Jared Levitt 
Hump day! Happy Wednesday y’all. We have a solid-looking 8-game slate of MLB DFS tonight. There are 2 playable slates today but I’ll be focused on the main slate starting at 7 pm est. This is a slate that has a stud pitcher in a pristine matchup. It also has some very average to below-average pitchers. This will mean that offense should be fairly spread out.
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Jack Flaherty ($10.5k on DK) vs. Seattle Mariners
I’m going to have a hard time fading Flaherty tonight. He’s by far the top pitcher on this slate and he’s facing a team in the Mariners that is back to strikeout ways. Over the last 2 weeks, the Mariners have struck out 32% of the time. That’s far more than any other team on this slate.
At 28, it appears that Flaherty is finally putting it all together for the first time since back in 2019. His K/9 is the highest it’s ever been and his BB/9 is significantly lower than they have ever been. He’s my SP1 tonight and I’m going to overthink it.
Ryan Pepiot ($8.3k on DK) vs. Oakland
I’m going to get a little risky with my SP2 tonight. Ryan Pepiot is nothing special, but he hasn’t pitched all that bad. On the season, Pepiot is sporting a very respectable 3.69 ERA and an xFIP that is nearly identical. While I wish the K’s were a bit higher, the matchup today does provide him a bit more upside than normal. The A’s are striking out more than 25% of the time against righties this season.
Even though this lineup has some pop these days, it’s a lineup that can be had thanks to their high strike-out tendencies. I can see Pepiot getting into the 20 DK point range tonight, and at this price point, I’ll take it.
Other pitchers I have interest in tonight will be Yariel Rodriguez vs. Cincy and Aaron Nola vs. a depleted Braves lineup.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
New York Yankees vs. Joey Cantillo
The Major League experience has not been kind so far to Joey Cantillo. Through his first 3 starts, Cantillo has a far from impressive 6.23 ERA and an xFIP over 5. It’s been a struggle for him so far to get hitters out. So far he’s had 2 glaring weaknesses. Getting the ball over the plate and keeping the ball in the ballpark when it does go over the plate.
His BB/9 is a terribly high 4.15 and his HR/9 is also high at 2.77. It’s a small sample size, but so far it’s been lefties that have tortured him so far. They have a 1.563 OPS and a .641 wOBA.
Core Plays: Juan Soto, Aaron Judge
Secondary Plays: Stanton, Verdugo
Value Plays: Oswaldo Peraza, Jose Trevino, DJ LeMahieu
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kyle Gibson
Kyle Gibson has been going through a rough stretch at his one talent, pitching. Since the end of June, he has 5 starts out of 9 where he’s given up at least 4 ER. Against a powerful Brewers lineup, he very well could add to that total this evening. Over the last 2 weeks, the Brewers have been putting up some runs.
Of the teams playing tonight, only the Braves and Royals have scored more than them. I’m not going to be overly concerned about splits tonight as Gibson has been struggling against both sides of the plate over the last 30 days.
Core Bats: William Contreras, Brice Turang, Jackson Chourio, Willy Adames
Value Bats: Joey Ortiz, Tyler Black, Garrett Mitchell
Other bats I like tonight will be the Rays vs. Mitch Spence, Angels vs. Michael Lorenzen, and Blue Jays vs. Nick Martinez. Guardians vs. Nestor Cortes are also very much in play.
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