Sia 
The PGA Tour descends upon Mexico this week for the Mexico Open at Vidanta. It is the first time the PGA Tour has played here and therefore there is no course history, but there some solid course comps including The Puerto Rico Open and Corales. Vidanta is certainly long (7500 yard Par 71) but its length, and perhaps the wind, will be its main defense, and ultimately, this is still a resort course. For more on course comps and course dynamics make sure you tune into The PGA Draftcast on Tuesday night. As always please also make sure you camp out in Discord and you read our articles over the week, which include Tee 2 Green from Spencer and the Ownership article from Steven. Now let’s get to The Initial Picks.
Tony Finau (10400) – BS has been very good since the summer of 2021 and it’s the ARG and PUTT that have held him back. It looks like he’s starting to turn the PUTT around and the ARG game shouldn’t be too complex with this resort style course. I’ll note that Jon Rahm will be a play for me if his ownership is low, but I’m guessing it won’t be low enough to pay the high price tag. Stay tuned for our ownership article for more on that.
Gary Woodland (9900) – Not many issues with his game lately, but can get pretty wild OTT. A wild driver won’t crush him, especially if he continues to stay dialed in on APP. He’s always an MC risk, but I think that’s unlikely here and he has the upside to win.
Sebastian Munoz (9800) – Absolutely crushing it OTT and can spike with APP. The PUTT has been quite bad since August 2021, but over the last 3 tournaments it appears to be stabilizing. It’s a high price, but the metrics are there.
Cameron Tringale (9700) – He’s got good form coming by way of good ball striking. If the PUTT can be decent or get hot, this is a tourney he can contend in. I’m guessing the high price tag will keep ownership low and I’m only considering him if I’m right about that.
Aaron Wise (9500) – The BS has been elite for four tournaments in a row. He uncharacteristically lost on APP at RBC, but that is a mere blip on the radar as it will always come down to PUTT with Wise. I’m hopeful the Paspalum greens at The Mexico Open give him an edge in that department.
Matt Jones (9000) – There was a time period where Matt Jones would lose on APP in every single tournament. He’s reigned that in quite a bit and has popped on APP and can get after it OTT. He can also pop with the short game.
Sahith Theegala (8800) – He’s making cuts despite recent bad BS and poor PUTT but this feels like a good course for him and he was 22nd at Corales which is a solid comp course. The sample size is small but he’s certainly shown he can contend in fields deeper than this.
Charles Howell III (8400) – He’s 6th OTT last 50 rounds and 29th in Driving Distance which most people would be shocked by. Long iron play isn’t great, but he’s made 7 out of 10 cuts and BS is trending in a great direction. Only issue this year has been the PUTT. I’ll note that a very dangerous pivot that I’m likely to play in this range is Lanto Griffin (more on him in Discord).
Adam Long (7800) – The BS is trending and short game is very good. He’s not necessarily the best course fit but he has made 5 out of 6 cuts and he flashed some upside at The RBC.
Austin Smotherman (7800) – He’s been missing cuts as of late, but curiously remains very good in the BS department. His big issue is ARG and that’s likely mitigated on this track.
Nate Lashley (7500) – Coming off an MC at the RBC, but prior to that had four Top 30s in a row which included a T15 at Corales and a T7 at Puerto Rico. Those are probably the two best comp courses to the Mexico Open at Vidanta and they were both played just last month.
Tyler Duncan (7200) – A relatively shorter hitter who has put some really good tournaments together making 5 out of his last 6 cuts including falling inside the Top 35 at Puerto Rico and Corales. While the lack of driving distance would appear to limit him, he rates out great OTT last 50 rounds and he’s 9th in DK Points. Worth a shot at this price.
Ryan Armour (6900) – The 6k range is fraught with murky water and I don’t plan to swim in it, but there are a couple options that may be viable. Armour is one of them and in spite of him being very short OTT, he makes up for it plenty with solid iron play. Finished 15th at Corales.
Secret Weapon (Under 7k/less than 5% owned) – currently 52-19
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