Welcome to Friday’s edition of Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.
It’s full-slate Friday! Tonight we have a 10-game slate of MLB DFS. This slate brings us back to Coors, but there will also be other areas for offense. We have solid pitchers in great spots also that we’ll want to take full advantage of. The biggest thing with this slate will be weather though. Many games are at risk of delay/ppd.
Let’s dig and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Chris Bassitt vs. Oakland Athletics
Chris Bassitt is coming off 2 starts that he probably wants to forget. He did however face 2 of the better lineups in all of baseball in Texas and Baltimore. Tonight, he’ll face a much inferior lineup in the Oakland Athletics. The Athletics have been brutal vs. righties this season. They have a 26% k rate and an OPS of just .640.
This sets up for Bassitt to have a nice rebound performance. We’ve seen him dial it up to get upwards of 41 DK points this season. This matchup speaks for itself and we should see more of a ceiling game for Bassitt than a floor game.
Brayan Bello vs. Chicago White Sox
To save a little bit of money on pitching today, I’m going to drop down to Brayan Bello. Bello is coming off his best start of the season. Against the Yankees, Bello struck out 8 across 7 innings and allowed just 1 ER. It added up to a 29 DK-point outing for the young right-hander.
The matchup today vs. the White Sox brings Bello a very similar upside. The White Sox are not built to succeed vs. righties. They have a modest k rate of 23%, but they also have just a .670 OPS and a .290 wOBA. Bellow should be able to navigate pretty easily through this lineup tonight.
Other pitchers I like tonight will be Kodai Senga vs. Philly, Taijuan Walker vs. New York, and Kyle Gibson vs. Seattle.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kyle Freeland
If you’ve followed me, you know I try my hardest to avoid recommending Coors stacks. Not because they aren’t good plays, but more so to provide you with other options. I just can’t avoid this matchup tonight. The Angels are really solid vs. lefties and today they’ll face one of the worst in the game. Kyle Freeland has been really bad over the last month.
Over the last month, Freeland has a 5.67 ERA and has allowed a nearly 36% flyball rate. He’s attackable every single outing and this is one of the more attackable spots against him all year. We want the righties here. Righties have significantly better numbers vs. Freeland this season
I’m going to get to the obvious first. Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani are in play. They are always in play. They are 2 of the best hitters in the game. Their prices however tonight are extremely restrictive. Ohtani is $6.7k and Trout is $6.5k. just insane.
The 2 guys I really like here outside of Trout and Ohtani are Brandon Drury and Hunter Renfroe. While neither guy has really crushed lefties this season, both historically have. This is an elite matchup for both of them. After those 2, I’ll look to add Chad Wallace, Taylor Ward, and Luis Rengifo. This entire lineup today is in play.
San Diego Padres vs. Patrick Corbin
For a while there, it looked like Patrick Corbin was starting to pitch with some competence. Those days are long gone! Over the last month, Corbin has been back to being the old Corbin. His ERA is pushing 6 and he’s back to giving up what we love to see, hard contact. His hard-hit rate over the last month is a massive 42%.
Corbin’s walks are also up, which has led to a WHIP of nearly 2.00. If the Padres show some patience tonight, they’ll put up a massive number. I’m going to prioritize righties here. Corbin’s numbers are way worse against them.
My 2 favorite bats here are going to Manny Machado and Fernando Tatis. Both guys have absolutely crushed lefties this season. Machado has a .422 wOBA and Tatis has a .488. With Tatis, he’s shown some real power vs. them as well with a .420 ISO. If I had to pick between the 2 of them, I’d go Machado due to price.
Machado is significantly lower tonight and that extra cash will go a long way. Another bat that I’ll prioritize here will be Gary Sanchez. He’s been a stud vs. lefties this season, with a .429 ISO and a .385 wOBA. Other bats to get here will be Ha-Seong Kim and Xander Bogaerts.
Other stacks I like today are Toronto vs. James Kaprielian and Texas vs. Luis Severino.
MLB DFS Summary
We’ll want to keep an eye on the weather tonight. There are a ton of games at risk of t-storms. That said, the stacks/pitchers I laid out are weather-risk-free.
Make sure to drop into Discord where we’re constantly talking about plays for every slate.
Good luck and hope to see you in the green.
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