Jared Levitt 
Hump Day! It’s Wednesday and that means we’ll have a full day of baseball. While 4 games are starting at 1pm today, I’ll be focused on the main slate that start after 7pm tonight. As has become the norm of late, we’re left without top end pitching tonight. The most expensive pitcher tonight is Sonny Gray at $10k and I’m not sure I can get there with him tonight as he hasn’t been as dominant as he was to start the year. There are however a few spots for pitchers that I really like
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Christopher Sanchez ($8k on DK) vs. Boston Red Sox
Lefties vs. the Red Sox has become a thing this season. The Red Sox as a team have been striking out at a torrid pace vs. lefties in 2024. If we look at the projected lineup for the Red Sox tonight, we’ll see that they have 6 guys in the lineup that have a strike-out rate over 25% vs. lefties and 4 of them are over 30%. While Christopher does not blow most hitters away, at his price point we don’t need someone to K 10 hitters.
In this matchup, he has a real shot of striking out 6-7 hitters. If we can get that plus 6 innings of work and limited damage, we’re talking about a pitcher that could crush his value. In 3 of his last 6 starts, he’s been well over 20 DK points and this is a matchup where he can get there again. He’s not splashy, but he’ll get the job done for us today.
Bryce Miller ($9k on DK) vs. Chicago White Sox
I’m looking for Bryce Miller to get back to form tonight. He’s coming off an awful start against the Royals, but who hasn’t had a bad start vs. the Royals this season? We’ve seen Miller throw some gems this season and if we look at the bad starts they’ve typically been against really strong lineups. His recent duds have been against teams like the Royals, Yankees, and Orioles. All top MLB offenses.
He’ll get the luxury of facing off against an awful White Sox lineup. The White Sox have an OPS under .625 this season against righties and wOBA of .278. Both numbers indicate severe struggles and they’ll struggle against a pitcher that has a ceiling upside today. I’m hopeful his last outing lowers his ownership because he should do well tonight.
I don’t have Sonny Gray listed as one of my top 2 pitchers but he’s definitely in play tonight. He’s just not a must-start. 5 of his last 6 starts have been mediocre at best and with him being the only pitcher at $10k or above, I’m willing to fade with the hopes the Pirates can get to him. Other pitchers I like tonight will be David Peterson vs. Miami and maybe Nick Lodolo vs. Cleveland. This is a slate without many options on the mound and a case could be made to stack against every one of them.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
New York Yankees vs. Dan Altavilla/Daniel Lynch
To avoid having Daniel Lynch face Juan Soto and Aaron Judge in the first inning, the Royals will be turning the ball over to opener Dan Altavilla. Anyway you splice it, Lynch will have to at some point face off against these 2, and bad things are going to happen when he does. Daniel Lynch is a pitcher who once had a ton of promise thanks to his expected K upside. Boy have things gone badly for him in the Majors. He broke into the bigs in 2021 and he’s had now just one season with an ERA under 5.
He’s someone that we’ll typically be able to rely on to give up some runs. He’s coming off a shellacking handed down to him by the Mariners last week. He gave up 8 ER in just 4 innings of work. I’m not sure we can expect a similar fate as that was horrendous, but with him giving up a 47% hard-hit rate so far this season a repeat isn’t completely out of the question. We want to focus mostly on the righties here as they have typically been his weakness. He’s given up 42 homers in his career and 40 have been to righties. Sure Juan Soto is matchup-proof, but if I’m paying over $6k for a hitter it’s going to be in a platoon advantage type of spot.
Core Bats: Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, Gleyber Torres
Secondary Bats: Anthony Volpe, Juan Soto, Alex Verdugo
Value Bats: Oswaldo Cabrera, DJ LeMahieu, Jose Trevino
Los Angeles Angels vs. Slade Cecconi
Slade Cecconi is arguably the worst pitcher on this slate. Even when he throws an ok start like this last one, there are still major flags being raised showing how bad he is. He’s had just two starts this season where he’s had an xFIP under 4.70. More often than not, his starts have had an xFIP over 5. He’s giving up a massive amount of hard contact this season as he’s given up 10 barrels over the last month.
To make matters worse, he’s also given up a flyball rate of over 50%. So a ton of hard-hit balls in the air. What could go wrong! With Cecconi, we want to focus on righties. They are torching him this season especially of late. Over the last 30 days, righties have a .410 ISO and a .488 wOBA vs. him. Yikes!
Core Bats: Luis Rengifo, Taylor Ward, Kevin Pillar
Secondary Bats: Logan O’Hoppe, Willie Calhoun
Value Bats: Zach Neto, Michael Stefanic
Other stacks I like tonight will be the Mets vs. Braxton Garrett, Dodgers vs. Jon Gray, and Cardinals vs. Bailey Falter. I don’t mind the Guardians vs. Nick Lodolo either.
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