Jared Levitt 
Hump day! It’s Wednesday and we have ourselves a pretty large slate considering the day of the week. Thankfully, the sites adjusted and the main slate will start at 6:35 tonight. We have an 11-game slate of MLB DFS. We are in the tough part of the year. Pitching recently has been even crazier than normal, with large fluctuations in performance. We have a slate tonight that’s really void of any true ace. That said, we do have some really solid arms in great spots.
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Ronel Blanco ($9.3k on DK) vs. Tampa Bay Rays
This year’s version of the Rays has been a complete 180 from what we’ve seen over the past few years. They currently sit a game under .500 and it will be a battle between them and the Blue Jays for last in the AL East. Gone are Aroz and Isaac Parades. With just 463 runs scored this season, they sit in the bottom 3 in baseball in terms of run scored. Against righties this season, they have been terrible. They have just a .662 OPS and a wOBA of just .293.
For Blanco, there are definitely strikeouts to be had tonight. 5 of the 9 hitters in the projected lineup tonight have a K rate over 25% vs. righties this season. If we look at what Blanco has done over the last 30 days, he’s been mostly strong. Although the ERA is high at 5.68, his xFIP and SIERA both sit around 2 runs lower at 3.6. He’s due for some positive regression and it should come against a lineup that has struggled. He’s hit at least 5 K’s in 7 of his last 8 games. There’s no reason to think he can’t get more than tonight. He’s my SP1 tonight.
Robbie Ray ($8.6k on DK) vs. Atlanta Braves
Over the last 2 nights, we’ve seen the Braves get tsruck out 11 times by Blake Snell and 6 times last night by Kyle Harrison. I’m expecting something in the middle of that tonight. The question with Robbie Ray is always which Robbie Ray will show up. He’s essentially a Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde type of pitcher. There are going to be games where he has no idea where the ball is going and there will be games where he looks like the Cy Young Award winning pitcher that he is.
With a struggling Atlanta Braves lineup in the matchup, I’m going to put odds on him having a Cy Young-level performance tonight. Even though he’s been up and down in terms of performance, he still has struck out at least 7 in 3 of the 4 outings so far this season. He’s been under 18 DK points in just one. This is an exploitable spot for the Giants’ southpaw tonight. He’ll be my SP2.
He’s not currently in my top 2 as I write this, but I also really like Jose Berrios here against the Angels. He’s a frustrating pitcher who could easily get tagged for a bunch of runs. But thanks to his ability to get hitters to chase, he can also get us upwards of 30 DK points. We saw Guasman have a really strong outing vs. them last night and no reason to think Berrios can’t do the same. Other pitchers in my pool will be Bryan Woo vs. Detroit and maybe Tyler Anderson vs. Toronto.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
New York Yankees vs. David Martin
I’ve been trying to avoid writing the Yanks as the top stack, but it’s just impossible tonight. They get a matchup vs. the Davis Martin and an atrocious bullpen. Martin hasn’t been terrible this year in his 3 starts. He hasn’t really been tested that much though. He’s coming off a 6-inning solid performance against an inconsistent A’s team. The one time he was tested this season was against the Twins and he proceeded to give up 4 ER in just 3 innings of work. Thanks to a terrible bullpen, the final score in that matchup was 10-2 in favor of the Twins.
I would not be shocked to see that happen again tonight. I’m going to focus on the righties here. So far this season, righties have a .261 ISO and a .421 wOBA. It’s a small sample size, but if we look at his career as a whole (still a very small sample) righties have done better vs. him.
The big dilemma here will be Soto or Judge. Tbh, you can’t go wrong with either. I think that Judge comes in at a lower ownership tonight for a few reasons. He’s not the one who hit 3 homers last night, he’s more expensive, and he doesn’t get the platoon advantage. Because of that, I’m going to side with him here. But again, you can’t go wrong with either.
Other bats I’ll look to get into my Yankees stack will be Austin Wells, Giancarlo Stanton, and Gleyber Torres. Alex Verdugo is also a nice piece here. He’s just $3.5k on DK and almost always puts the ball in play. It’s just going to be a matter of the BABIP gods being in his favor. Fit any and all Yanks as you see fit. They should score a bunch of runs.
Oakland A’s vs. David Peterson
After jumping into the Wild Card lead a few weeks ago, all has completely fallen apart for my New York Mets. They aren’t scoring runs and they are giving up a ton. Since Friday, they’ve given up 31 runs in 4 games and have scored just 5 themselves. They are a mess right now and I’m going to attack them with what is a very inconsistent lineup for the A’s.
We’ve seen them on a bunch of occasions put up a ton of runs and I think they do it again here vs. a struggling pitcher in David Peterson. Peterson is normally a headcase on the mound. He will show flashes of greatness, but in a moment’s notice will fall completely apart. He’ll face an A’s team that is very competent vs. southpaws.
Core Plays: Brent Rooker, Shea Langeliers, Miguel Andujar
Secondary Plays: JJ Bleday
Value Plays: Zack Gelof, Daz Cameron
Other Stacks I like tonight will be the Phillies vs. Edward Cabrera, Guardians vs. Jameson Taillon, Cubs vs. Alex Cobb, Dodgers vs. Frankie Montas, and Marlins vs. Tyler Phillips.
Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!
