Joel Bartilotta 
Welcome to Friday’s edition of Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.
It’s Full Slate Friday as we have a massive 12-game slate of MLB DFS tonight. With so many teams in action we’ll have a lot of different options both on the pitching front and stacking front. At first glance, this is shaping up to be an extremely fun-looking slate.
Let’s dig and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Hunter Brown vs. Oakland Athletics
Next up on the pick on Oakland train are the Houston Astros. While the Astros offense has been non-existent of late that’s of little concern to me here as we’ll be picking on them with the Astros rookie pitcher Hunter Brown. Brown has been extremely solid this season, pitching to a 3.20 ERA, and has 56 K’s in 50 innings of work.
Over his last 5 outings, Brown has reached at least 20 DK points in 3 of them. With a matchup today against a projected lineup that has a 25% k rate vs. righties this season, there’s definitely some upside for the young hurler. The projected lineup for the A’s tonight also has poor offensive metrics vs. righties, with just a .292 wOBA vs. them. I’ll be rocking Brown everywhere tonight.
Kevin Gausman vs. Minnesota Twins
Kevin Gausman has been one of the best pitchers in baseball this season. His ERA for the year is just a shade north of 3 and he has 81 K’s compared to just 11 walks. Over his last 6 starts he’s been over 27.5 DK 4 times. The only struggles were against the Red Sox and Orioles. Even in that Orioles game, a top team in baseball, he was able to get 17 points.
He’ll face off against a Twins team that in all honesty has an average lineup. They are just 2 games over .500 playing in a division where they are the only team over .500. He’s at one of his lowest price points that we’ve seen over the last month at $10.3k. Because of that, I’m all over him tonight. Pairing him with Hunter Brown gives us a double aces combo this evening that has skies the limit potential.
Alex Wood vs. Milwaukee Brewers
This is a wild card pick for me tonight. Alex Wood hasn’t pitched overly well this season, but he also hasn’t pitched much as he’s made just 6 starts. This is more matchup based for me tonight. The Brewers have been dreadful vs. lefties this season. The projected lineup tonight has just a .293 wOBA and a .147 ISO vs. lefties. They also have a 26% k rate.
They’ve been attacked against lefties all season and tonight will be no different, even though it’s Alex Wood. He’s far from safe, but there’s definitely some upside tonight with Alex Wood and his $6.3k salary.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Boston Red Sox vs. Brandon Pfaadt
The Red Sox get a strong matchup tonight vs. Brandon Pfaadt. Pfaadt has made 4 starts in his big league career, with 3 of them being clunkers. Against the Rangers he gave up 7 in 4, against Miami he gave up 6 in 5, and against the Pirates, he gave up 3 in 5. The only game he really pitched well in was against an average Giants lineup.
Through his first 20 innings in the big leagues, Pfaadt has given up 7 homers and 10 barrels. I’m not going to be overly concerned with splits as both sides of the plate have been hammering. He’s going to have his hands very full tonight against a very good Red Sox lineup, even though they’ve been quiet for the last week or so.
I’m striving for some power with this stack so I’m going to go with the 4 guys that have some really solid numbers vs. righties this season. Alex Verdugo, Masataka Yoshida, Rafael Devers, and Jarren Duran all have ISO’s over .200 this season and wOBA’s well into the mid .300’s. They are all set to have really solid days in what should on paper be a plus matchup.
I will add though that the Red Sox bats are mostly cold so this stack does come with a level of risk. That said, with how poorly that Pfaadt has mostly pitched in the bigs, this seems like a great get-right spot for most of these guys. If you want to go for value, guys like Valdez, Casas, and McGuire will get you that at the bottom of the lineup.
Washington Nationals vs. Jordan Lyles
Jordan Lyles has been a lister for quite some time. He’s a pitcher that has historically given up just a ton of home runs. This year has been no different for the journeyman. His 2.22 HR/9 is the highest that it has been in his entire career. He’s already given up 14 in just 56 innings of work. That’s compared to the 26 he gave up last year in nearly 180 innings of work. He’s struggling this season and we want to attack him as much as possible, even with an inferior Nationals lineup.
The first guy I’m going to here is going to be their leadoff hitter, Lane Thomas. Thomas had himself a really strong last week of baseball. Over his last 24 AB, he’s produced 9 hits, 2 of which left the ballpark. He also combined for 11 runs and RBI over that stretch. Another guy in this lineup that has had a solid stretch of baseball is Jeimer Candelario. He’s produced 7 hits in his last 24 AB and has a .846 OPS.
Other bats that I’ll have interest in this stack are going to be Dominic Smith, Joey Meneses, and Corey Dickerson. Nothing in life is guaranteed, but one of these guys is going deep vs. a pitcher that is giving up homers at an epic pace.
I don’t normally write up Coors lineups, but I really like the Mets tonight too. Yes, I’m a Mets fan but they showed their potential for run-scoring last night when they put 10 in rather poor hitting conditions. Pete Alonso seemingly homers every game as he’s up to 19 now. Seabold has given up worse numbers to righties this season so feel free to load up on Alonso, Alvarez, and hopefully Vientos if Buck puts him in there. Other stacks tonight are the Yankees vs. Joe Musgrove and Rangers vs. Grayson Rodriguez.
MLB DFS Summary
This is going to be a fun slate with lots of options on both fronts. There will be plenty of value to get double aces tonight as well.
Make sure to drop into Discord where we’re constantly talking about plays for every slate.
Good luck and hope to see you in the green.
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