Taco Tuesday! It’s Tuesday and that means we have ourselves a large slate of MLB DFS. Tonight, we’ll have 11 games to navigate through. This slate brings us a pitcher with a rebirth type of season and a young gun that will more than likely be limited due to being on the trade block. We also have another shot at Coors and also some really solid spots for bats.
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Logan Gilbert ($10k on DK) vs. Los Angeles Angels
I will more than likely only spend up on one pitcher tonight. The choice for me will be to go with either Chris Sale or Logan Gilbert. While Chris Sale is the pitcher who has more upside in most outings, I’m siding with Gilbert tonight. The Angels are a whole lot easier of a matchup than the Reds are. Over the last 2 2 weeks, the Angels have scored just 38 runs compared to the 58 of the Reds.
What Gilbert lacks in the K department, he should make up for in the length department tonight as this is just a bad Angels team. Gilbert for his part has pitched really well of late, with a 3.12 ERA and a nearly 26% K rate over the last month. He’s gotten up into the 30 DK point territory in 3 of his last 6 outings, with one of those against these same Los Angeles Angels. He’s my SP1 tonight, with Chris Sale right behind him.
Jon Gray ($7k on DK) vs. Chicago White Sox
This pick isn’t for the faint of heart. Jon Gray has been terrible over the last month or so, with an 8.4 ERA and an xFIP and SIERA that are equally as high. I’m going to cut him a bit of slack though as he’s faced some stiff competition in the Orioles twice and the Padres once.
A few weeks ago he did put up a 22-point gem vs. the Royals and I think he has that type of upside tonight. Last night Michael Lorenzen threw an 8-K outing against this same White Sox team. If Lorenzen can silence the Sox, I don’t see why Gray can’t. He’s risky but for GPP’s in this type of matchup, I do think he has some upside.
Other pitchers that I do like tonight are going to be the aforementioned Chris Sale vs. the Reds, Zack Wheeler against a tough Minnesota Twins lineup, Jameson Taillon vs. a struggling Brewers lineup, and Luis Gil vs. the Mets. I want to touch on Garrett Crochet for a second. In his last outing, it was mentioned that they were going to start to monitor his innings and he went on to pitch just 2 innings. Under normal circumstances, he’d be in the SP1 convo. But we don’t know how many innings he’s going to pitch, especially with him on the trading block and the deadline being next week.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Kansas City Royals vs. Jordan Montgomery.
Jordan Montgomery’s time with the Dbacks has not gone according to plan. Across his 13 starts, Montgomery has posted a 6.44 ERA. While he’s been a bit unlucky as he has an xFIP 2 runs lower, he’s still been terrible. His K/9 are at an all-time low and his BB/9 are the highest they have been since he wore pinstripes in 2018. He is just a shell of what he was in the playoffs last season and you have to wonder how much he’s regretting turning down that contract extension.
He’s going to have his hands full tonight as he’s facing off against a Royals team that has come out swinging since the All-Star Break. In the 4 games they’ve played, they’ve scored 27 runs. They’ll look to continue to add to that total tonight.
Core Bats: Bobby Witt Jr., Salvador Perez, Hunter Renfroe, Maikel Garcia
Secondary Bats: Vinnie Pasquantino
Value Bats: Garrett Hampson, Freddy Fermin, Dalton Blanco
Boston Red Sox vs. Ty Blach
I’m going back to the well with the Red Sox tonight. The Red Sox get a great matchup vs. a bad pitcher in Ty Blach. Blach is a career 5.21 ERA pitcher. There is nothing about him that should scare hitters, at least if you’re a righty. Blach has now been in the big leagues since 2016 and hasn’t had a season with an ERA under 5 since back in 2018. While both sides of the plate have done damage against him in his career, it’s really the righties that we want to focus on.
They have a .369 wOBA vs. him and an OPS of .867. In 2024, that OPS against righties has ballooned up to nearly 1.000. 48 of the 63 homers he’s allowed in his career have been to righties. The Red Sox should be able to throw out 6 righties tonight, making this a really tough matchup for Blach.
Core Bats: Tyler O’Neill, Rob Refsnyder, Romy Gonzalez, Ceddanne Rafaela
Secondary Bats: Rafael Devers, Jarren Duran
Value Bats: Dominic Smith, Masataka Yoshida
Other stacks I like today will be the surging Oakland A’s (they have some strong value), Dodgers vs. Jordan Hicks, Rays vs. Jose Berrios, Dbacks vs. Alec Marsh, and Yankees vs. Jose Quintana
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