Jared Levitt 
Happy Taco Tuesday! After just 3 games on the schedule yesterday, we’re back to having a plethora of games to watch and choose players from. Tonight, we have ourselves a massive 11-game slate of MLB DFS. This slate has some interesting options for use to choose from in regards to pitching. It also brings us back to one of my favorite punching bags in Dallas Keuchel.
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Grayson Rodriguez ($9.4k on DK) vs. Seattle Mariners
Pitchers against the Mariners this season have been a successful way to cash. At 877 strikeouts so far this season, the Mariners lead the league and the next closest team is nearly 40 K’s behind them. This is a team that is striking out an epic pace and they don’t seem to be slowing down any time soon. Over the last week, the Mariners have struck out 38% of the time. Just crazy stuff right there.
Against righties this season, the Mariners have struck out more than 28% of the time. While Rodriguez isn’t quite known as a huge K guy, he has gotten into the double-digit strike-out territory this season and has often gotten to at least 6 in most starts. I stress this all the time in chasing ceiling games, and this is a ceiling game for Rodriguez tonight. He’s in a stretch right now that has seen him get to at least 20 DK in 5 of his last 6 starts. He should add to that total tonight in a solid matchup.
Aaron NoJose Siriano ($7.5k on DK) vs. Oakland Athletics
I’m not finding it necessary to chase the top arms tonight. After somewhat spending up for Rodriguez tonight, I’m going with a cheaper arm in Jose Siriano. Siriano gets one of the better matchups on the board tonight as he takes on the lowly Oakland Athletics. The A’s have been really bad of late. Over the last week, they’ve scored just 17 runs while striking out 30% of the time. The projected lineup tonight for the A’s has a 26% strikeout rate vs. righties this season.
This all sets up great for a pitcher in Siriano who has been pitching rather well recently. Over his last 6 starts, Siriano has been at or above 18 DK points in 4 of them. What he lacks in K upside, he makes up for in length as he’s gone at least 6 innings in 5 consecutive starts. His WHIP of just 1 has helped in going longer in games. Look for him to have another solid night tonight.
Other pitchers I like today are going to be Dylan Cease vs. the Rangers, Reynaldo Lopez vs. the Giants, and Tarik Skubal vs. the Twins. None of those guys are a must play though as the matchups are tough for the top-end pitchers tonight.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Colorado Rockies vs. Dallas Keuchel
If you forgot that Dallas Keuchel was still around, you’re not alone. Until the Mariners traded him to the Brewers last week, I thought he had all but retired. I for one am extremely grateful he’s still around because that means we get to stack against him when he’s on the mound. I normally try to avoid going to Coors because ownership is normally exaggerated, but I’m making an exception tonight as Keuchel is terrible these days.
Ever since peaking in 2020, baseball has been Keuchel’s enemy. Over the last few years, Keuchel has consistently had an ERA over 5, and last year it was pushing 6, ultimately getting released by the Twins. He’s made just one start this season but it was the same ole same ole for him. 5 ER allowed in just 4 innings of work. After having a bullpen game yesterday, I’d expect Keuchel to have a longer leash today. That’s music to our ears.
Core Bats: Brendan Rodgers, Brenton Doyle, Ezequiel Tover, Elias Diaz
Secondary Bats: Ryan McMahon, Nolan Jones
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Ryne Nelson
Few pitchers in baseball get hit as hard as Ryne Nelson gets hit. He’s already allowed 25 barrels this season, with 14 coming over his last 27 innings of work. He also has allowed a mind-boggling 43% hard-hit rate. Now, if he had a high swinging strike rate or K rate, he’d be ok. But the fact that he has a contact rate against him of 86% just means he is putting a massive amount of hard-hit balls into play.
Now, if he was a ground ball pitcher, he’d be ok. He’s not. Over the last month, Nelson has allowed a 44% flyball rate. So we have a pitcher that is giving up a 86% contact rate, a 43% hard-hit rate, and a 44% flyball rate. Bombs. Away.
Core Bats: Shohei Ohtani, Shohei Ohtani, Shohei Ohtani, Freddie Freeman
Secondary Bats: Teoscar Hernandez
Value Bats: Miguel Rojas, Jason Heyward, Gavin Lux, Cavan Biggio
Other stacks I like today will be the Yankees vs. Graham Ashcraft, Dbacks vs. Bobby Miller, Phillies vs. Hayden Wesneski, Brewers vs. Ryan Feltner, and Reds vs. Luis Gil. As you can see, there are a ton of options for bats today. If you want to be sneaky, go Reds vs. Gil. It’s risky, but Gil has been terrible of late.
Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!
