Jared Levitt 
Happy Hump Day! It’s Wednesday and that will mean we’ll have a fairly large slate to work with. Tonight we have ourselves an 11-game slate of MLB DFS. At first glance, this slate is loaded with pitching options. There are several high-end pitchers that are also in fairly decent spots to perform. We also have some really strong spots for offense. This is shaping up to be a fun-looking slate.
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Zack Wheeler ($9.8k on DK) vs. Chicago Cubs
Zack Wheeler continues to be one of the best pitchers in baseball. If we look at his recent box scores, we can really see just one blemish and that was against one of the top lineups in the game today. Over the last 2 months, he’s had just 2 outings where he’s given up more than 2 ER. Overall, his body of work has been extremely impressive. The one concern with him is that the K’s just haven’t been there and in DFS, K’s are king. Tonight is a night where I think he gets his K’s and more.
The Cubs have been terrible of late. Over the last week, they’ve scored just 16 runs and have struck out 32% of the time. I say this time and time again, I chase ceiling-type outings. For Wheeler tonight, this is a ceiling-type game for him as the Cubs are striking out a ton of late. Look for Wheeler to have one of his vintage-type outings tonight. He has 30-point upside in this matchup with how the Cubs are playing right now.
Davis Daniel ($7.5k on DK) vs. Oakland
Because of his last outing, I expect Davis Daniel to be rather popular tonight. He struck out 8 Tigers in 8 shutout innings. Against anyone else, I’d probably fade him as he’s still mostly unproven. I’m struggling to find a reason to fade him tonight as he gets one of the top matchups out of any pitcher on this slate. The A’s are back to being terrible. Over the last week, they’ve scored 12 runs and have struck out 34% of the time.
The projected lineup tonight for the A’s has 6 guys that have a strikeout rate over 27% vs. righties this season. While we can’t really bank on another 8k shutout performance out of Daniel, the matchup is strong enough that we very well could see 6-7 K’s and limited damage against him. I’m going to eat the chalk here because he has immense upside at relatively little cost.
Other pitchers I like today are going to be Chris Sale vs. the Giants, Dean Kremer vs. the Mariners, and Shota Imanaga vs. the Phillies.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Dakota Hudson
Coors was a huge letdown last night as the Rockies and Brewers combined to score just 7 runs. With Dakota Hudson on the mound tonight, we should expect the Brewers to score 7 on their own. Dakota Hudson has been bad of late. Over the last month, Hudson is sporting an ERA of 7.77. Most of this is thanks to the 13 ER he’s given up over his last 2 starts. He’s just too low of a K guy to be successful.
His K rate of just 11.70% over the last month is one of the lowest of anyone throwing tonight. He’s also sporting a WHIP of nearly 2. That’s nearly 2 runners on in every inning. Just really bad stuff. While the entire lineup for the Brewers will be in play today, I’m going to prioritize getting the lefties here. Over the last 30 days, lefties have a .292 ISO vs. him and a .469 wOBA. Thankfully, the Brewers have some really strong lefties we can target.
Core Bats: Christian Yelich, Brice Turang, Sal Frelick
Secondary Bats: William Contreras, Willy Adamas, Rhys Hoskins
Cincinnati Reds vs. Carlos Rodon
Is Carlos Rodon Patrick Corbin 2.0? His first season in the Bronx was marred by injuries and he ended up finishing the season with a 6.85 ERA across 14 starts. While this season started a bit stronger, he has completely fallen apart. Over his last 3 starts, Rodon has allowed 21 ER. Things aren’t going to get any easier for him tonight as he’s facing a Reds lineup that scored 5 runs against Luis Gil and company last night.
Rodon’s only saving grace is that he’s still getting some K’s. His K rate over the last month is still around 25%. That said, when he’s not striking out hitters, he’s giving up bombs or barrels. He’s given up 6 homers over the last month and 11 barrels. He’s lost right now and until he finds himself, I’m stacking against him.
Core Bats: Elly De La Cruz, Jeimer Candelario, Jonathan India, Spencer Steer
Value Bats: Stuart Fairchild, Noelvi Marte
They didn’t make my top 2, but at the end of the day, they may. I also really like the Rangers lefties vs. Adam Mazur. He’s been terrible also and I’ll be sure to have some exposure to Nathaniel Lowe, Josh Smith, Jonah Heim, and should he come back tonight Corey Segar. Other teams I like tonight will be the Padres vs. Jon Gray, the Astros vs. Yusei Kikuchi, and the Yankees vs. Andrew Abbott.
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