Jared Levitt 
Happy Saturday! We made it to the weekend. We have ourselves an 8-game slate of MLB DFS today starting at 4 pm EST. This is a slate that looks to be a little bit clearer in terms of pitching than what we’ve had of late. We also have some really solid spots for hitting, especially with the weather being really hot in some spots. The ball should be flying today!
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Logan Gilbert ($9.2k on DK) vs. Miami Marlins
Even though the Marlins pulled out the walk-off win last night, we did get a very solid performance from George Kirby as he went 7-strong and struck out 5 along the way. I expect a little bit more out of Logan Gilbert tonight as he has been pretty good of late. Over the last month, Gilbert has a 25% K rate and just a 2.41 ERA. He’s coming off a monster performance that saw him strike out 9 Rangers across 8 innings of work.
This is a pretty weak-hitting Marlins team against righties, with their .657 OPS and .128 ISO. The one thing they have going for them is that they don’t strike out a ton vs. righties. That said, Gilbert should provide enough length today to more than make up for his salary. Gilbert is strong enough and in a good enough matchup tonight to be my SP1.
Corbin Burnes ($9.1k on DK) vs. Houston Astros
Corbin Burnes has been the model of consistency over the last month. He’s had just one start since May 19 where he’s been under 20 DK points. Even though the matchup isn’t great for him today, he’s proven time and time again that he’s one of the best pitchers in the league and is nearly matchup-proof.
Last Sunday against the Phillies he went 6 innings and struck out 7, while only giving up 2 ER. The Phillies are a much tougher lineup than the Astros and if he could pull out a performance like that against them, he can surely do it against the Astros as well. In his final year before free agency, Burnes is pitching like the ace he is. He’ll continue to perform and perform well this afternoon against the Stros.
Other pitchers that I really like today will be Bailey Ober vs. Oakland, Zack Wheeler vs. Arizona, and Zach Eflin vs. Pittsburgh if you need a really cheap pitcher.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Tommy Henry
I’m expecting the Phillies to explode for a whole bunch of runs today. While their offense hasn’t been that hot of late, they get a great matchup vs. a pitcher in Tommy Henry who hasn’t been very good recently. Over the last month, Henry has pitched to an ERA of 9.95. Yes, that’s a bit exaggerated but he also has an xFIP of 6.98 and a SIERA of 6.1. He’s coming off a start that saw him give up 5 ER in just 4 innings of work against one of the worst offenses in the league in the White Sox. He’s going to get hammered by a team that has mostly crushed lefties this season.
The Phillies have hit for a ton of power vs. lefties this season, with a .764 OPS and a wOBA of .336. With Henry, we want to prioritize righties as they have a .280 ISO and .414 wOBA vs. him this season.
Core Bats: Trea Turner, Alec Bohm, Kyle Schwarber, Bryce Harper
Secondary Bats: Nick Castellanos,
Value Bats: Edmundo Sosa, Whitt Merrifield, Rafael Marchan
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Jared Jones
The Tampa Bay Rays have seemed to found their groove recently. Over the last week, of the teams playing tonight, only Baltimore and Boston have scored more runs than them. They even put up a 10 spot last night. The Rays get a strong matchup tonight vs. a pitcher in Jared Jones who has really regressed after starting out the season rather strongly. Over the last month, Jones has pitched to a nearly 6 ERA. He’s been getting hit pretty hard as he’s giving up 9 barrels over his last 20 innings of work.
Jones has given up at least 6 ER in 2 of his last 3 outings and I would not be shocked to see him do it again today. What also helps us here is that Jones has a rather short leash. Over his last 4 starts, he has gone more than 5 innings just once. The Pirates bullpen has been pretty lousy of late, with an ERA over 5.50 the last 2 weeks.
Core/Value Bats: Brandon Lowe, Randy Arozarena, Yandy Diaz, Josh Lowe,
Secondary Bats: Isaac Paredes, Ben Rortvedt
Other stacks I like tonight will be the Mariners vs. Shaun Anderson, Red Sox vs. Frankie Montas, and Royals vs. Jon Gray
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