Sia 
The PGA Tour heads to El Camaleon Golf Course, in beautiful Riviera Maya, Mexico this week for the Mayakoba Championship. Your past two winners were Victor Hovland (2020) and Brendan Todd (2019). The course itself sets up as a par 71, at just over 7000 yards. Greg Norman designed this course and it features a little bit of everything. As a Mayan inspired paradise we’ll see tropical jungles, Caribbean winds, breathtaking coastal views of Cozumel, and all the sand, canals, and mangroves to go with it. Our loaded field of 132 golfers will need to bring their “A” game as the top scores here in recent years have topped 20 under par, and only the top 65 (and ties) will make the cut.
I’m not seeing distance as a must here as there are several holes that will require layup tee shots. With virtually no rough at El Camleon driving accuracy is a must. Missing the fairways will be extremely penal landing you OB, in thick mangroves or down an embankment into one of the many canals lining this course. Safely on the fairways, the second shot will be easier than normal to the Paspalam greens that are very standard and basic. This will leverage out the putting field to both good and bad putters, I’ll also be putting a little less emphasis on approach than normal.
Key Metrics (in order)
Driving Accuracy
SG:OTT (off the tee)
SG:APP (approach)
Birdie or better (BOB)
SG:P (putting)
Par 4 450-500
par 3 150-175
Initial Picks
Abraham Ancer ($10700): I’m going to chalk his missed cut at The Shriners up to “shaking the rust off” after his monster finish to the end of last season and his run for The Tour Championship. Ancer bounced back nicely finishing 14th at The CJ Cup. Returning to his Mexican homeland after shaking the monkey off his back that was his first PGA victory. He’ll be one of the most popular players both on the course and at Draftkings. Extremely accurate OTT and checking almost every box on his way to finishes of T12, T8, T21, T9 is his last 4 trips here. It’s chalk I’m going to eat. Abe will be in my main lineup.
Victor Hovland ($10900) What’s not to like? He’s the returning champion at Mayakoba for a reason. He DID miss the cut in his first 2 tries here, but has made steady progress on his putting. If young Vic doesn’t get caught out in the nightlife with Brooks and posse, I expect him to compete.
Aaron Wise ($9600): 5 straight top 26 finishes dating back to mid August, including a 5th and an 8th in his last 2. Wise has a great all around game, if he can sink a putt or two, he’s going to be on the leader board come Sunday. Finished 2nd here last year and T10 in 2019, sandwiching a missed cut in between in 2020.
Russell Henley ($8200) Short and accurate. Just what I’m looking for here at Mayakoba. If he can get his inconsistent putter to cooperate, he’ll be in the mix. A couple of missed cuts following a T19 in 2019 has me a bit nervous, but other than The (British) Open, and The Memorial, you’ll have to go back to the Valspar at the beginning of last May to find a missed cut. He’s been solid all around and under priced in my opinion.
Mito Pereira ($8100) Oh how the mighty have fallen. Let’s just pray the ownership did as well after burning a lot of folks with some sub standard results. Still owns one of the best all around games on tour right now. I expect theses Paspalam greens to help out his putting woes. Go back to the well here this week.
Carlos Ortiz ($7600) Another crowd favorite Ortiz returns to his home of Mexico where he finished T8, T2 in his last 2 tries here. Game has been solid with only 3 missed cuts in his last 14 tournaments. Another guy with a struggling putter looking for some relief from these greens. Solid core play at this price.
Emiliano Grillo ($7500) You should start to see a theme here. Another great golfer in need of a course to ease his putting issues. Welcome back to Mexico Emiliano. His last 5 south of the border, T8, T41, 15, T9, T10… just stupid cheap at this price. My 2nd click on the board the Ancer.
This is where I have to stop. From this point down there are a TON of guys that could either finish top 10, or miss the cut. I’ll list a few of my favorites FOR THIS COURSE.
Russell Knox ($7300), Kevin Streelman ($7200), Taylor Pendrith ($7200), Adam Long ($7000), Charles Howell III ($6900), LOVE Vincent Whaley ($6700), Greyson Sigg ($6600), LOVE Chez Reavie ($6600).
That’s all I got for now. I’m gonna throw one more thing at you. My CRAZY GPP SHOT. This kid no one knows (with a long name to write out), Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra (flat min $6K). He’s 5th in the PGA TOUR University Ranking. The top 5 at the end of the collegiate season earn Korn Ferry status for the upcoming summer tour. He recently finished T45 at The Sanderson Farms Championship.
WinDaily has 4 other tools coming at you later this week to help with your process of building winning Draftkings lineups. Check out the live show on Tuesday night with Sia, Joel, and Spencer and special guest @PGATout. Both Antonio and Spencer also release articles later in the week as well. Check back on Wednesday evening to catch Steven’s Mayakoba ownership article to help you nail down those final low-owned guys that’ll get you that big GPP win. As always, make sure to stop into the WinDaily Discord room to ask questions from our stellar PGA team, or just compare notes with some of the other members of our family.
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