Joel Bartilotta 
Welcome to Monday’s edition of Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.
It’s the Monday funday and today we have a shortened slate. We have only a 6-game slate of MLB DFS tonight. This slate has some solid options up top in terms of pitching. We also have some solid spots for bats. One question that will be burning for everyone will be what to do with Domingo German as he’s coming off MLB’s 24th perfect game. Prior to that, he had been awful.
Let’s dig and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Blake Snell vs. Los Angeles Angels
The matchup isn’t the greatest for Blake Snell tonight as he’s facing the best hitter the game has probably ever seen. But you have to respect what he’s done over the last 30+ days. Over his last 31 innings of work, Blake Snell has a 47% strike-out rate. Think about that for a second. He’s striking out pretty darn close to 50% of the batters that he’s facing. He has 4 consecutive starts with double-digit k’s and he hasn’t been under 6 strikeouts since all the way back on 5/19.
He’s also been over 20 DK points in 6 consecutive starts. He’s also only $8.6k tonight on DK. As long as he gives Shohei Ohtani the Barry Bonds treatment today, he should be able to navigate this lineup. He definitely comes with some risk tonight, but he also comes with massive upside at this price.
Joe Ryan vs. Kansas City Royals
I’m not really sold on the talents of Joe Ryan, but he has had some massive games this season and gets a matchup tonight vs. a Royals team in which he very well could have a massive game again. Ryan is coming off a poor outing against the Atlanta Braves but we’ll cut him some slack because well, it’s the Braves and they have by far the best lineup in the game of baseball right now.
Prior to that, Ryan had a 45-point outing against a decent Red Sox lineup. Ryan has been the model of inconsistency this season and because of that, he makes for a great GPP play. He has real upside tonight against this bad Royals team. Against righties this season, the Royals have a nearly 25% k rate and just a .659 OPS. Ryan should be able to have an above-average game vs. a below-average lineup.
Other pitchers I’m going to have my eye on tonight will be Bryan Woo vs. the Giants and Tyler Wells vs. the Yankees. The Mets starters just walked through the Giants and Woo can definitely do the same vs. them. The Yankees are a watered-down lineup these days and Wells has been really solid.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
San Diego Padres vs. Jaime Barria
The disappointing San Diego Padres get the matchup of a lifetime tonight against Jaime Barrie. Well, maybe not the matchup of a lifetime, but they do get a good one. Barria has struggled somewhat over the last month. Over his last 15 innings of work. Barria has pitched to an ERA of 5.87. His xFIP is even higher at 6.48. He’s been letting up homers at an epic pace as he’s allowed 5 in those 15 innings. That’s just not good.
He’s also giving up way too many barrels. 11 in 15 innings if horrendous. Should he continue to make mistakes, this Padres lineup should be able to smack him around and put up a healthy amount of runs. I’m not going to be overly concerned with splits in this one. Both sides have some pros and cons. Righties have a much higher ISO vs. Barrie while lefties have a much higher wOBA.
The 3 premier plays in this lineup are Fernando Tatis, Manny Machado, and Juan Soto. Each of them warrants a spot in your MLB DFS lineups. All 3 have homer potential every single AB and should do well in this matchup. After those 3, I’m going to look to prioritize getting Ha-seong Kim and Trent Grisham into my lineups.
The 2 of them have actually been the hotter hitters in this lineup of late. Over the past week, the 2 of them each have an OPS of at least 1.000. Kim is 7 for his last 21 with 2 homers and a 95% contact rate. If he cracks the lineup tonight, he’s a solid play for us. After the 5 guys I’ve already mentioned, Jake Cronenworth and Gary Sanchez would also make solid plays
Baltimore Orioles vs. Domingo German
Up until his perfect game against the hapless Oakland Athletics, German had been pitching poorly. There had actually been talk about DFA’ing him. Even with the perfect game, German still has a 5.67 ERA over the last month and a 4.26 xFIP. The perfect game was pure luck and he’s going to come right back down to earth against the Baltimore Orioles.
The Orioles haven’t been hitting the cover off the ball of late like they were earlier in the year, but they still make for a great play vs. a bad pitcher. They have one of the top young lineups in the league and every night out they have the potential to put up a very crooked number. Tonight is no different.
The main bats I’m interested in here are going to be Cedric Mullins, Gunnar Henderson, and Adley Rutschman. All 3 of them will have the platoon advantage and are quite frankly, the most talented hitters in this lineup. Henderson, after struggling through the first year of his MLB career has really come alive over the last month or so. He has a ton of potential in this matchup.
I’m also very interested in Anthony Santander. He’s been one of the teams’ most consistent hitters since the start of the 2022 season. He’s one of their MVP’s and should always be considered in their stack. Other bats to look at here are Ramon Urias and Aaron Hicks.
I didn’t mention them, but Atlanta is very much in play. They are essentially a team that is in play every single night, regardless of who they are facing. Every hitter in their lineup has home run potential every single AB.
MLB DFS Summary
We have ourselves a small slate tonight. We have a couple of good options on the mound and bats should be plentiful.
Make sure to drop into Discord where we’re constantly talking about plays for every slate.
Good luck and hope to see you in the green.
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