Jared Levitt 
Happy Tuesday! Tonight we have ourselves a nice-sized 10-game slate of MLB DFS. At first glance, this is a slate that lacks a true ace. There isn’t a single pitcher on this slate that will blow us away with strikeouts. We have just three pitchers tonight over $9k and none of them are must-starts. Because of this, we’ll be able to afford most of the bats we want.
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Alec Marsh ($7.6k on DK) vs. Oakland Athletics
Nothing against Alec Marsh, but this is how bad pitching is tonight that a pitcher who is only $7.6k will be my SP1. This really shouldn’t take anything away from Marsh though as he’s pitched pretty well over the last month to a month and a half. If we go back to May 1, he’s had just one start under 15 DK points. Also over that stretch, he’s had just 2 games under 7 K’s.
Tonight he’ll have one of the easiest matchups of his season as he takes on the lowly Oakland A’s. The A’s lineup has been terrible recently as they have scored just 23 runs over the last week while striking out 29% of the time. I would not be surprised to see Marsh as the highest-scoring pitcher on this slate.
Framber Valdez ($9.3k on DK) vs. Chicago White Sox
Nothing about starting Framber Valdez makes me feel comfortable. He’s the epitome of inconsistent. We’ve seen him have starts that end with him having upwards of 37 DK points. We’ve also seen him have multiple starts with negative DK points. He is the ultimate GPP pitcher. This is a matchup though that he should be able to fully take advantage of. The White Sox are just bad, no other way to say it.
They’ve been especially bad against lefties this season as they have just a .289 wOBA and just a .654 OPS. The White Sox have scored just 22 runs over the week as their offense continues to be anemic. While I don’t expect Valdez to strike out a ton of hitters tonight, I do expect him to pitch well enough to get us close to 25 DK points. The way the White Sox shape their lineup will play well to Valdez’s strength. He’s way better vs. righties and the White Sox will have potentially 9 righties in their lineup tonight.
Other pitchers that I like today will be Pablo Lopez vs. Tampa, Tanner Houck vs. Toronto, and Logan Webb vs. Chicago. Should the Twins/Rays game play without any weather concerns, Lopez would jump into my top 2 pitchers, over Valdez.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Austin Gomber
I know it’s kinda cheating that I’m writing up the Dodgers as one of my top stacks. It’s just too good of a matchup tonight to ignore though. Of the 20 pitchers throwing on this main slate tonight, Austin Gomber has the second-highest ERA over the last month out of all of them as he has a 7.58 ERA. He’s also coming off his worst of the season, a start that saw him give up 8 ER to the Twins in just 3 innings of work.
Can Gomber surprise us tonight and throw a gem? Sure, anything can happen. The odds of it happening though are pretty slim. While both sides of the plate have been really good against him, it’s been the lefties that have given Gomber the most trouble of late. Lefties have a massive .462 ISO and a .540 wOBA vs. him over the last month. There is no need to shy away from a guy like Ohtani tonight.
Core Bats (In preferential order): Shohei Ohtani, Freddie Freeman, Teoscar Hernandez, Will Smith
Secondary Bats: Andy Pages, Miguel Rojas
Value Bats: Kike Hernandez, Chris Taylor, Miguel Vargas
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Griffin Canning
Everything is setting up for the Brewers to have an offensive explosion tonight. Not only do they face off against a terrible pitcher in Griffin Canning, but they also face off against one of the worst bullpens in the league. First, let’s talk about Griffin Canning. He’s been a home run machine of late. Over the last month, he’s given up 6 bombs in his 29 innings of work. Hitters are seeing him well right now as they have a massive 91% contact rate on pitches he throws in the zone. That’s one of the worst numbers of anyone throwing tonight.
Lefties have really been doing the most damage as they have a .312 ISO against him over the last month. Next, let’s talk about the bullpen for the Angels. Over the last 2 weeks, they own an impressive 8.78 ERA and an xFIP over 5.4. That’s just terrible and with Canning seldom making it past the 6th, we’ll have several innings of the bullpen to play with.
Core Bats: Christian Yelich, Brice Turang
Secondary Bats: William Contreras, Willy Adames, Rhys Hoskins
Value Bats: Sal Frelick, Jackson Chourio, Blake Perkins
Other stacks I like tonight will be the Mets vs. Michael Lorenzen, Braves vs. Casey Mize, Tigers lefties vs. Spencer Schwellenbach, and Twins righties vs. Aaron Civale.
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