Jared Levitt 
Happy Saturday y’all! For a Saturday, we have a pretty large slate tonight as we’ll have 10 games of MLB DFS. This is a slate that at first glance, really lacks quality pitching outside of Zack Wheeler and he’s in a terrible matchup. It does mean that we’ll have some great spots for hitting.
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Bryan Woo ($8.8k on DK/$10.8k on FD) vs. Los Angeles Angels
I want to preface this by saying this is a DK only pick. I’m not willing to spend upwards of $11k on Bryan Woo anywhere. That said, the price point on DK is great. The oft-injured Woo has been pitching really well this season especially of late. Over the last month, Woo has pitched to an ERA of just 1.59. Although that low of a number is not sustainable, his xFIP in the low 3’s over the last month indicates he’s still really good.
Woo has been doing a great job of limiting hard contact when hitters do make contact. Hitters have just a 17.6% hard-hit rate vs. him over the last month. This is a matchup that he should excel in. Although the Angels got to Gilbert last night, Woo is the more consistent pitcher and the pitcher in better form. I’m rocking Bryan Woo as one of my 2 pitchers on DK tonight.
Edward Cabrera ($6.7k on DK/$7.4k on FD) vs. San Francisco
The San Francisco Giants lineup is anemic right now. They are downright struggling and because of that, I’m going to target them with a pitcher that has some strikeout upside tonight and virtually no cost. Tonight’s projected Giants lineup has a greater than 27% K rate vs. righties over the last month and a sub .300 wOBA. Over the last week, the Giants have scored just 17 runs have a strikeout rate of 29%. Those 17 runs rank second worst out of all the teams on this main slate.
We’ve seen Cabrera get up to 7K’s on more than a handful of occasions this season. He’s coming of an 8 K game in Colorado earlier this week and with this matchup, I can see him getting upwards of 8 K’s again in this matchup. This is far from safe and I wouldn’t blame you if you choose to fade, but in GPP’s this is a ceiling type of matchup for a young pitcher that has a ton of talent.
Other pitchers that I like tonight will be Jose Berrios vs. Minnesota, Yusei Kikuchi vs. KC, and Jose Quintana vs. Chicago. I’m not a huge fan of this matchup for Zack Wheeler. Somehow, the Braves continue to put up runs despite losing some huge bats. I’m not willing to pay a premium for someone who will have a much lower ceiling than normal.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Fernando Cruz/David Buchanan
I’ve seen different reports showing either Fernando Cruz or David Buchanan starting for the Reds tonight. More are showing Cruz pitching and if that does happen, that should be music to our ears. While Cruz does have a ton of K upside from his time in the pen, he also has absolutely no idea where the ball is going when he throws it and it leads to a lot of walks.
He has a career 4.36 BB/9 in his time in the big leagues. Since he’s mostly been a reliever, we can’t expect him to go that long and then we’ll face a Reds bullpen that has a 6.42 ERA over the last couple of weeks. This is a great spot for the Brewers to continue with their hot-hitting.
Core Plays: Willy Adamas, William Contreras, Jackson Chourio
Value Plays: Garrett Mitchell, Blake Perkins, Rhys Hoskins
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Merrill Kelly
I’m not sure what happened to Merrill Kelly, but he’s broken. Over the last month, he’s just been downright terrible. He’s sporting a 6.75 ERA and is allowing a massive 40% hard-hit rate. Hitters are just teeing off on him. He isn’t fooling anyone with his pitches as he has just a 6.7 swinging strike rate. With how poorly he’s been pitching, this is a great spot for the Dodgers to continue putting up runs.
This is also a matchup that will play right into their wheelhouse. Since returning from the IL, lefties have been crushing him. They have a .278 ISO and a .364 wOBA. He’s also allowing a 42% flyball rate and a nearly 65% hard-hit rate. The Dodgers are built for this matchup and we should expect a short outing from the Dbacks righties.
Core Bats: Shohei Ohtani, Freddie Freeman, Max Muncy
Secondary Bats: Mookie Betts, Teoscar Hernandez, Will Smith
Value Bats: Gavin Lux, Miguel Rojas, Tommy Edman
Other bats I like tonight will be the Mets vs. Davis Martin, A’s vs. Cody Bradford, Orioles vs. Ryan Feltner, Rockies vs. Dean Kremer, and Mariners vs. Tyler Anderson
Top Individual Bats I like
Brent Rooker Vs. Cody Bradford
Corey Seager vs. Joey Estes
Francisco Lindor vs. Davis Martin
Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!
