Jared Levitt 
Happy Saturday y’all! It’s Saturday and that means nonsense with the different slates. I’ll be focused on the 7-game main slate of MLB DFS starting at 7 pm est. This is a slate that is very top-heavy in terms of pitching. We’ll have the likes of Tarik Skubal and Michael King up top. And then not much else.
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Tarik Skubal ($10.9k on DK) vs. Chicago White Sox
Over the last couple of years, Tarik Skubal has turned himself into one of the top pitchers in the game. Through 25 starts this season, he’s having one of the finest years of his young career. He’s sporting a career-best ERA of 2.49 and has maintained a K/9 around 11. He’s coming into this one in solid form, with a 31% K rate over the last month and an ERA hovering around 3.
He gets a great matchup today vs. a bad White Sox team. A White Sox team that has mostly struggled against lefties this season. I’m not going to overthink this one, Skubal is my SP1 this evening.
Clayton Kershaw ($7.8k on DK) vs. Tampa Bay Rays
I really wanted to get up to Michael King as my second starter tonight, but paying up for double aces just may not be in the cards or wallet. Kershaw is a nice alternative as he takes on a below-average Tampa Bay Rays lineup. A Rays lineup that has struggled recently, with just 20 runs scored over the last week and a K rate of 28%.
While the days of Kershaw being the best pitcher in the game are over, he will supply us with a nice floor tonight. At Kershaw’s price point tonight, I’ll be ecstatic with a high-teens performance and that’s something well in play.
The only other pitcher I am interested in tonight is Michael Kings vs. the Mets.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Atlanta Braves vs. Jake Irvin
The Braves somehow continue to win games. They were helped last night by a terrible play by CJ Abrams. They should be able to continue their winning ways this evening against Jake Irvin. Irvin is coming into this one not in peak form. Over the last month, Irvin has an ERA of nearly 5.5. He’s allowed a massive 83% contact rate over the last month and a slate leading 8 homers.
While I wish this lineup was a little deeper for the matchup, the matchup is one where they should still put up a bunch of runs. I’m not going to be overly concerned about splits here as Irvin has really struggled against both sides of the plate over the last month, especially the righties.
Core Plays: Marcel Ozuna, Jorge Soler, Matt Olson, Michael Harris
Value Plays: Ramon Laureano, Whit Merrifield, Adam Duvall
Cleveland Guardians vs. Jon Gray
I’m going to be chasing some lefty power here. While Gray hasn’t pitched too poorly this season, he is someone that we should be able to attack tonight. Gray is someone that typically gives up a lot of contact. On the year, hitters have a nearly 80% contact rate vs. him. He’s also a very low K guy as his K/9 are just 7.5. We’ll have to be hoping for some BABIP luck here, but I think it comes.
We’ll want to focus on lefties here as Gray’s K rate drops from 21.5% vs. righties to just 17.8% for lefties. Lefties also have a much higher flyball rate and hard-hit rate vs. him. This has enabled them to have a .355 wOBA vs. him, compared to just .247 for righties. Thankfully, the Guardians have a whole bunch of lefties in their lineup!
Core Bats: Jose Ramirez, Josh Naylor, Steven Kwan
Secondary Bats: Lane Thomas
Value Bats: Bo Naylor, Andres Gimenez, Brayan Rocchio, Daniel Schneemann
Other bats I like tonight will be the Nationals vs. Charlie Morton, Dodgers vs. Taj Bradley, Tigers vs. Ky Bush.
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