Here I will break down each position with my top NBA stud, middle tier, and value plays for this NBA DFS slate. I will be referring to DraftKings on pricing. Most picks are for GPP/Tournaments, some would also be viable for cash games.
We have a six-game NBA DFS slate on our hands tonight. It doesn’t appear to be an injury-filled slate for this time in what seems like forever. Obviously, that could change in a blink of an eye, so check out the Discord chat room with the WinDaily staff as we further breakdown our picks and injury news.
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Point Guard
Russell Westbrook – Stud – ($10,200)
Westbrook has been excellent as of late, posting 50 fantasy points in 11 out of his last 12 games. In the last month, Westbrook has a usage rate of 39.8%. That’s 6% more than Harden in that same time frame. Golden State is surrendering the most points to points guards on this NBA slate. A blowout is a slight concern here, although Westbrooks minutes seem safe playing more than 30 minutes in 15 straight games.
Terry Rozier – Mid-tier – ($5,700)
In the two weeks without Kris Dunn, the Chicago Bulls have given up the most fantasy points to point guards in the NBA. The Bulls have several other injuries resulting in them allowing 255 fantasy points per game, also good for the most in the entire NBA over that time. He also sees a $600 price decrease coming back from the All-Star break.
Jordan Poole – Value – ($4,000)
Poole has benefited from the Warrior’s busy trade deadline. Since those trades, he was seen 30 minutes in two straight games, and over 20 minutes in four straight. With the increased playing time, he has jacked up double-digit shots in four straight games. A very friendly matchup with Houston who is the second-fastest team in the NBA.
Shooting Guard
Jimmy Butler – Stud – ($7,900)
First off Jimmy has seen the Hawks three times already this season, averaging 48.2 fantasy points in those games. Atlanta has given up the most fantasy points to Small Forwards this NBA season. Jimmy Butler isn’t listed at SF but let’s be honest is Trae Young or Kevin Huerter going to guard him? Regardless, Butler is in a great matchup, as the Hawks are the 7th fastest team and 3rd worst team in defensive rating this season.
Bogdan Bogdanovic – Mid-tier – ($4,900)
Bogdanovic has struggled as of late so this play is definitely for tournaments. He has a favorable matchup here against Memphis. Memphis holds the 5th fastest pace in the NBA, while also giving up the 3rd most fantasy points to shooting guards on the season. He seems to perform better at home, averaging four more fantasy points at home.
Andre Iguodala – Value – ($3,300)
This NBA slate isn’t appearing to have much value but Iguodala could be a place to find it. Since joining Miami, he has reached 20 minutes in two of those three games. Obviously he has the same matchup benefits as Jimmy Butler does. I wouldn’t be surprised if he neared 25 fantasy points in this spot. Either way, I think he is cheap enough that he won’t kill a lineup.
Small Forward
Andrew Wiggins – Stud – ($7,600)
In the three games with Golden State, Andrew Wiggins leads the team in minutes and usage percentage at nearly 25%. Houston, as mentioned before, is the 2nd fastest team in the NBA. Wiggins has also displayed some defense with Golden state accumulating 12 steals and blocks total over those three games.
Caris Levert – Mid-tier – ($6,700)
Finally, it seems Levert has no minutes restriction, as he has reached 30 minutes in four out of his last 5 games. Over the past month and with Kyrie Irving off the floor Levert has a usage percentage at 29.5%. Surprisingly Philadelphia has also given up the 4th most fantasy points in the NBA to Small Forwards over the past six games.
Shaq Harrison – Value – ($3,000)
This is strictly a boom or bust tournament play. Harrison could get a healthy chunk of minutes tonight as the Bulls will only have nine available players according to my count. At the minimum price, I think he gets the start with all of Chicago’s injuries at Small Forward, and not a terrible matchup against Charlotte the 5th worst defensive rated team in the NBA.
Power Forward
Christian Wood – Stud – ($6,900)
I’m not exactly comfortable with any of these higher-priced small forwards. Wood faces the fastest-paced team in the NBA the Milwaukee Bucks. He has also reached Over 30 minutes in five out of his last six games. You Have to be worried about a blowout in this spot, which is the reason Giannis wasn’t my stud. I think Milwaukee throttles Detroit, but Wood’s minutes are safer with the departure of Andre Drummond.
Thaddeus Young – Mid-tier – ($5,400)
As I mentioned before Chicago has a giant list of injuries. Those injuries have allowed Young to receive 30 minutes in 6 straight games. With those players off the court, Young has played the most minutes out of any Bull, has nearly a 20% usage rate, and he scores 32.5 fantasy points per 36 minutes.
PJ Tucker – Value – ($4,000)
Tucker isn’t exactly the player with the most usage, he’s known as one of the hard-nosed players of the NBA. In six of the last eight games, Tucker has managed over 35 minutes. We have already seen this matchup twice this year and Tucker is averaging 32.6 fantasy points in those two matchups.
Center
Bam Adebayo – Stud – ($7,800)
In his last 7 games, Adebayo has scored over 40 fantasy points. Today he gets a great matchup against the Hawks who have allowed 60 fantasy points per game to opposing centers in the previous two weeks of the NBA season. In the three previous meetings with Atlanta, Adebayo has averaged 49.3 fantasy points. This is simply too cheap given the matchup.
Marquese Chriss – Mid-tier – ($6,200)
This Houston at Golden State matchup holds the highest Vegas total on the NBA Slate at 232. Chriss has two games of more than 40 fantasy points since Golden State made the deadline deals. He also owns a usage percentage of 23.3% and scoring 51.82 fantasy points per 36 minutes since the moves.
Harry Giles – Value – ($3,400)
Giles has scored at least 17 fantasy points in four straight games. Memphis plays with one of the bigger lineups we see in the NBA, starting both Jaren Jackson Jr. and Jonas Valanciunas. Sacramento is thin at Center with Richaun Holmes, Marvin Bagley, and recently acquired Alex Len all out. If Giles can stay out of foul trouble, he may be asked to handle significant minutes facing this bigger lineup.
I’m excited to be back on the NBA DFS grind after the break. Miami at Atlanta and Houston at Golden State are the two games I will be targeting players from the most. That Memphis at Sacramento game is going to be high and tight too, so don’t forget to get pieces of that game as well! I like this six-game slate coming off the break to get back in the swing of things. Don’t forget to check out the Discord chat rooms, where we breakdown key news and further discuss our picks for the slate. Thank you for reading my article and Goodluck!
