Gurriel
Secondary Bats: Walker, Suarez
Value Bats: Grichuk, Newman, Moreno
Other stacks I like tonight will be the Cubs vs. Chris Flexen, Braves vs. Crawford, and both teams in Colorado.
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