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Hopefully, you all were on the Discord last night to catch all of our discussions that lead to a very nice night of cashing! Let’s run it back today. The July 28th edition of Aces and Bases will take on the main MLB DFS slates on DraftKings and FanDuel.
The purpose of this article is to identify our top pitching plays and fades on the slate, in addition to our top offense stacks for your GPP lineups.
Please make sure you keep an eye on the weather and other factors as those are always important things to monitor when playing MLB DFS. Be sure to check out our MLB DFS Projections as well. Without further ado, it’s Aces and Bases time.
MLB DFS: The Aces
Best Value: Josh Lindblom ($5,100 DK / $6,100 FD)
If you want to load up on virtually any top-bats you’d like, well rostering Josh Lindblom is your way to doing so. It’s been quite some time since we’ve seen Lindblom in the MLB as he’s spent the last few years in the KBO. I don’t think Lindblom is a world-beater by any means, but he certainly has high strikeout upside (the 3.5K prop leads me to believe Vegas thinks otherwise) and should keep the ball in the yard.
Lindblom is a (-170) favorite facing off against a weak Pirate’s lineup who’s projected K-Rate sits right around 20%. Nothing spectacular there, but at this price, I’m going to have a lot of Lindblom and pray he keeps the walks down… because I believe that is the only way Pittsburgh would be able to knock him out early in the game.
Honorable Mention: Zach Davies
Top Ace(s): Walker Buehler ($11,300 DK / $10,500 FD) & Kyle Gibson ($9,700 / $8,200 FD)
This is one ugly slate. I’d love to jam in all of the Buehler (-130) I can, but he’s likely to be on a strict pitch limit, so if we use him, we need a lot of strikeouts. Most books are currently showing a K-Prop of only 5 strikeouts with slight juice on the over. That’s a bit concerning for me to pay top dollar for a limited Buehler, but he’s probably the safest pitcher on the slate.
Kyle Gibson (+101) is just another safer play who should keep the ball down against a Arizona squad who has only scored 7 runs thus far in the young season.
Honorable Mention: Honestly probably no one
Punt Play: Patrick Sandoval ($6,600 DK / $5,600 FD)
Did I mention that this slate is ugly? It’s setting up for a Patrick Sandoval (who’s also likely to be on a low pitch count) chalk night. He does have a respectable 4.5K prop with juice on the over, but I don’t like it. This slate is gross.
Honorable Mention: David Peterson
Top Fade: Merrill Kelly ($10,000 DK / $7,800 FD)
Kelly is $10,000 on DraftKings, lol. Kelly grades horribly in my model with an extremely high fly-ball/line-drive rate, barrels, and average exit velocity against. I wouldn’t even pay for him on FanDuel with the significant discount.
Honorable Mention: Carlos Martinez
MLB DFS: The Bases
There are a ton of different ways to build your offense on these big slates. Personally, I’m going to take a stand on a few offenses and call it a day. If you’re play MME style of GPPs, you can always get some exposure to more offenses, but for 3-Entry Max and Single Entry GPPs, I’m going to battle with a very limited player pool, as I really want to pick on a couple of starting pitchers and weaker bullpens.
We all know the importance of stacking when play MLB DFS GPPs, so here are my top stacks for the Tuesday Main Slate.
Top Stacks
- Texas Rangers – I mentioned that I think Merrill Kelly grades out horribly tonight… let’s get some Rangers exposure.
- Boston Red Sox & New York Mets – This game has by far the highest total on this slate. I prefer going to the Mets’ side because Matt Hall profiles as an awful pitcher against this powerful New York lineup, but I’m cool with Boston bats as well. Stack em’ up!
Honorable Mention: Milwaukee Brewers & Los Angeles Angels
Value Stacks
- Detroit Tigers – Love this match-up against a dumpster fire pitching staff that Kansas City is rolling out there in this series. With Kyle Zimmer slated to start and likely followed by Glenn Sparkmann or Jorge Lopez, let’s roll with the Tigers’ bats who are ridiculously cheap on both sites.
Lots of wind blowing out tonight as well. - San Diego Padres – I’ll always have a stack or two going up against Jeff Samardzija.
Prize Picks
With the Mets being one of my preferred stacks, you can grab Alonso and Cespedes on Prize Picks in a mini two man stack to win yourself some money! If they both go over their projected fantasy score, you win! Check out Prize Picks, and hop into the Discord chat if you have any questions!
Make sure you follow me on Twitter @StixPicks and be sure to sign up for a ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as sports FINALLY return.
