Welcome to Cash with Flash Best Bets Saturday MLB Betting Column. We’re excited to be here and we’ll try and write in this space as often as time allows.
Friday was a terrific day as we went 2-0 and won both of our underdogs. That leaves us with a 49-43-11 mark over the history of this 2021 MLB Betting column.
We’re ahead of the game because of the 30 underdogs and several short favorites we hit. Well over half of our wins were from wagering on underdogs and without them we’d be trending in the wrong direction. That’s something we don’t want to do.
The most important thing to remember when betting on baseball is finding underdogs as it takes a 52.4 percent success rate at -110 just to break even. This column will offer a mixture of mid to short favorites (-110 to -160) as well as underdogs at +200 and below.
We’re also looking at F5 inning wagers in order to eliminate bullpens, the church league softball extra-inning, man on second base and seven-inning doubleheader rules MLB has thrust upon us.
Saturday MLB Best Bets!
Unless otherwise indicated, all wagers are First Five Innings Wagers (F5).
In order to arrive at our conclusions, we’ll be using the principles found in Betting Baseball 101
Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays
Game two of a three-game series begins this afternoon at 3:07 pm. Toronto won game one but Kansas City holds a 3-2 season series edge.
Mike Minor (8-8, 5.32) should toe the rubber this afternoon and over his past 16 innings pitched has given up nine earned runs with 14 punchouts. He’ll meet a Toronto offense with a 22 percent strikeout rate, .180 ISO and wRC+ of 109 against left-handed pitching this season.
Alek Manoah (2-1, 2.90) is set to make the start today and over his last 16.2 innings pitched has allowed two earned runs with 25 strikeouts. He’s up against a Royals offense with a 22 percent strikeout rate alongside a .143 ISO and wRC+ of 87 against right-handed pitching this season.
Cash with Flash Saturday MLB Pick: Royals +180
Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets
Game two of a three-game series is set to begin tonight at 7:10 pm. The Reds won game one and the season series is tied 2-2.
Wade Miley (8-4, 2.86) is expected to start tonight and over his previous 18.2 innings pitched has allowed four earned runs with 14 strikeouts. He’ll face a Mets offense with a 25 percent strikeout rate, .148 ISO and wRC+ of 100 against left-handed pitching this season.
Rich Hill (6-4, 3.95) should make the start and over his past 14 innings pitched has surrendered nine earned runs with seven earned runs. He’ll meet a Reds offense with a 24 percent strikeout rate, .150 ISO and wRC+ of 88 against lefties this season.
Cash with Flash Saturday Pick: Reds -100
Good luck today!