Jared Levitt 
Taco Tuesday! Tonight we have ourselves a massive 11-game slate of MLB DFS. Tonight we’ll need to treat MLB DFS like NBA DFS as it’s Deadline Day! We’ll need to be glued to our phones as trades will have a huge impact on our lineups. Thankfully the deadline is a full hour before the main slate starts.
Back to the controllables, this slate looks to be a fun one. We have Robbie Ray making his second appearance of the season, and if it’s anything like his first, we’ll want to make sure we have him as our SP1. This slate also has a ton of great spots for offense.
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Robbie Ray ($8.2k on DK) vs. Oakland Athletics
He’s back! Robbie Ray returned last week and showed that he still has all the talent in the world that helped him win the 2021 Cy Young Award. In that outing, he proceeded to strike out 8 Dodgers en route to a 26 DK-point outing. He gets a much easier task tonight as he faces off against the Oakland Athletics. While the A’s have been playing better of late, they are still a team with a 24% K rate vs. lefties this season. They have 4 guys in this lineup that have at least a 30% K rate vs. lefties this season.
There’s also a very real chance that the heart and soul of this lineup, Brent Rooker, gets traded prior to this game, completely eliminating his power from this lineup. I’m going to be locking in Robbie Ray as my SP1. It’s only a matter of time before his price goes back to its rightful place around $10k.
Hunter Brown ($9k on DK) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Next up for me today will be Hunter Brown of the Houston Astros. Brown has been very strong of late, with an ERA of 3 over the last month and an xFIP just a smidge higher at 3.67. He’s coming into this in peak form, having been over 20 DK points in 2 straight and 7 of his last 9 games. While he’s only been above 30 DK points once this season, he’s been an extremely reliable arm for us and more often than not has been in the mid-20-point range.
He gets a solid matchup vs. an average Pirates lineup. On the year, the Pirates have been weak against righties. They have a 24% K rate vs. them and just a .653 OPS. They just haven’t been hitting for much power vs. righties, making this pick of Brown a mostly safe one at a very reasonable price for the type of production we’ve been seeing from him. With
If I was picking a starter out of the arms we have tonight to start a playoff game, Tyler Glasnow would be at the top of the list. For the purposes of DFS though, he is not. He’s still in play but he’s the most expensive pitcher on this slate and he lacks the upside I’m looking for out of a $10k pitcher. Other arms I am interested in are going to be Luis Castillo vs. Boston, Michael Wacha vs. Chicago, and Justin Steele vs. Cincy. More than likely though, I’m not straying from Ray/Brown.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Patrick Corbin and the Nationals bullpen
I added in the bullpen blurb because the Nats bullpen has been atrocious of late. Over the last 2 weeks, the Nats bullpen has an ERA of 5.54 and an xFIP of 4.63 which also indicates that it is bad. Ok, back to Corbin. You all know I love stacking against him. I haven’t done it as much this season because tbh, he hasn’t been as bad as he normally is. That said, this matchup is about as bad for Corbin as there possibly is.
The way you attack Corbin is with righty power and the Dbacks have that. Against lefties this season, the Dbacks have .762 OPS and a .331 wOBA. From a handedness matchup, this is about as good as it gets for any of the teams playing tonight. Righties recently have a nearly 53% hard-hit vs. Corbin this season.
I’m going to be mostly focused on a handful of guys from this lineup. Ketel Marte is far and away the top play in this lineup and he’s someone that is going to be a core to my Dbacks stack. Against lefties this season, Marte has 14 homers and an OPS of 1.113. He’s been one of the top lefty smashers in baseball this season and although he’s priced high, I’m going to force him into my lineups.
For some salary savings, I’m going to also look at guys like Gabriel Moreno, Eugenio Saurez, Kevin Newman, and Randal Grichuk. All of these guys are priced under $4k and have been known to produce against lefties. Of that group, Suarez is my favorite as he’s been hitting the ball well of late. The one guy I don’t have mentioned here is Christian Walker. He left yesterday’s game with an oblique injury and we’ll need to monitor his status. If he’s in, I like him as well.
Texas Ranger vs. Lance Lynn
I’m going to go against the grain a bit here and target Lance Lynn. Lance Lynn has not been good recently. Over the last month, he’s been terrible with a 5.49 ERA and an xFIP even higher. He’s been getting rocked as he’s given up 12 barrels in his last 19 innings of work. Where we want to target Lynn is with lefties. Not only has his K rate dipped to just 10.9% against them over the last month, but they’re crushing him when they make contact.
Lefties have a massive 55% hard-hit rate vs. him over the last 30 days and a .459 wOBA. 9 of the 14 homers he’s given up this season have been to lefties. Thankfully, the Rangers have a bunch of lefties in this lineup.
A Rangers should start with Corey Seager. Seager has been hitting the ball pretty well lately, with 13 hits in his last 40 AB and a .880 OPS. He also has a hard-hit rate of nearly 65% over the last 2 weeks. If you decide to fade a guy like Marte tonight, Seager makes for a nice alternative and probably won’t be as highly owned.
After Seager, I also want Nate Lowe. Lowe has been arguably their best hitter since the All-Star break, with 3 homers and 8 RBI. Other guys that I’ll look to get into this stack today will be Josh Smith, Jonah Heim, Marcus Semien, and Adolis Garcia.
Other stacks I like today will be the Mets vs. David Fester, Mariners vs. James Paxton, and Braves vs. Frankie Montas. The Royals vs. Jonathan Cannon and the White Sox pen is also very much in play. As you can see, there are a lot of great options for offense tonight.
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