Jared Levitt 
Happy Taco Tuesday! With it being that Tuesday, that will mean we have a massive slate on our hands. Tonight, we’re blessed with a 12-game slate of MLB DFS. With so many teams in action, this slate brings us a nice combination of solid pitching and also some really good spots for bats. It also brings us the Subway Series with both the Yanks and Mets playing really well right now.
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Hunter Brown ($8k on DK) vs. Colorado Rockies
At some point this season, DK will price Brown accordingly. Over his last 5 starts, he’s had DK points of 26, 17, 27, 34, and 23. He should be priced over $9k, not at $8k. He is pound-for-pound one of the top pitchers on this slate and should be priced with them. Of all the pitchers on the hill tonight, he has the highest K rate over the last month and one of the lowest ERA’s. He also has one of the top matchups on the board tonight against the Rockies.
The Rockies have been dreadful vs. righties this season as they have a nearly 26% K rate and just a .697 OPS. That includes Coors numbers so to say they’ve been bad would be an understatement. This has ceiling game written all over it tonight. He’s going to be chalky but will be chalk worth eating.
Hunter Greene ($8.6k on DK) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Hunter Greene has been putting it all together of late. At 24, he’s still young and just breaking into the league. While his strikeouts have been down this season compared to his first 2 seasons, he’s having what I would consider a breakthrough season. His ERA is the lowest that it’s ever been and so has his FIP. He’s done a great job keeping the ball in the park this year, with a HR/9 finally under 1.
That’s been one of the keys to his success this season, cutting down on the long ball. He should continue to pitch well today with him taking on a Pirates team that has mostly struggled vs. righties. Against righties this season the Pirates have struck out 25% of the time while having a .638 OPS and a .122 ISO. Green should be able to continue his stretch of very strong outings, at a very reasonable price. We just need to keep an eye on the weather here.
Other pitchers that I like today will be Reynaldo Lopez vs. St. Louis and MacKenzie Gore vs. San Diego (narrative outing). Seth Lugo is also in play vs. Miami, but there are better options out there that are way cheaper. I don’t think we’ll need to go there tonight.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Houston Astros vs. Austin Gomber
Austin Gomber is in the middle of his worst stretch of the season. Over the last month, Gomber has pitched to an ERA of 9.68 and an xFIP of 5.54. While he hasn’t pitched nearly as bad as his ERA would indicate, he’s still been really bad. He’s giving up a boatload of contact at nearly 86% and with nearly 38% of that contact being hard-hit, he’s putting a ton of smoked balls into play. Through the 17 innings he’s thrown over the last 30 days, he’s given up 9 barrels. That’s an astronomical pace.
This also isn’t just a Coors’ effect. He’s been worse on the road this year and all the offensive metrics are worse away from Coors. To make matters worse for him today, he’s facing an Astros team that is finally hitting the ball well. Of the teams playing tonight, only the Padres have scored more runs over the last week.
Core Bats: Jose Altuve, Yainer Diaz, Alex Bregman, Jeremy Pena
Secondary Bats: Yordan Alvarez,
Value Bats: Jake Meyers, Chas McCormick
Washington Nationals vs. Adam Mazur
The Nationals have been a sneaky offense at times this season. While I wouldn’t put them anywhere near close to the top offenses in the league, they are extremely competent and in the right matchup can excel. This is the right matchup for them to excel in. Adam Mazur really struggles vs. lefties and the bread and butter of the Nationals lineup is left-handed.
Against lefties this season, Mazur has given up a .188 ISO and a .464 wOBA. That’s compared to just a .270 wOBA vs. righties. His K rate also dips to just 7% against them. This is a solid spot for guys like CJ Abrams and Jesse Winker.
Core/Value Bats: CJ Abrams, Jesse Winker, Eddie Rosario
Secondary Bats: Lane Thomas, Luis Garcia
Other stacks I like tonight will be the Texas lefties, Diamondback lefties, Cubs, and Yankees from the right side.
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