Jared Levitt 
Happy Tuesday everyone! We have ourselves a massive 12-game slate of MLB DFS tonight. This slate brings us one of the most reliable pitchers on the board, Zack Wheeler. It also brings us a bunch of other pitchers that are good, but not at the ace level. We’ll also have plenty of different options for stacking purposes tonight. This slate is shaping up to be a fun one.
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Pauk Skenes ($9.4k on DK) vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Few pitchers in the game possess the strikeout ability of Paul Skenes. The rookie and former LSU standout is living up to the hype this season. Of the 5 starts he has so far made this season, his start against the Dodgers may have been the most impressive. While he gave up 3 ER in that game, he also fanned 8 in just 5 innings of work. The Dodgers have one of the top offenses in the league and Skenes was still able to mow down hitters. His nearly 36% K rate this season ranks first out of all the pitchers on the mound tonight.
He’ll have a much easier task today as he faces off against the St. Louis Cardinals. The Cardinals have been pretty mediocre this season. Against righties this year the Cardinals have a nearly 24% K rate and just a .142 ISO. This is a matchup that Skenes should be able to excel today.
Tylor Megil ($7.3k on DK) vs. Miami Marlins
After a strong comeback win against the Phillies in London, the Mets return home in an attempt to kick-start their season. They’ll get a great draw of the cards as they take on the last-place Marlins. Helping the Mets tonight in an attempt to get back into the playoff race will be Tylor Megill. Megill has been mostly strong this season with 3 of his 4 starts being solid.
His 2 starts before his dud against the Nats were dominant, including a 9 K performance against the Dodgers. This should be his easiest start to date and one he should do well in. The Marlins have shown little to no pop against righties this season. They have a .661 OPS vs. righties, a .127 ISO, and a .292 wOBA. Look for Megill to dominate tonight.
Other pitchers I like this afternoon will be Zack Wheeler vs. Boston and Bryan Woo vs. Chicago.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Cincinnati Reds vs. Triston McKenzie
In DFS, there are 2 things to chase. The first is K’s and the second is home runs. With McKenzie, we have someone giving up dingers and giving up dingers often. Over his last 4 starts, Triston McKenzie has given up an eye-opening 9 dingers. That’s just a crazy number of homers. He’s not only giving up a ton of homers but he’s also getting rocked. He’s giving up a 36% hard-hit rate over the last month and has also given up 10 barrels.
Again, these are crazy numbers to give up and it’s something we want to take advantage of. With the Reds hitting the ball well right now, it should be a good matchup for us tonight. I normally like to take advantage of platoon matchups, but we want to make sure we get some righties in here. Righties have been crushing McKenzie this season with a .220 ISO and a .367 wOBA.
Core Bats: Spencer Steer, Elly De La Cruz, Tyler Stephenson
Secondary Bats: TJ Friedl, Jeimer Candelario, Jake Fraley
Value Bats: Jonathan India, Will Benson
Los Angeles Angels vs. Jordan Montgomery
One has to wonder if top free agents to be will continue to use Scott Boras as their agent. He continues to put his free agents in bad spots and turn down lucrative contracts, only to get short-term deals and then struggle. We are seeing it this season with Blake Snell and Jordan Montgomery. Without a true spring training, both guys have struggled and struggled mightily. Montgomery is coming off 2 consecutive duds that have seen him give up 14 ER over just 6 innings of work. It hasn’t been against top offenses either as he gave up 6 to the Giants and 8 to my Mets.
He’s yet to throw a game this season where he would have warranted the type of deal he was looking for. His command is off and he’s also giving up a ton of hard contact. His WHIP over the last month is over 2. Until he gets it right, we’ll continue to want to stack against him. What makes matters even better is that the Dbacks bullpen has been equally as bad over the last couple of weeks as they have an ERA and XFIP over 5.
Core Bats: Kevin Pillar, Logan O’Hoppe (also great value), Luis Rengifo, Taylor Ward
Secondary Bats:
Value Bats: Jo Adell, Michael Stefanic (could be leading off at min price)
Other stacks I like tonight will be the Yankees vs. Brady Singer, Rangers vs. James Paxton, Phillies vs. Kutter Crawford
Top Individual Bats
Aaron Judge
Teoscar Hernandez
Fernando Tatis
Jarren Duran
Top Value Bats
Heliot Ramos
Lenyn Sosa
Paul Dejong
Andrew Vaughn
JP Crawford
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