Jared Levitt 
Happy Patrick Corbin Day to all those who celebrate. We’ll celebrate today as a family as the best lineup in baseball takes on the worst pitcher in the game. Should be fun! MLB has blessed us with a 10-game slate of MLB DFS tonight. It’s a great-looking slate that should hopefully see more offense than we saw last night. We have some pitches in really good spots as well. It’s shaping up to be one of the better slates we’ve seen all year.
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Lance Lynn ($8.4k on DK) vs. Oakland Athletics
Anything can happen on any given day, but I really like this spot for Lance Lynn tonight. As will be the case on most nights, we’re picking on the Oakland Athletics. Last night we saw a pitcher in Sonny Gray put up 27 points on just 72 pitches thanks to the 6 K’s and 0 ER allowed. Can we see something similar from Lance Lynn today? Absolutely. On the year, Lynn has a 29% K rate. He’s been pretty solid so far to the start the year and we should see more longevity from him tonight.
Compared to the pitch count we saw Gray on last night, Lynn should be allowed to go as long as he can. In his last outing he was all the way up to 94 pitchers. If we can get another 94 pitches from him tonight, and similar to results to what we’ve seen from him so far this year, he should be one of the higher scoring pitchers on the night.
Brady Singer ($9.2k on DK) vs. Chicago White Sox
Some may say it’s lazy thinking, but I say work smarter and not harder. Yes, I’ll be picking on both the A’s and White Sox on most nights. They both have anemic offenses and offenses that strike out quite a bit. Against righties this season, the White Sox are striking out around 23% of the time and putting up next to no offense. Their wOBA vs. righties this season is a whopping .269. That’s terrible and something we want to pick on as often as we can.
For Singer’s part, he’s been really good. His xFIP on the young season is just 3.18 and he has an ERA below 1. Singer also has a K rate hovering around 26%. He should be able to put up a ton of DK points tonight in this matchup. Again, anything can happen in baseball but I really like Singer’s chances of joining Lynn as one of the higher performers tonight on the mound.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kyle Hendricks
I don’t typically chase homers as it’s a really risk endeavor. That said, certain pitchers I will 100% chase homers against. At the top of that list is Mr. Kyle Hendricks of the Chicago Cubs. In the year, Hendricks has already given up 5 bombs. He’s given up 2 in 2 of his 3 games and has allowed a homer in each game so far. This is a trend that has been around most of Hendricks’s career. Last season was the first season since 2019 that saw him give up less than 1 HR/9.
He’s back this year giving up bombs left and right and it’s something we’ll want to continue to attack. 4 of the 5 homers he’s given up this season have been to lefties. It’s really early and the numbers are inflated, but so far lefties have a mind-boggling .903 slugging % vs. him. It will undoubtedly come down, but until it does we’ll want to prioritize lefties when stacking against him, and power lefties to boot.
The first 2 lefties I have in mind with this stack are going to be Corbin Carroll and Joc Pederson. Only one of these guys is hitting the ball well right now and that’s Carroll. He has a 91% contact rate over the last week and a 38% flyball rate. If he can continue to put that many balls in the air against a homer-prone pitcher like Hendricks, magic can happen and that means a long ball.
With Pederson, a lot of it has been bad luck for him. He has an 89% contact rate but just 2 hits to show for it. He also has one of the highest average exit velocities on the team over the last week at 93 mph. His time is coming and I wouldn’t be shocked to see him take Hendricks deep tonight. I also like guys like Marte, Alexander, and Walker tonight. For me, this entire lineup will be in play in this matchup.
San Diego Padres vs. Wade Miley
I really wanted to go with the Dodgers here but the pricing for them is so prohibitive tonight. They are all extremely expensive. While the Padres aren’t cheap, they are in a little bit better of a spot tonight than they Dodgers. Wade Miley was very lucky to walk away with giving up just 1 ER in the 4 innings of work last week vs. the Reds. In that start, he allowed a 45% hard-hit rate and did not get a single strikeout. His ERA for the game was 2.25, but his xFIP of 6.54 told the story.
He got hit and he got hit very hard and was lucky to escape. I don’t think the same thing happens tonight vs. a very dangerous Padres lineup. The Padres have been very strong vs. lefties this season, with a .815 OPS and a .230 ISO. They should be able to get to the 37-year-old Miley tonight.
I’m starting this stack with Manny Machado. Machado has been the strongest hitter in this Padres lineup of late. Over his last 26 AB, Machado has 10 hits and has scored 6 runs. He also has 3 barrels over that stretch. His $4.8k price tag tonight is very fair and isn’t going to break the bank. The next one up for me in this lineup tonight will be Jurickson Profar. Profar is a strong value play here at just $3.1k on DK. He’ started out the season very strong, with a .311 AVG and a slugging % of .508. I like him to continue with his strong play. Other guys I’ll look to here are going to be Fernando Tatis, Ha-seong Kim, and Jackson Merrill.
Other stacks I like today are the Dodgers vs. Patrick Corbin, Cardinals vs. JP Sears, and Mets vs. Jared Jones.
Good luck and hope to see you in the green.
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