Jared Levitt 
TGIF! We’ve almost made it to the weekend! It’s Friday and we have a nice-sized 8-game slate of MLB DFS on DK and a much bigger 13-gamer on FD. At some point, I hope that DK adapts and starts to include the earlier games on the site as well. At first glance, this slate looks to be very chalky on the pitching front, at least on DK. We have 2 young studs facing 2 very beatable opponents. This slate also brings the return of Coors so we’ll need to factor that into our decision making.
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Spencer Arrighetti ($8.5k on DK/$9.5k on FD) vs. Chicago White Sox
I’m not sure yet how comfortable I am using Spencer Arrighetti as a chalk pitcher. We’ve seen him get mauled by the Tigers, but we’ve also seen him throw some gems like his last outing vs. the Red Sox. Over his last 2 starts, Arrighetti has struck out 25 hitters across 13 innings of work and allowed just 3 ER. While it’s nearly impossible to make it a third in a row like that, the matchup is there for the taking.
He gets to take on the lowly White Sox tonight. A White Sox team that is pacing to shatter the New York Mets record for the worst record in the history of baseball. The White Sox currently sit 64 games under .500 and will be lucky to win 40. They are the only team yet to score 400 runs on the season. They’ve scored the fewest runs in baseball by more than 80. It’s baseball and anything can happen, but oh what a spot for the young Astros hurler.
Spencer Schwellenbach ($9.8k on DK/$9.7k on DK) vs. Los Angeles Angels
My two favorite pitchers tonight will both be named Spencer. I’m not sure that’s ever happened before. Over the last week, we’ve seen pitchers like Jose Berrios and Kevin Gausman throw gems against this same Los Angeles Angels team. This is a very weak-hitting Angels team without Mike Trout in it. If we look at the projected lineup for the Angels tonight, it’s a lineup that has a K rate greater than 25% over the last month and a woeful WOBA of just .283.
Schwellenbach has been in play for me quite a bit recently, but this matchup solidifies his pick for me. He’s coming into this one strong, with a 3.12 ERA over the last month and an extremely impressive 36% K rate. He’s hit at least 7 K’s in 4 straight games and at least 6 K’s in all but 2 of his starts over the last 2 months. He’s been superb for the Braves and he should continue to his dominant run tonight in a plus matchup.
Other pitchers I have tepid interest in tonight will be Sean Manaea vs. Miami, Corbin Burnes vs. Boston, and Gavin Williams vs. Milwaukee. As of writing this though, I have little interest in moving away from the Spencer and Spencer.
FD only options
Paul Skenes vs. Seattle is in play. Just know that Skenes has come back down to earth over his last handful of starts. Albeit they were against teams like the Dodgers/Dbacks/Astros. He gets a much softer matchup today vs. a Mariners team that has struck out a ton vs. righties this season, though they have been much better over the last month or so. Gilbert vs. the Pirates is also very much in play. Same for Gerrit Cole vs. a young Tigers lineup. Ryne Nelson vs. a free-swinging Rays team may be my favorite play of the day on FD. Dollar for Dollar, Ryne Nelson may have the best matchup and skillset with bringing in the early games. He’s cheap and will allow for a ton of flexibility with bats.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Patrick Corbin (FD Only)
Oh FanDuel, thank you for making my Friday. When I first saw the schedule for today and saw Patrick Corbin was playing at 6:40 I panicked. I thought he wouldn’t be on the main slate. Then I looked at FD and saw they included the early games in the Main Slate and it made my week. Patrick Corbin continues to just be terrible. Over his last 3 games, he’s given up an impressive 18 ER while striking out just 11.
On the season, his ERA is up 5.98 on the year and his xERA is just behind it. We can only hope that some team is desperate enough this upcoming offseason to give him another contract. With Corbin, we want any and all righties. Righties have a slugging % of .528 vs. him this season and 17 of the 19 homers he’s given up have been to righties.
That means I’m going to prioritize getting in Alec Bohm and Nick Castellanos into this stack. Both guys are hitting the ball really right now. Bohm has been held hitless just once over the last 2 weeks and is coming off a game with a 3-run homer. Over the last month, he has a .472 wOBA vs. southpaws and an impressive .286 ISO.
Castle’s numbers are even better against lefties over the last month, with a .535 wOBA and a .357 ISO. Both guys are extremely affordable as they are under $3.5k. Weston Wilson is an amazing value at $2.4k on FD. When he’s been in the lineup, all he has done is rake and with a lefty on the mound tonight he should be in there. This entire Phillies lineup is in play for me tonight.
Houston Astros vs. Garrett Crochet and the White Sox bullpen
I’m going to continue to stack teams against Garrett Crochet. Last Friday we did and they proceeded to award us with 7 runs. Crochet is a shell of what he was earlier in the season. He is now at 120 innings pitched, which is close to double the total that he had coming into the season. He hasn’t pitched more than 4 innings in more than a month as his innings/pitches are being severely limited.
We should get at least 4 innings of the White Sox bullpen today, a bullpen that has an ERA of 6.46 over the last couple of weeks. After Crochett, we’ll more than likely see journeyman Touki Toussaint who has mostly served as the long man after Crochet exits. Toussaint is nothing more than a gas can at this point in his career. He’s bounced around a handful of teams over the last few years, spending much of it in the minors.
Core Bats: Yordan Alvarez, Alex Bregman, Jeremy Pena, Yainer Diaz
Secondary Bats: Jose Altuve
Value Bats: Chas McCormick, Mauricio Dubon, Jake Meyers, Zach Derenzo
New York Mets vs. Roddery Munoz
Although their pitching is still horrible, the New York Mets bats have come alive over the last couple of days, and with a matchup vs. Roddery Munoz tonight, that should continue. Munoz has a very clear weakness, and that’s lefties. Against lefties this season, Munoz has allowed a .441 wOBA and a .371. The metrics adding to that are a low K rate of just 18.6, a flyball rate of 39%, and a hard-hit rate that has inched over 50%.
He’s just allowing a ton of power vs. lefties. Of the 21 bombs he’s allowed this season, 18 have been to guys from the left side. Lefties also have a massive OPS of 1.052. Sign me up for all the lefties in this lineup this evening.
Core Bats: Francisco Lindor, Brandon Nimmo, Jeff McNeill, Jesse Winker
Secondary Bats: Mark Vientos, Pete Alonso, JD Martinez
Other bats I like tonight will be the Padres vs. Cal Quantrill, Dodgers vs. Miles Mikolas and Twins vs. Andrew Heaney. On FD, Reds vs. Michael Lorenzen are also very much in play.
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