Guess what day it is? Hump Day! It’s Wednesday and that means we’ll have a split slate. I’ll be focused on the 6-game slate of MLB DFS starting at 7 pm EST. We’ll have another Subway series game in this one and after the Mets rocked the Yankees ace, can they do it to Luis Gil also? At first glance, this slate is really lacking a true ace and pitching is very scarce. We really have a bunch of mid-range arms that lack serious upside.
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Gavin Stone ($8.8k on DK) vs. Chicago White Sox
This is how tough pitching is tonight. I’m recommending Gavin Stone as my SP1. Nothing against him, he’s just not typically one that we’d consider as a top pitcher. That said, he’s been mostly strong over the last month or so. Over his last 5 outings, he’s given up more than 2 ER just once and has struck out at least 6 in 4 of the 5. At his price tonight, if we can get another outing of giving up just 2 ER and striking out 6 I will 100% take it with how pitching has been of late.
That type of outing shouldn’t be difficult as he takes on the worst team in the league the White Sox. The White Sox have been dreadful vs. righties this season, striking out 24% of the time and hitting with little power.
Kutter Crawford ($8.2k on DK) vs. Toronto Blue Jays
I’m going to reiterate, pitching is tough tonight. Kutter Crawford is coming off a really strong stretch of pitching. Over his last 3 starts, he’s faced off against the Phillies, Yankees, and Reds. 3 strong offenses that he’s been able to mostly tame. While he did give up some runs in each of the games, he also struck out a healthy amount of hitters as he struck out a combined 24 hitters.
With a matchup against the Blue Jays, he should be able to continue his strong string of pitching. The Blue Jays are nothing more than the average lineup. Yes, Vlad has been hitting some bombs but this is a team that is 7 games under .500 and has a -46 run differential. They are not good and Crawford should be able to do well here.
Other pitchers that I like today will be Luis Gil vs. the Mets and whoever is starting against the Cardinals. I’ve seen Chris Sale’s name floated around and if he does throw against them, I like him tonight.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Boston Red Sox vs. Yariel Rodriguez
Yariel Rodriguez is coming off a start that saw him fail to get out of the second inning. Against the Guardians last week, Rodriguez gave up 5 ER in just 1 and a third innings of work. That is now 3 straight starts of struggles if we look back to April. Now I don’t expect that type of short outing again today, but I do expect his struggles to continue tonight against a lineup that has been performing well.
Of the teams playing tonight, no one has scored more runs over the last week than the Red Sox. They’re also not striking out much as they’ve only struck out 21% of the time over the last week. The Red Sox have the highest implied total on the board tonight and I expect them to be the highest scoring team on the slate.
Core Bats: Jarren Duran, Tyler O’Neill, Rafael Devers
Secondary Bats: David Hamilton, Wilyer Abreu
Value Bats: Dominic Smith, Masataka Yoshida
Minnesota Twins vs. Ryne Nelson
Any time I can use Royce Lewis in this type of matchup I jump at the chance to do it. Ryne Nelson is a terrible pitcher and should be treated as such. Over the last month, he’s been giving up a ton of contact at 86%. That’s one of the highest rates of anyone throwing tonight. With his nearly 35% hard-hit rate and his propensity to give up contact overall, he’s putting way too many hard-hit balls into play.
His 12 barrels allowed over the last month is also the top number of all the pitchers tonight. So many red flags against him. Over the last 30 days, righties have been his weakness. They have a massive .235 ISO and a .363 wOBA against him. You know who I’m targeting here.
Core Bats: Royce Lewis, Carlos Correa, Byron Buxton
Secondary Bats: Trevor Larnach, Carlos Santana, Max Kepler
Value Bats: Austin Martin, Christian Vazquez
Other stacks I like tonight will be the Mets vs. Luis Gil, Yankees vs. Sean Manea, and Dodgers vs. Erick Fedde
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